Tragic-Economics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,958

lifetime

Volume

$153.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-01 05:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

83% 97% +$3

Sports

14% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-19 11:18
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	6	$150	100	50	+50	open	—	03-14 12:43
cs2 wb1 havu 2026 02 18	5	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-18 19:34
por ton alv 2026 02 13 total 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 22:57
nba bos gsw 2026 02 19 total 212pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-20 06:02
sea udi sas 2026 02 15 total 1pt5	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 13:17
atp wu cobolli 2026 02 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 04:29
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
epl not liv 2026 02 22 not	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 18:42
val ful1 evo2 2026 02 15 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 19:33
nba mil nop 2026 02 20 points cam thomas 14pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-21 04:27
arg tig ald 2026 02 12 tig	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 00:45
wta knutson akli 2026 02 16	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-16 15:25
cs2 ence ef1 2026 02 27	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-27 15:58
nba sac sas 2026 02 21 points victor wembanyama 23pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 04:34
val ucam dsy 2026 03 01 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-01 14:54
wwoh cze swe 2026 02 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 18:32
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 14:35
spl ith fay 2026 02 13 total 4pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 20:10
itsb emp reg 2026 02 15 draw	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 19:54
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens 10km interval start free johannes klaebo nor	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 13:01
lol vks lev 2026 02 14 game1	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-14 21:03
spl sha ahl 2026 02 13 total 2pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 14:37
efa hul cfc 2026 02 13 total 3pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-13 22:02
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Carole Monnet	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-31 08:08
lol fur lev 2026 02 15 game1 kill over 38pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-15 18:03
atp popyrin majchrz 2026 02 23	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-24 18:20
elc lei nor 2026 02 28 total 1pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 14:12
cbb hofst neast 2026 02 21	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-21 23:40
lol c9 fly 2026 02 15 game3 kill over 26pt5	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-16 00:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 05:09:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x78365c…
07-01 04:01:56	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x95e029…
07-01 02:18:37	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c234b…
07-01 00:21:55	mlb cws bal 2026 06 30 total 10pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x82d5ee…
06-30 19:00:55	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b41db…
06-30 18:01:01	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7199e0…
06-30 10:15:32	cricecsbg bcc you 2026 06 30	BCC Spartan	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9d2b3d…
06-30 10:12:47	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5fc947…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8212e1…
06-29 23:57:28	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x324124…
06-29 22:43:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a5679…
06-29 13:52:43	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5bb38f…
06-28 21:18:22	mlb hou det 2026 06 28 spread away 1pt5	Houston Astros	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x453ce1…
06-28 17:02:08	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x34c989…
06-28 14:02:25	cs2 mana1 subtop 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x64d0ba…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0b5083…
06-28 03:59:31	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x228e81…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3184a7…
06-28 03:22:25	mlb atl sf 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	San Francisco Giants	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x15f458…
06-28 03:00:53	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc4d0a3…
06-28 01:32:02	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd572c7…
06-27 18:53:53	codmw par g2m 2026 06 27	Paris Gentle Mates	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x02f6ea…
06-27 18:27:16	mlb hou det 2026 06 27 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb6c38e…
06-26 18:32:31	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1a39b8…
06-26 18:32:22	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x183b70…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2dbff2…
06-26 01:10:32	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x967f40…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x043899…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1834b9…
06-25 02:00:23	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb3311c…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x779e4b…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd64b12…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8eb4c1…
06-24 16:52:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57c187…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6145b8…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd36b79…
06-23 19:01:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc42078…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xffe06f…
06-23 18:10:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8d5fde…
06-23 14:56:02	itf naw oetzbac 2026 06 23 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe6e473…
06-23 04:13:38	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x99e90a…
06-23 04:13:38	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x86e774…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x570c2f…
06-22 00:15:13	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x208ff9…
06-21 20:32:29	cs2 qua1 ff 2026 06 21 game2	QUAZAR	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x071c51…
06-21 18:14:44	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b2aba…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3e99ef…
06-21 13:51:44	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f1360…
06-21 05:58:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbc473e…
06-20 22:09:01	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdf97ce…
06-20 20:06:46	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2e64e4…
06-20 18:20:29	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x953495…
06-20 05:14:19	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ff04c…
06-20 02:33:19	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x28b409…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef6aba…
06-19 20:53:37	cs2 ff navij1 2026 06 19	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf3fd69…
06-19 19:00:20	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19 game3 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x53b348…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf3802a…
06-19 13:20:07	kbo ssg nc 2026 06 19	NC Dinos	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeb151d…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa06dc6…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde856d…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x247959…
06-18 10:41:56	cs2 fokus noirve 2026 06 18	FOKUS	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93a3de…
06-17 22:03:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xecc83a…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfa6ae8…
06-17 19:04:17	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x735b8a…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xae2514…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2fce34…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6a0605…
06-17 12:15:32	cs2 tdk nem 2026 06 17 game1	Team Nemesis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf60404…
06-17 08:56:43	itf subasic casas 2026 06 17 set totals 2pt5	Under 2.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9549ec…
06-17 06:19:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x20a5e0…
06-17 06:16:41	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4fde08…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaea81a…
06-16 14:06:23	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb7096d…
06-16 12:37:37	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x571983…
06-16 11:28:27	atp dias choinsk 2026 06 15	Jan Choinski	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x444c0f…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2bde8c…
06-15 21:13:09	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccc398…
06-15 21:08:51	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xfb3dd1…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x13e985…
06-15 12:41:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9bb9cd…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5ff0e9…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa176c8…
06-14 19:23:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0a66b4…
06-14 19:07:01	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 goals felix nmecha gte1	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x4b0f5a…
06-14 19:06:43	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xef3ed7…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb3597d…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff6e8b…
06-14 06:24:04	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x06a3c4…
06-13 21:05:24	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x45e7c4…
06-13 11:58:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc24100…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb98706…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2f4d32…
06-12 20:26:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9f6221…
06-12 20:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd5c542…
06-12 20:17:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x79079a…
06-12 13:30:04	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf7a00c…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe6c75e…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbf9838…