Friendly-Instrumentalist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

2,175

Trades

2,232

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% +$8

Sports

15% 99% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:13
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 10:12
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:41
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	03-23 13:58
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	03-14 05:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:02	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x061e0b…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x768f78…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a0817…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde4e4b…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c3958…
10-22 20:16:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90c6bd…
10-21 17:06:29	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e7275…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c247e…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1299a2…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc69544…
10-15 20:32:50	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x03fe75…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ef4c5…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea3972…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x327f22…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28a76e…
10-13 15:56:01	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a82f6…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf81635…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd844b6…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb480e3…
10-12 09:10:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82de4b…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb22cc2…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2f3aea…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0b108…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x107bf9…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa7bf91…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789a94…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc469d…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e9f11…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61f8f…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ef0ea…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f62b0…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d8323…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x27ec7a…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96e11c…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1404f2…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbdf38…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2c1df2…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22b9dc…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x513902…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfb3e95…
10-01 12:06:15	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e763b…
10-01 11:47:06	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d4979…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8d806f…
10-01 07:20:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46df1e…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6df401…
09-30 23:54:45	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1329a0…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x309169…
09-29 13:58:48	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25bbf6…
09-29 13:18:56	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xed5ad1…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x677a5b…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee706e…
09-28 20:43:09	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x104ddd…
09-28 17:00:08	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86080e…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3392…
09-27 21:04:32	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x981b88…
09-27 20:16:51	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf7c65…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9dc3b9…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63e519…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa69ffd…
09-27 00:27:44	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f12af…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31552d…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa0bb2d…
09-26 19:57:42	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2ccd…
09-26 16:16:57	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d3846…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbe9bd…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6cf667…
09-24 22:04:11	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe753eb…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe83af6…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a2c0c…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x008284…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x82783f…
09-21 18:44:31	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc19e6b…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2051be…
09-21 02:19:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x230dec…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1004d…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc6df6…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec859b…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1fec4…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfed7d3…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6439e…
09-18 18:52:22	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc269f2…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c227e…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98e656…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfcb9f…
09-17 00:30:43	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ff9f1…
09-16 21:17:37	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4df86…
09-16 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x753d94…
09-16 01:32:13	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a12d4…
09-16 00:09:54	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd08579…
09-15 17:50:42	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06f132…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0dc4f…
09-14 18:22:49	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54fe6d…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6e81f…
09-13 17:14:04	wta kicheno hibino 2026 09 13	Nao Hibino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cfd90…
09-13 14:59:06	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ca44f…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc3bccb…
09-13 02:22:39	Middle Tennessee vs. Marshall	Marshall	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdafffe…
09-12 01:13:13	Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1233b…
09-11 21:06:33	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d7ade…
09-11 20:26:00	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46787a…