Near-Surfboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

116

Trades

249

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

93% 62% -$31

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	06-20 18:12
will beef season 2 be the 2 us netflix show this week	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	04-21 16:12
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 15:58
Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-04 03:10
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	05-27 02:41
Will Bill Cassidy finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-17 02:05
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-08 18:22
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	07-01 08:11
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	2	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-29 07:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-06 15:25
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-19 17:26
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-15 15:34
Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-08 07:32
will andurils valuation hit high 150 by july 31 20260629184730571	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	07-28 06:01
Will MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 21:07
Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$1	05-08 11:44
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 02:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 4?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-03 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 18:42
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-06 05:19
highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 15c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 05:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-05 06:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 21?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-20 20:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-25 09:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 17?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-11 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:11:46	Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa4d031…
07-28 06:01:00	will andurils valuation hit high 150 by july 31 20260629184730571	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x36ed93…
07-01 08:11:20	Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9036b0…
06-29 12:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe6a031…
06-29 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1918b9…
06-29 02:40:44	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdf40e0…
06-29 00:01:44	Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xab6faa…
06-28 04:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xae15fd…
06-28 04:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xb3abfb…
06-28 04:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1ce949…
06-27 13:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x45abc4…
06-27 13:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x060baa…
06-26 17:31:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x82af99…
06-26 15:36:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9e727a…
06-25 12:49:26	Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x332289…
06-25 09:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x378f6c…
06-25 08:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5ad28c…
06-24 15:06:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd4c3c0…
06-24 15:05:05	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x25a0f8…
06-24 12:27:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x376cce…
06-24 02:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x635083…
06-23 21:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf17ec2…
06-23 21:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 24?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd1df97…
06-23 21:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98272d…
06-22 21:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc0e86e…
06-22 21:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb5fc60…
06-22 18:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xff3f2c…
06-20 20:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xae26dd…
06-20 19:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0d8852…
06-20 18:12:40	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5e05fc…
06-20 05:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x9c9fad…
06-20 03:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xe02079…
06-18 04:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe8c1e5…
06-18 04:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9660c3…
06-16 09:32:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x4c8222…
06-16 09:31:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0c6c23…
06-16 09:30:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf8ddfe…
06-15 15:34:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaa9cb5…
06-15 12:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbd53fd…
06-15 12:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x439ec7…
06-14 09:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xed9281…
06-14 09:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x500bd1…
06-13 12:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x62bad8…
06-13 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x70990b…
06-13 12:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x47217f…
06-13 10:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb93e59…
06-12 14:05:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x060c08…
06-11 14:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9fd0aa…
06-11 14:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x120158…
06-10 16:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd3a268…
06-10 14:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xebe874…
06-09 01:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x7c609c…
06-09 01:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x270b70…
06-09 00:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd01dfd…
06-08 18:22:45	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd95da2…
06-08 07:32:55	Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa48e71…
06-08 06:34:57	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 8 20260607232624532	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xb816a7…
06-07 13:13:25	Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xd66f46…
06-07 06:02:51	Will Eligia Santucci win the 2026 San Nicola La Strada mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xe16171…
06-06 15:25:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf82315…
06-06 14:40:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x9f97b6…
06-05 18:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x0c77b7…
06-05 06:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x8d3e87…
06-04 23:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 5?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbf7d86…
06-04 03:10:34	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf9ccc5…
06-03 12:10:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 4?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xa64264…
06-03 12:04:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 4?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb18b3d…
06-02 15:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x4dc209…
06-02 12:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7299a1…
06-02 05:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x28784c…
06-02 01:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x282858…
06-01 12:14:03	Will Christine Bish advance from the CA-03 primary election?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x805d40…
06-01 00:34:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8ff0ff…
06-01 00:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x01862e…
05-31 19:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x366ed7…
05-31 12:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcfd768…
05-31 04:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x85be40…
05-31 04:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7e5b5f…
05-30 18:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x243def…
05-30 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x818559…
05-30 05:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0f20ae…
05-29 07:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xce699b…
05-29 07:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc00286…
05-28 20:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x981ecf…
05-28 18:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x20cac1…
05-28 15:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc33b22…
05-28 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x3f443e…
05-28 06:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0a6779…
05-27 22:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x4d802f…
05-27 19:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x01feaa…
05-27 12:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcae22f…
05-27 07:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x715d32…
05-27 02:41:41	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x0a937e…
05-27 01:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x7b40d0…
05-26 15:58:21	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xaaefa8…
05-26 14:42:31	Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x3f8f63…
05-25 02:06:54	Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x032e13…
05-21 06:49:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c3eda…
05-20 17:41:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x16ec65…
05-19 17:26:06	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x48d7c2…