Tragic-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,112

lifetime

Volume

$161.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-21 02:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

83% 97% +$3

Sports

14% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 11:18
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	6	$150	100	50	+50	open	—	03-14 12:43
cs2 wb1 havu 2026 02 18	5	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-18 19:34
wwoh cze swe 2026 02 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 18:32
wta salkova garcia 2026 02 22 first set winner Salkova vs Garcia	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 17:49
atp wu cobolli 2026 02 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 04:29
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
epl not liv 2026 02 22 not	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 18:42
val ful1 evo2 2026 02 15 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 19:33
nba mil nop 2026 02 20 points cam thomas 14pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-21 04:27
arg tig ald 2026 02 12 tig	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 00:45
wta knutson akli 2026 02 16	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-16 15:25
cs2 ence ef1 2026 02 27	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 15:58
nba sac sas 2026 02 21 points victor wembanyama 23pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 04:34
val ucam dsy 2026 03 01 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 14:54
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 14:35
spl ith fay 2026 02 13 total 4pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 20:10
lol c9 fly 2026 02 15 game3 kill over 26pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-16 00:41
itsb emp reg 2026 02 15 draw	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 19:54
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free johannes klaebo nor	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 13:01
lol vks lev 2026 02 14 game1	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-14 21:03
spl sha ahl 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 14:37
elc lei nor 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 14:12
val mym yung 2026 02 07 game2	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 08:42
lol fur lev 2026 02 15 game1 kill over 38pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 18:03
atp popyrin majchrz 2026 02 23	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-24 18:20
col zri cry 2026 02 19 total 3pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-19 19:56
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnet	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 08:08
2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner daniel brown win	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 02:23
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:16:28	bitcoin above 67800 on july 22 2026 7am et	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa4dec4…
07-21 02:07:28	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xddd47a…
07-20 16:00:10	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b7edd…
07-20 14:44:21	atp droguet carabel 2026 07 20 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x725c05…
07-20 00:44:48	nbasl tor den 2026 07 19	Denver Nuggets	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f1265…
07-19 23:39:48	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x830e3f…
07-19 23:26:21	will there be 10 missed penalties during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610205750574	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x0c4c21…
07-19 19:05:57	cs2 mana1 mis 2026 07 19 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6bf155…
07-19 18:37:33	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b16c1…
07-19 17:38:42	swe elf sir 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34eac3…
07-19 16:52:52	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	Hammarby IF	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3a2406…
07-19 16:21:34	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe17eac…
07-19 16:20:33	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Hammarby IF	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf8ced0…
07-19 14:22:45	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	Gen.G	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5f868…
07-19 14:02:54	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfc7347…
07-19 14:02:52	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x6b1039…
07-19 12:42:10	npb hir han 2026 07 19	Hanshin Tigers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x044d3f…
07-19 12:02:13	atp tsitsip collign 2026 07 19 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x120d17…
07-19 00:47:04	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2e3184…
07-19 00:23:25	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec3ba5…
07-19 00:15:36	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8509b7…
07-19 00:04:45	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x50ecb4…
07-18 23:18:18	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86a7fe…
07-18 23:18:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x91af2a…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc033b8…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa81d98…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 first half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x945527…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 first half team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5d4757…
07-18 23:18:13	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 spread home 1pt5	Athletic Club	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfae393…
07-18 23:07:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87b082…
07-18 23:02:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc11b81…
07-18 21:21:48	nwsl den tho 2026 07 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9355c8…
07-18 20:05:04	mlb cws tor 2026 07 18 nrfi	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x724454…
07-18 18:11:00	nor vik san 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0f8ba8…
07-18 18:01:31	nor mol bra 2026 07 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e1e4f…
07-18 17:37:03	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8b7bcb…
07-18 17:15:45	chi sgr jin 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x954c86…
07-18 16:07:07	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ea194…
07-18 16:06:31	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x09e9a8…
07-18 11:46:43	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 set handicap home 1pt5	Cerundolo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd30b79…
07-18 11:34:46	itf dudeney bains 2026 07 18	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7ae72…
07-18 09:19:54	itf jade cuenin 2026 07 18	Sean Cuenin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2bce73…
07-18 03:07:48	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9196a6…
07-18 02:34:43	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Londrina EC	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5033b…
07-18 02:30:37	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x29ff3f…
07-18 02:30:36	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeda5dc…
07-17 10:56:18	itf malova kalyaki 2026 07 17	Maria Kalyakina	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x482516…
07-17 02:41:34	cs2 thunde mf 2026 07 16	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40efb0…
07-16 21:30:44	cs2 imp11 fxw7 2026 07 16 game2	Imperial	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2b8a29…
07-16 20:24:46	uel zil haj 2026 07 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf6fc09…
07-16 19:53:55	col din1 mon 2026 07 16 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbfdbd1…
07-16 19:05:04	col mil vel 2026 07 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x844b0e…
07-16 18:23:10	col pai heg 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe9f97e…
07-16 18:18:58	cs2 ge3 mw 2026 07 16 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x6d2ab1…
07-16 18:02:07	cs2 ge3 mw 2026 07 16 game2	METANOIA WOLVES	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x974225…
07-16 14:28:28	kbo kia ssg 2026 07 16	SSG Landers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x259e34…
07-16 14:12:16	atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15 set 2 winner Rublev vs Pellegrino	Pellegrino	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fc550…
07-16 01:36:34	cs2 alkaa chama 2026 07 15 map handicap away 1pt5	BORRACHEIROS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x78c8b7…
07-15 20:28:28	col dec1 lie 2026 07 15 first half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3b5b2b…
07-15 18:06:26	val tl1 ef 2026 07 15 game1	Eternal Fire	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64b4a5…
07-15 17:46:08	atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	Liam Draxl	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe69fa7…
07-15 16:40:11	cs2 wc1 m8 2026 07 15 game1	Gentle Mates	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa85104…
07-15 16:22:55	col mal vll 2026 07 15 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x173875…
07-15 15:51:31	val edg1 tyloo 2026 07 15	TYLOO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfb17f1…
07-15 11:38:47	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e726e…
07-15 10:15:34	itf radojic bilozer 2026 07 16	Nikita Bilozertsev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3c5b35…
07-14 21:55:25	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd1daf7…
07-14 21:08:46	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 second half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2256d…
07-14 21:08:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 second half total 2pt5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x26c14e…
07-14 21:06:35	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7bd5ad…
07-14 19:28:40	wta sakella tona 2026 07 14	Miriana Tona	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x22a652…
07-14 19:20:38	ucl tns sf 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1df9aa…
07-14 19:01:05	ucl eto vik 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc8a573…
07-14 18:47:07	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game1	Honvéd	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc3c5b3…
07-14 15:59:26	wta krejcik tomova 2026 07 13 set 2 winner Krejcikova vs Tomova	Krejcikova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc3292…
07-14 15:35:25	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb552e8…
07-14 15:32:41	atp muller shevche 2026 07 13 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe30c7c…
07-14 15:29:43	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9575dd…
07-14 13:05:38	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14 game2	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9195e2…
07-14 13:05:07	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x08d73d…
07-14 12:10:43	npb sai chi 2026 07 14	Saitama Seibu Lions	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2c5cdd…
07-14 11:56:55	wta sherif galfi 2026 07 13 first set winner Sherif vs Galfi	Sherif	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb9c768…
07-14 11:53:05	crint srb est 2026 07 14	Estonia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x43dd19…
07-14 09:51:34	atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	Sumit Nagal	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a232e…
07-13 19:02:05	swe dju hal 2026 07 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x51778f…
07-13 18:54:40	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x103664…
07-13 14:48:08	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88afa3…
07-13 09:44:07	atp sonego schwaer 2026 07 13 first set winner Sonego vs Schwaerzler	Sonego	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcc4770…
07-12 19:06:01	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54b752…
07-12 16:20:41	swe gais elf 2026 07 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9f260f…
07-12 15:37:14	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfc4a00…
07-12 11:05:56	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 game4 first blood	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce6d7a…
07-12 05:43:46	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x09ba3b…
07-12 04:10:53	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f065e…
07-12 04:00:20	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 holloway win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd854e3…
07-12 00:46:46	will erling haaland score 8 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17df13…
07-12 00:34:19	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xda428a…
07-11 23:48:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbe59c7…
07-11 23:30:53	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c1799…
07-11 23:07:49	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x462acf…