Friendly-Instrumentalist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,433

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$1

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0956c…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x722cbb…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41afbf…
06-07 22:16:04	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x924a31…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18d860…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a8df…
06-07 17:35:21	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game handicap away 3pt5	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d38d3…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b409…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20110b…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63dbdc…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04d074…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7703…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f3c41…
06-06 04:48:19	will openai file for an ipo by june 5 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64527d…
06-05 15:45:21	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbec3d…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8760db…
06-04 14:24:33	itf spiteri pace 2026 06 04	Dalila Spiteri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9e934…
06-03 18:15:31	Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Guo/Mladenovic	Aoyama/Liang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x409912…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f56cf…
06-03 12:06:09	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Granollers/Zeballos vs Nys/Roger-Vasselin	Granollers/Zeballos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdad3a8…
06-03 11:31:47	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Oman	Oman	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3d1ec…
06-03 06:26:04	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Malaysia vs Kuwait	Malaysia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5ac15…
06-03 04:48:28	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bf9ca…
06-02 22:56:07	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe190f4…
06-02 15:24:31	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae26a…
06-01 18:06:51	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7fb3f…
06-01 14:41:31	will spy reach 750 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ac431…
06-01 02:52:46	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x370797…
06-01 02:51:04	LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa925e1…
06-01 01:16:36	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3e7f1…
05-31 22:49:54	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e18b5…
05-31 22:44:58	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands	Netherlands	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeba08f…
05-31 19:09:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cf6e2…
05-31 19:00:09	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6874fb…
05-31 15:36:43	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a89a9…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad6ba9…
05-31 04:54:21	Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	Athletics	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdd9bf…
05-31 04:44:17	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ca615…
05-30 22:09:43	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97e261…
05-30 16:08:01	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84447b…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17296a…
05-30 13:13:43	Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)	Svajda	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a1214…
05-30 05:41:29	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xabdd11…
05-30 04:48:24	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x812dd0…
05-29 21:58:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba82b2…
05-29 21:20:45	Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)	Paul	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b7de2…
05-29 19:08:06	LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki - Game 1 Winner	Bubliki	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54a48e…
05-29 13:57:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc674c6…
05-29 08:03:29	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova	Anna Bazderova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd24463…
05-29 01:09:09	Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion	Harold Mayot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8307f2…
05-28 17:33:00	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x700395…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb422e…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e5a64…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b689a…
05-26 21:29:19	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4aebb…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6433e7…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45eeeb…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e71c6…
05-26 01:08:49	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67da88…
05-25 13:37:01	Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Subtop De France (+1.5)	SAW	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2b464…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x821f03…
05-25 04:48:20	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3fa1…
05-25 03:01:07	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa00925…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf62396…
05-24 22:57:07	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd67c22…
05-24 20:12:35	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744675…
05-24 19:24:10	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf612e5…
05-24 16:02:22	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9c1d0b…
05-24 15:29:49	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd96792…
05-24 13:32:37	Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Basquet Club Andorra	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa645f…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf01d72…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd10060…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426e91…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c1ec4…
05-23 13:55:44	SK Sigma Olomouc vs. MFK Karviná: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x562357…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x473b65…
05-23 09:32:02	ITF Wuning: Yingqun Sun vs Yidi Yang	Yidi Yang	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70ed74…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b47c…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x384345…
05-22 19:58:40	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winner	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x059ccb…
05-21 14:25:03	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb399c1…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1a619…
05-21 07:45:19	ITF Changwon: Sera Nishimoto vs Onyu Choi	Sera Nishimoto	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc28298…
05-21 04:55:20	Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d9ae2…
05-21 04:00:51	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x989a75…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14c553…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf812d4…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46166e…
05-20 20:56:30	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7fdf…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2137e…
05-20 11:46:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4dff9d…
05-20 09:50:43	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f3fa6…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e2e8c…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9afa2…
05-19 20:50:08	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61748…
05-19 20:02:49	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu	Emilio Nava	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a2d23…
05-19 14:13:31	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e24b5…
05-19 13:46:22	ITF Tsaghkadzor: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Armine Yesaian	Armine Yesaian	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea4823…
05-19 12:21:24	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefffd3…
05-19 04:17:19	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x529bde…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Cute-Opossum 0xf3ce…edc5	722	$18.5K	753	06-06 23:10
Memorable-Airplane 0xa594…412c	716	$36.7K	777	06-09 17:38
Frigid-Meteorology 0x7970…3710	702	$17.9K	742	06-08 21:55
Acclaimed-Mobility 0xcbcc…975f	698	$3.57K	720	06-08 21:37
Eminent-Creator 0xd47f…a9d7	696	$3.57K	719	06-08 21:37
Thick-Prosecution 0x9aea…99fb	695	$3.55K	713	06-09 17:38
Teeming-Gun 0xc4ac…f7a5	691	$7.07K	714	06-09 17:17
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	690	$35.1K	755	06-06 23:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 10:12
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:41
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:55
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:55
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
lal elc mal 2026 03 21 total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-21 14:30
Game Handicap: LGD (-2.5) vs Alibaba PKQ (+2.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 16:28
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:54
will drew allar be the third pick in the 2026 nfl draft	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 04:09
Bitcoin above 76,400 on April 30, 8AM ET?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:21
efa whu lee 2026 04 04 whu	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 17:41
SK Sigma Olomouc vs. MFK Karviná: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-23 13:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-09 09:37
atp bueno casanov 2026 04 10 first set winner Bueno vs Casanova	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 16:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 05:20