Worst-Generosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$392

Unrealized P&L

+$146

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

253

lifetime

Volume

$205.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$810

Open exposure

$701

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-04 14:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$174

Other

30% 100% +$218

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No		+508	$300	72¢	$369	+$69	06-04 14:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No		+911	$255	36¢	$332	+$77	06-04 14:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	7	$28.0K	17,207	12,015	+5,192	open	—	02-28 09:44
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	7	$17.3K	8,936	8,936	+0	open	—	02-07 01:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$14.4K	10,240	4,480	+5,760	open	—	02-06 22:18
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	4	$13.8K	7,114	7,114	+0	open	—	02-07 01:03
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$7.2K	7,990	0	+7,990	open	—	02-18 14:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$6.6K	6,839	0	+6,839	open	—	02-28 22:31
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	4	$6.1K	5,597	1,399	+4,198	open	—	02-06 22:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$6.1K	3,131	3,131	+0	open	—	01-30 14:48
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	4	$6.1K	3,105	3,105	+0	open	—	01-30 14:51
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$5.2K	2,675	2,675	+0	open	—	01-30 14:49
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	8	$5.1K	4,075	2,038	+2,038	open	—	03-07 01:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$5.0K	3,077	3,077	+0	open	—	02-28 22:30
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$5.0K	5,038	0	+5,038	open	—	01-03 12:05
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	1	$5.0K	5,012	0	+5,012	open	—	01-01 23:39
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$4.3K	4,368	0	+4,368	open	—	02-07 02:05
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$4.0K	2,047	2,047	+0	open	—	01-30 14:50
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 mobile 1 times	7	$3.7K	3,855	0	+3,855	open	—	01-30 14:43
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	01-02 12:45
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$3.5K	2,031	1,523	+508	open	—	01-28 15:23
will hollow knight silksong win best game you suck at in the 2025 steam awards	1	$3.0K	3,226	0	+3,226	open	—	01-01 23:34
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	4	$2.6K	3,155	0	+3,155	open	—	01-05 19:47
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$2.6K	2,070	2,070	+0	open	—	01-12 09:38
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.3K	1,576	1,576	+0	open	—	01-26 13:48
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 competition 1 times	6	$2.3K	2,315	0	+2,315	open	—	01-30 14:46
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 apex legends 1 times	6	$2.0K	2,089	0	+2,089	open	—	02-01 08:40
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$2.0K	2,041	0	+2,041	open	—	03-06 15:15
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	2	$1.9K	2,384	0	+2,384	open	—	01-22 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$1.8K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	05-06 14:16
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-12 09:39
will tim walz drop out by	4	$1.4K	1,501	0	+1,501	open	—	01-05 07:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:50:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0x3d64e6…
06-04 14:50:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	911	28¢	$255	0xda462a…
06-04 14:47:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x40213f…
06-04 13:43:25	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	154	85¢	$131	0xe3d53f…
05-07 14:00:23	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	600	59¢	$353	0x0c5d78…
05-06 14:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0xac1337…
05-06 14:22:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xf7a9ea…
05-06 14:21:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xd09f76…
05-06 14:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	128	62¢	$79	0x1d7de8…
05-06 14:16:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	2,005	92¢	$1,845	0x5cf7d8…
05-06 14:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	950	63¢	$600	0x518403…
05-06 14:06:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$845	0xfc2b05…
05-06 13:57:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	754	72¢	$542	0x699cf3…
05-06 13:15:18	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	574	52¢	$300	0x52fc74…
03-09 07:43:15	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	166	90¢	$149	0x3f1c93…
03-08 02:25:17	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	278	92¢	$255	0xcfd3ee…
03-07 13:53:47	will trump post ass on truth social this week march 15	No	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x2105bc…
03-07 13:52:51	will trump post department of defense or dod on truth social this week march 15	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x00c0a4…
03-07 13:47:05	will ai or artificial intelligence be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	114	84¢	$96	0x59faaf…
03-07 01:42:23	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	2,038	86¢	$1,755	0x130a7d…
03-06 15:15:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xb5f47d…
03-06 15:14:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0xa5d678…
02-28 22:31:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6,839	97¢	$6,646	0x98af25…
02-28 22:30:21	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,077	98¢	$3,031	0x1b61ba…
02-28 09:53:47	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	233	67¢	$157	0xe6244e…
02-28 09:52:15	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	340	66¢	$224	0xf69886…
02-28 09:44:41	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,077	65¢	$2,000	0x4a41fb…
02-28 09:44:01	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,192	96¢	$5,000	0x191b0e…
02-28 09:21:33	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	SELL	618	0¢	$1	0x42ea14…
02-28 09:20:41	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,534	93¢	$2,352	0xe5cb01…
02-28 09:19:49	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,534	94¢	$2,379	0x6bda18…
02-28 09:15:51	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,690	92¢	$1,558	0x4a5946…
02-28 09:15:13	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,253	93¢	$2,084	0xa4f12b…
02-28 09:10:07	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	3,004	94¢	$2,813	0x73d8b8…
02-28 09:01:31	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	12,015	98¢	$11,767	0x10d937…
02-25 14:56:42	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	166	56¢	$93	0xd8e08c…
02-25 14:49:10	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	331	55¢	$183	0x0ad3e6…
02-25 14:42:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xd79338…
02-24 00:08:28	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	558	73¢	$406	0x448a6f…
02-19 00:34:02	will michael b jordan attend the oscars	Yes	BUY	298	97¢	$288	0x82c991…
02-19 00:14:52	will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,310	96¢	$1,260	0x10b685…
02-18 15:03:56	will slovakia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 252	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xad3ac6…
02-18 15:02:30	will japan win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0xe34a68…
02-18 14:59:02	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	396	95¢	$377	0x88a5e4…
02-18 14:57:22	will brazil record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 757	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc67dd2…
02-12 06:30:37	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,163	92¢	$2,000	0x9a4621…
02-11 15:25:29	jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	No	BUY	932	86¢	$800	0x550132…
02-11 15:17:09	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	696	91¢	$633	0xb59c28…
02-11 15:16:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	234	5¢	$11	0xdfb630…
02-11 15:12:31	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	316	5¢	$17	0xcba278…
02-11 15:07:47	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,812	0x879cc3…
02-11 05:55:37	will slovakia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 252	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4362d1…
02-08 14:41:11	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Down	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x549e0d…
02-08 14:29:51	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb9020f…
02-08 14:29:51	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Up	SELL	111	53¢	$59	0x5abd45…
02-08 14:29:49	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Up	SELL	262	53¢	$139	0x9fea20…
02-08 14:29:49	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x7948a7…
02-08 14:29:47	btc updown 15m 1770561000	Up	SELL	104	53¢	$55	0x299f55…
02-08 14:25:35	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xf0930b…
02-08 14:23:03	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x574ce6…
02-08 14:17:51	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Down	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x7e0750…
02-08 14:15:41	btc updown 15m 1770560100	Up	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x81f368…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0xee79f1…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0xcbac9a…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x9ad051…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x759d06…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x5c9a64…
02-08 14:08:13	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$12	0x0af855…
02-08 14:06:27	btc updown 15m 1770559200	Up	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x6ea6c9…
02-08 13:09:11	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,179	81¢	$960	0x0606db…
02-08 08:38:13	will andorra record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 273	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x4220dc…
02-08 00:36:05	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x7f21d8…
02-08 00:35:19	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$47	0xcd78f1…
02-08 00:34:31	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	467	85¢	$397	0x541c9e…
02-08 00:34:29	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xa4513b…
02-07 22:03:25	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x1046ec…
02-07 21:27:09	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	162	80¢	$130	0xcad880…
02-07 14:23:35	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,351	89¢	$1,200	0xd26663…
02-07 14:22:01	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	88¢	$250	0x3e63af…
02-07 07:28:01	will bhumjaithai party bjt finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	226	75¢	$170	0xe5aa23…
02-07 07:27:43	will pheu thai party pt finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	131	90¢	$117	0x58b1c0…
02-07 07:23:49	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	152	80¢	$122	0xdd84e8…
02-07 03:24:41	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$60	0x0deda0…
02-07 02:05:15	will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	1,522	99¢	$1,500	0xd93994…
02-07 02:04:29	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	1,667	84¢	$1,400	0xad3549…
02-07 01:21:03	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x99f767…
02-07 01:16:47	will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	2,845	98¢	$2,800	0x88347c…
02-07 01:16:25	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	411	73¢	$300	0x332394…
02-07 01:06:21	will andorra record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 273	No	BUY	542	96¢	$520	0x94d1da…
02-07 01:05:45	will azerbaijan record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 331	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x92b44b…
02-07 01:05:05	will singapore record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 159	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x014f88…
02-07 01:03:15	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	Yes	SELL	7,114	100¢	$7,100	0xb77fd3…
02-07 01:02:57	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	SELL	8,936	100¢	$8,910	0x798bc1…
02-06 22:18:39	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	1,879	98¢	$1,834	0x037fea…
02-06 22:18:23	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,920	96¢	$1,834	0x567807…
02-06 22:16:45	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	2,503	98¢	$2,446	0xf4ef78…
02-06 22:16:29	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,560	96¢	$2,446	0xfe30c2…
02-06 22:15:17	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	652	98¢	$637	0x61da48…
02-06 22:13:21	us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1,411	95¢	$1,335	0xcd6885…
02-06 22:13:03	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	1,399	95¢	$1,335	0x7e1325…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	83	$12.9K	2,515	06-08 14:15
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	65	$7.04M	10,764	06-09 21:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	64	$427.4K	8,559	06-09 20:07
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	63	$6.02K	3,046	06-09 21:34
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	63	$5.91K	3,620	06-08 19:38
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	62	$82.3K	7,940	03-28 06:34
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	61	$140.2K	11,337	05-31 18:27
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	60	$53.3K	4,494	06-08 14:01