Realized P&L
+$475
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
57.0%
Resolved
1,330
Trades
3,264
lifetime
Volume
$4.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$87
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 10-31 07:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
56% 17% +$104
Crypto
19% 52% +$200
Politics
18% 36% +$69
Tech
4% 22% +$82
Sports
3% 14% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +500 $35 6¢ $32 -$2 10-13 07:13
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +147 $28 14¢ $20 -$8 10-19 16:25
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +50 $6 7¢ $4 -$2 08-04 08:26
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +5 $0 72¢ $4 +$3 09-02 20:51
Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? Yes — +500 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-31 07:39
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +5 $0 28¢ $1 +$1 09-02 20:51
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +12 $1 11¢ $1 +$0 10-30 07:11
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:45
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $3 1¢ $1 -$2 07-30 14:07
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:45
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes — +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 08:37
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:44
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes — +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:44
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes — +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 08:37
Will Republicans win Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes — +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 08:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes — +90 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:44
Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas? Yes — +120 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:43
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes — +120 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:43
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +70 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:44
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +130 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:42
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes — +130 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:43
Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:43
Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:42
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes — +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:43
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:41
Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? Yes — +250 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:41
Will Republicans win Michigan and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? Yes +340 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:40
Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio? Yes — +340 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:40
Will Republicans win Ohio and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan? Yes — +340 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-31 07:40
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +40 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 07-07 08:16