Wilted-Drizzle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

115

Trades

256

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 08-31 02:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

98% 63% +$6

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-20 01:39
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 19:08
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-26 14:56
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-05 11:31
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	2	$27	14	14	+0	No	+$1	06-29 15:23
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 21	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 14:04
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-21 21:53
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 06:02
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	06-23 13:48
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-16 19:31
will the virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-21 21:15
Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	08-31 02:31
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-29 02:40
will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-25 12:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 16?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 01:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 24c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-24 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-27 07:31
highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 88 89f	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-22 16:45
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 31°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 06:02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-25 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 06:26
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-09 12:49
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 17c	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 03:39
highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 16c	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-23 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 2?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 04:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-16 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 3?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-02 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:31:51	Will Baidu be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2152f1…
06-29 15:23:59	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfc44e9…
06-29 07:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 29?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x7341a2…
06-29 07:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb81392…
06-29 02:40:41	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9fb94…
06-28 12:43:37	Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xd8d83b…
06-27 21:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd7e7c1…
06-27 20:18:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xf67a1b…
06-26 23:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xb4cefa…
06-26 21:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb7b86a…
06-26 01:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x761efe…
06-25 22:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfb5169…
06-25 12:48:17	will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the us by june 30 2026 356	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa4216b…
06-25 00:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa60dae…
06-25 00:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x09e9d5…
06-25 00:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x0d055f…
06-24 23:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd784e1…
06-24 10:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x77201e…
06-24 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x598707…
06-23 13:48:32	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8dc437…
06-23 07:35:50	Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x053374…
06-22 07:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xb10573…
06-22 07:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd0310d…
06-21 21:53:56	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x190e29…
06-20 16:38:38	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xab850b…
06-20 01:39:44	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1c25fa…
06-19 13:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x07fabb…
06-19 12:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x83f162…
06-18 03:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xdb427b…
06-18 03:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd7134e…
06-18 03:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x72fb02…
06-18 03:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x069143…
06-16 05:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xbc8e9f…
06-16 05:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x054ef4…
06-16 03:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 16?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9b2b06…
06-15 09:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa1230c…
06-15 04:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7fe95…
06-14 11:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xc7ea1b…
06-14 06:29:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x182bfb…
06-13 12:13:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0a370d…
06-13 12:06:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc58335…
06-13 02:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbafe5d…
06-13 02:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x6b19fa…
06-12 12:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x89d7c1…
06-12 00:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc6b2ac…
06-11 14:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x239f64…
06-11 07:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x58bbe8…
06-11 03:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3f4290…
06-09 12:49:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xcbaaac…
06-09 01:22:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x964a0b…
06-08 06:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x0f5b1c…
06-08 06:02:34	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x89889e…
06-08 05:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xe7fac4…
06-07 12:45:03	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x788476…
06-07 06:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xea5976…
06-07 05:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbdbdae…
06-06 13:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x42b5ff…
06-06 12:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 7?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x95a559…
06-05 18:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x99b700…
06-05 18:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8fa63d…
06-05 06:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9ee6c7…
06-05 06:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe188f…
06-04 22:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x751326…
06-04 12:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc4d9e9…
06-03 12:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb73fe1…
06-03 12:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x446134…
06-03 12:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc55e17…
06-02 14:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x9e8aca…
06-02 14:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xbdfb0d…
06-02 12:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 3?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa36b42…
06-02 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x774ab4…
06-01 22:06:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1ad186…
06-01 13:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9a54d2…
06-01 12:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5c940e…
06-01 00:29:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x933b33…
05-31 23:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8f3f22…
05-31 19:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8b4ab2…
05-31 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x06415f…
05-31 06:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x022009…
05-31 01:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x683e2b…
05-31 01:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x954ecc…
05-31 00:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc5e439…
05-30 12:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb32255…
05-30 01:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xb60e1e…
05-30 01:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x53aa90…
05-29 18:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6c816f…
05-29 18:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x67e0fd…
05-29 17:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c18b0…
05-29 03:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x5fba8d…
05-29 03:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x25e6ff…
05-28 13:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xd741f9…
05-28 12:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xd78b3a…
05-28 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xd6f791…
05-27 19:38:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc2d682…
05-27 07:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xfff644…
05-27 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e1e4e…
05-27 04:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x9534e6…
05-26 16:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x3aa9f4…
05-26 14:56:48	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x722888…
05-25 22:19:15	Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x54deb4…