Worst-Generosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$190

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

122

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$218.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$747

Open exposure

$976

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-25 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

64% 70% -$1,745

Other

32% 79% +$3,615

Sports

2% 100% +$273

Tech

1% 75% -$17

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$38

Crypto

0% 67% -$93

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	-470	-$456	98¢	$-460	-$5	08-25 03:13
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-1,257	-$406	16¢	$-202	+$204	06-04 13:18
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	+800	$170	18¢	$144	-$26	08-25 03:20
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	+150	$102	80¢	$120	+$18	08-25 03:21
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	-51	-$48	97¢	$-50	-$2	08-25 03:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on israel by february 28	7	$28.0K	17,207	12,015	+5,192	Yes	-$389	02-28 09:44
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	7	$17.3K	8,936	8,936	+0	Yes	+$534	02-07 01:02
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$14.4K	10,240	4,480	+5,760	Yes	-$129	02-06 22:18
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	4	$13.8K	7,114	7,114	+0	Yes	+$391	02-07 01:03
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$7.2K	7,990	0	+7,990	Yes	+$777	02-18 14:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$6.6K	6,839	0	+6,839	Yes	+$193	02-28 22:31
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026	4	$6.1K	5,597	1,399	+4,198	Yes	+$747	02-06 22:13
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$6.1K	3,131	3,131	+0	No	+$118	01-30 14:48
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	4	$6.1K	3,105	3,105	+0	No	+$94	01-30 14:51
No one announced as next James Bond?	9	$5.9K	6,527	0	+6,527	Yes	+$621	06-23 19:03
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	4	$5.2K	2,675	2,675	+0	No	+$150	01-30 14:49
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	8	$5.1K	4,075	2,038	+2,038	Yes	+$421	03-07 01:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$5.0K	3,077	3,077	+0	Yes	+$1,031	02-28 22:30
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$5.0K	5,038	0	+5,038	Yes	+$38	01-03 12:05
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	1	$5.0K	5,012	0	+5,012	Yes	+$12	01-01 23:39
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$4.3K	4,368	0	+4,368	No	+$68	02-07 02:05
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$4.0K	2,047	2,047	+0	No	+$45	01-30 14:50
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 mobile 1 times	7	$3.7K	3,855	0	+3,855	No	+$113	01-30 14:43
will henrique gouveia e melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$3.7K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$321	01-02 12:45
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	3	$3.5K	2,031	1,523	+508	No	+$24	01-28 15:23
will hollow knight silksong win best game you suck at in the 2025 steam awards	1	$3.0K	3,226	0	+3,226	Yes	+$226	01-01 23:34
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	4	$2.6K	3,155	0	+3,155	Yes	+$519	01-05 19:47
will antnio jos seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$2.6K	2,070	2,070	+0	Yes	-$999	01-12 09:38
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$2.3K	1,576	1,576	+0	No	-$693	01-26 13:48
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 competition 1 times	6	$2.3K	2,315	0	+2,315	No	+$57	01-30 14:46
earnings mentions ea 2026 02 03 apex legends 1 times	6	$2.0K	2,089	0	+2,089	No	+$46	02-01 08:40
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$2.0K	2,041	0	+2,041	Yes	+$41	03-06 15:15
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	2	$1.9K	2,384	0	+2,384	Yes	+$465	01-22 03:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	1	$1.8K	2,005	0	+2,005	No	+$160	05-06 14:16
will marco rubio attend nato summit	2	$1.5K	1,554	0	+1,554	Yes	+$67	06-23 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 03:21:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	150	68¢	$102	0xf102e8…
08-25 03:20:25	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	800	22¢	$173	0x963286…
08-25 03:13:25	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x4bf956…
08-25 03:13:24	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	945	2¢	$15	0x14a86f…
08-25 03:13:19	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x3e41f8…
08-25 03:13:16	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	SELL	65	51¢	$33	0xea8436…
08-25 03:13:12	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0xe0a3c7…
08-25 03:13:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	SELL	69	72¢	$49	0x3c4a16…
08-25 03:13:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	539	29¢	$158	0xd7b968…
08-25 03:12:46	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	451	97¢	$438	0xa353fa…
06-23 19:52:34	will trump praise mark rutte by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x694b1e…
06-23 19:52:04	will trump speak to mark rutte in june	Yes	BUY	293	99¢	$290	0x1fa21c…
06-23 19:28:44	Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?	No	BUY	298	92¢	$275	0x773c22…
06-23 19:12:13	Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0xdaeb17…
06-23 19:10:37	Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	569	97¢	$550	0x5ec678…
06-23 19:03:14	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,078	93¢	$1,000	0xcd535d…
06-23 18:51:17	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5e96dc…
06-23 18:41:13	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	539	93¢	$500	0x4d12b5…
06-23 18:34:37	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	Yes	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0x91661b…
06-23 18:12:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	539	36¢	$194	0xda3802…
06-23 18:10:52	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	171	68¢	$117	0xccf841…
06-23 18:07:07	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	297	98¢	$290	0x9a3509…
06-23 18:02:19	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	1,400	97¢	$1,356	0x31357a…
06-23 18:01:11	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	974	92¢	$900	0xdc815a…
06-23 18:00:32	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	111	92¢	$102	0xa0c16c…
06-23 18:00:11	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	112	92¢	$103	0xc3cb4f…
06-23 17:59:41	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,110	92¢	$1,024	0x54e3d6…
06-23 17:59:25	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	411	92¢	$377	0xf5a39c…
06-04 14:50:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0x3d64e6…
06-04 14:50:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	911	28¢	$255	0xda462a…
06-04 14:47:40	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	No	BUY	522	96¢	$500	0x40213f…
06-04 14:44:55	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	524	8¢	$40	0x72a526…
06-04 14:12:07	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	2,265	3¢	$75	0xa3f7ff…
06-04 14:11:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1,759	9¢	$150	0x31e266…
06-04 13:43:25	will marco rubio attend nato summit	Yes	BUY	154	85¢	$131	0xe3d53f…
06-04 13:40:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?	No	BUY	69	77¢	$53	0x9ae669…
06-04 13:40:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	No	BUY	65	82¢	$53	0xdf9d09…
06-04 13:38:57	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0x3196db…
06-04 13:38:36	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	593	84¢	$500	0x542215…
06-04 13:18:18	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,257	32¢	$406	0xef9b71…
06-04 13:16:46	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,544	91¢	$1,400	0xd6be6d…
05-07 14:00:23	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	600	59¢	$353	0x0c5d78…
05-06 14:48:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0xac1337…
05-06 14:22:48	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0xf7a9ea…
05-06 14:21:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0xd09f76…
05-06 14:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	128	62¢	$79	0x1d7de8…
05-06 14:16:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	2,005	92¢	$1,845	0x5cf7d8…
05-06 14:15:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	950	63¢	$600	0x518403…
05-06 14:06:14	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$845	0xfc2b05…
05-06 13:57:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	Yes	BUY	754	72¢	$542	0x699cf3…
05-06 13:17:56	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	196	89¢	$174	0x5589fb…
05-06 13:15:18	Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	Yes	BUY	574	52¢	$300	0x52fc74…
05-06 13:12:54	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0x546102…
03-09 07:43:15	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	166	90¢	$149	0x3f1c93…
03-08 02:25:17	Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	BUY	278	92¢	$255	0xcfd3ee…
03-07 13:53:47	will trump post ass on truth social this week march 15	No	BUY	460	87¢	$400	0x2105bc…
03-07 13:52:51	will trump post department of defense or dod on truth social this week march 15	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x00c0a4…
03-07 13:47:05	will ai or artificial intelligence be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	114	84¢	$96	0x59faaf…
03-07 01:42:23	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	2,038	86¢	$1,755	0x130a7d…
03-06 15:15:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2,041	98¢	$2,000	0xb5f47d…
03-06 15:14:53	will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1,016	98¢	$1,000	0xa5d678…
02-28 22:31:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6,839	97¢	$6,646	0x98af25…
02-28 22:30:21	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,077	98¢	$3,031	0x1b61ba…
02-28 09:53:47	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	233	67¢	$157	0xe6244e…
02-28 09:52:15	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	340	66¢	$224	0xf69886…
02-28 09:44:41	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,077	65¢	$2,000	0x4a41fb…
02-28 09:44:01	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,192	96¢	$5,000	0x191b0e…
02-28 09:21:33	nothing ever happens february 152	Nothing	SELL	618	0¢	$1	0x42ea14…
02-28 09:20:41	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,534	93¢	$2,352	0xe5cb01…
02-28 09:19:49	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,534	94¢	$2,379	0x6bda18…
02-28 09:15:51	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	1,690	92¢	$1,558	0x4a5946…
02-28 09:15:13	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	2,253	93¢	$2,084	0xa4f12b…
02-28 09:10:07	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	3,004	94¢	$2,813	0x73d8b8…
02-28 09:01:31	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	12,015	98¢	$11,767	0x10d937…
02-25 14:56:42	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	166	56¢	$93	0xd8e08c…
02-25 14:49:10	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	331	55¢	$183	0x0ad3e6…
02-25 14:42:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xd79338…
02-24 00:08:28	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	558	73¢	$406	0x448a6f…
02-19 00:34:02	will michael b jordan attend the oscars	Yes	BUY	298	97¢	$288	0x82c991…
02-19 00:14:52	will norway win the most medal points in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1,310	96¢	$1,260	0x10b685…
02-18 15:03:56	will slovakia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 252	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xad3ac6…
02-18 15:02:30	will japan win the third most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0xe34a68…
02-18 14:59:02	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	396	95¢	$377	0x88a5e4…
02-18 14:57:22	will brazil record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 757	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xc67dd2…
02-12 06:30:37	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,163	92¢	$2,000	0x9a4621…
02-11 15:25:29	jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	No	BUY	932	86¢	$800	0x550132…
02-11 15:17:09	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	696	91¢	$633	0xb59c28…
02-11 15:16:47	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	234	5¢	$11	0xdfb630…
02-11 15:12:31	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	316	5¢	$17	0xcba278…
02-11 15:07:47	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,812	0x879cc3…
02-11 05:55:37	will slovakia record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 252	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4362d1…
02-08 14:41:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	500	26¢	$130	0x549e0d…
02-08 14:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xb9020f…
02-08 14:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	111	53¢	$59	0x5abd45…
02-08 14:29:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	262	53¢	$139	0x9fea20…
02-08 14:29:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x7948a7…
02-08 14:29:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	104	53¢	$55	0x299f55…
02-08 14:25:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:15 UTC	Up	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xf0930b…
02-08 14:23:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x574ce6…
02-08 14:17:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x7e0750…