Lively-Tunic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$113

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.5%

Resolved

2,283

Trades

2,571

lifetime

Volume

$209.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-31 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

80% 99% +$70

Sports

15% 100% +$33

Crypto

3% 98% +$6

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$200	100	100	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 01:02
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	15	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$200	100	100	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$200	100	100	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	14	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	10	$200	100	100	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	13	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$200	100	100	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	3	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:42
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$199	100	100	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$199	100	100	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	4	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:15:49	Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1b78a8…
10-31 16:29:10	Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CyberClash Playoffs	WRAITH PCIFIC	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97a55e…
10-31 16:18:22	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5c7741…
10-31 10:43:18	Chennai Open, Qualification: Mariia Tkacheva vs Rada Zolotareva	Rada Zolotareva	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50915b…
10-31 10:33:43	Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7e7a7c…
10-30 22:23:49	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x3d8423…
10-30 16:44:27	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xc41a43…
10-30 14:41:39	Will Persebaya Surabaya win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5579f…
10-30 12:47:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2e7819…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa7140c…
10-29 21:54:03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-29?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x331af3…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x185e1b…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6f1396…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xda2f55…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x883330…
10-28 19:32:53	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x724408…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x346562…
10-28 17:57:02	W35 Norman, OK: Bella Payne vs Kristina Paskauskas	Bella Payne	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8fc93…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xb0b3b5…
10-28 14:01:13	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kuwait	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x333a9f…
10-28 00:33:29	Queretaro: Katherine Hui vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x137b43…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x29056c…
10-27 20:14:09	Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b789…
10-27 16:22:45	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x86bcd7…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc85c2c…
10-25 22:08:57	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x668872…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7dde34…
10-25 04:37:38	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd03855…
10-24 16:55:44	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd66913…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8eb74a…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6f968c…
10-24 11:57:02	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Mozambique	Uganda	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x741612…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfb5d8d…
10-24 04:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa19627…
10-23 19:54:27	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x049f9a…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x915c39…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ab3dc…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x561f22…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xd147b4…
10-23 04:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29cdd7…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa7eb3c…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd663f7…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6acc84…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3fb67…
10-20 18:35:44	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x22cc31…
10-20 16:59:05	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xebc4a7…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xab896a…
10-20 12:55:33	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Zambia	Uganda	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c9738…
10-19 21:54:57	W50 Austin: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anastasia Tikhonova	Anastasia Tikhonova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a2179…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb48a79…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa5b0c…
10-19 15:46:36	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf84974…
10-18 17:09:11	Will GIF Sundsvall win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5018c6…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaa4cf4…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4df515…
10-18 15:10:51	Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Guangzhou Loong Lions	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x77f1fd…
10-18 13:29:27	Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x83dd95…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd6835b…
10-18 12:39:24	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	Falcons Force	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1daf…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7a83d9…
10-17 16:22:14	Will Falkenbergs FF win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8cb412…
10-17 14:50:17	cs2 g1 btf 2026 10 17	GenOne	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbad4ae…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xbb7db2…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f5fe1…
10-16 06:41:10	itf dev1 chanta1 2026 10 16	Thanapet Chanta	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfa499…
10-16 04:06:19	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x46087a…
10-16 02:26:57	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fbb54…
10-16 00:16:27	W35 Redding, CA: Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma	Lea Ma	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96baa…
10-15 22:39:30	W35 Redding, CA: Francesca Pace vs Duru Soke	Duru Soke	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb39411…
10-15 20:32:42	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x223d77…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf5a248…
10-15 18:37:01	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x435838…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeee46b…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x720227…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a3e78…
10-14 05:10:34	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfeadb6…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x76c110…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x342af7…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b512d…
10-13 17:02:33	Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0cf4f0…
10-13 16:15:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3ea787…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfea52e…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc947be…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2075a0…
10-12 16:42:36	Will ZED FC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x471b3b…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x20b634…
10-12 09:09:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbbcffa…
10-12 06:41:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: China vs Saudi Arabia	Saudi Arabia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf386fe…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xbbed39…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb882fa…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4175c0…
10-11 13:35:55	Will Nanjing City win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x184eb5…
10-11 10:55:48	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis	Alexander Weis	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5da04a…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4a4c30…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x46b032…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x57a602…
10-11 05:10:50	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xe211fb…
10-11 04:44:39	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a7e31…
10-11 04:14:51	World Championship of Legends: India Champions vs South Africa Champions	South Africa Champions	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52af7b…
10-10 23:31:49	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9df45b…