Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

29.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,172

lifetime

Volume

$356.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$164

Open exposure

$295

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Politics

33% 50% $-40

Sports

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump goes to space in 2026?	No		+300	$291	98¢	$295	+$4	06-17 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	104	$44.6K	40,461	40,461	+0	open	—	02-11 13:36
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	14	$10.5K	6,041	6,041	+0	open	—	02-13 20:50
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	23	$9.4K	18,785	18,785	+0	open	—	02-19 15:05
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in january 2026	17	$6.7K	5,376	2,341	+3,035	open	—	01-22 08:05
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	1	$6.6K	6,662	0	+6,662	open	—	06-24 14:37
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	21	$5.8K	8,937	3,637	+5,300	open	—	02-11 13:35
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	33	$5.4K	14,145	13,495	+650	open	—	01-28 15:27
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$5.2K	5,790	0	+5,790	open	—	02-11 14:13
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	3	$4.4K	2,222	2,222	+0	open	—	01-22 12:15
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	5	$4.4K	4,635	0	+4,635	open	—	02-19 15:06
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	11	$4.3K	16,893	7,799	+9,095	open	—	02-06 13:45
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	1	$4.3K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	01-21 19:55
epl ful che 2026 01 07 che	21	$4.2K	4,095	3,095	+1,000	open	—	01-07 21:06
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 bar	1	$4.0K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	01-18 19:15
cbb wrght det 2026 01 09 spread away 5pt5	5	$3.8K	3,010	3,010	+0	open	—	01-10 02:18
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	10	$3.8K	4,527	4,527	+0	open	—	02-16 17:28
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	21	$3.5K	1,875	2,025	-150	open	—	02-03 17:05
spx up or down on february 2 2026	6	$3.3K	3,465	3,465	-0	open	—	02-02 15:37
cbb holy lafay 2026 01 17	2	$3.0K	6,423	0	+6,423	open	—	01-17 17:47
cbb iowast cin 2026 01 17 spread away 6pt5	7	$2.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	01-17 18:43
cbb fordm stbon 2026 01 10 total 140pt5	4	$2.8K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	01-10 16:50
epl mac che 2026 01 04 total 3pt5	4	$2.8K	5,249	0	+5,249	open	—	01-04 17:03
nba phi tor 2026 01 12	55	$2.8K	4,828	0	+4,828	open	—	01-11 23:09
cbb fair marist 2026 01 17 total 141pt5	5	$2.7K	5,200	0	+5,200	open	—	01-17 19:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$2.7K	3,000	3,000	-0	Yes	$-60	01-07 10:06
nba hou sac 2026 01 11 total 222pt5	6	$2.6K	5,250	0	+5,250	open	—	01-11 19:24
es2 gra cas 2026 01 11 cas	8	$2.6K	2,500	1,900	+600	open	—	01-11 15:10
cfb ore txtech 2026 01 01	4	$2.6K	4,491	0	+4,491	open	—	01-01 19:42
elc ips bbr 2026 01 17 total 2pt5	1	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-17 12:10
nba uta cle 2026 01 12	1	$2.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 22:33:34	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0xb2f851…
07-03 22:32:50	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x5e7e2a…
07-03 22:32:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x8cec9a…
06-25 15:53:10	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	272	93¢	$254	0x34d495…
06-24 14:37:17	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	6,662	100¢	$6,629	0x31136f…
06-23 11:43:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf1621e…
06-22 08:35:56	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0x4c6f2f…
06-19 06:21:59	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x75772a…
06-18 13:20:13	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	242	45¢	$109	0x05e4b3…
06-18 13:19:01	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x0ed491…
06-18 13:18:46	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x072b04…
06-18 13:18:31	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	174	35¢	$61	0x2a7910…
06-18 13:14:16	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xbd63fd…
06-18 13:12:20	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	1,362	14¢	$185	0xbe3124…
06-18 13:12:14	gta vi released before november 2026	Yes	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x041290…
06-17 23:41:53	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6b8443…
06-17 23:13:19	Trump goes to space in 2026?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$291	0xb58f91…
06-17 18:06:01	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x83dc4e…
06-14 22:12:42	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	135	97¢	$131	0x929389…
06-14 22:01:45	will wti dip to 60 in june 2026 371 314 412	No	BUY	365	97¢	$354	0x71f6be…
06-14 18:49:13	will wti dip to 40 in june 2026 584 727 626	No	BUY	41	100¢	$40	0x7032b9…
06-12 15:36:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	678	7¢	$46	0xfd99df…
06-12 15:28:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0xc01b19…
06-12 15:27:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	166	29¢	$48	0xbf66b5…
06-12 15:15:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xaae6da…
06-12 14:59:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	38	78¢	$29	0x715494…
06-12 14:41:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x62c25d…
06-12 14:29:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x7b206d…
06-12 14:26:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	236	99¢	$233	0x465772…
06-12 14:26:34	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	264	99¢	$261	0x188b5f…
06-12 14:21:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x33e504…
06-12 14:18:42	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x7d6ed0…
06-12 14:18:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	176	38¢	$67	0xdfdae5…
06-12 14:17:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	84	37¢	$31	0xb98b51…
06-12 14:09:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x56e8d5…
06-12 14:06:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x6c6bfc…
06-12 14:00:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x12ea8d…
06-12 13:53:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xa92bc8…
06-12 13:53:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x4efc01…
06-12 13:53:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	112	49¢	$54	0x3655a0…
06-09 15:38:09	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x8e74f1…
06-09 15:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xefa9f6…
06-09 15:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xef4789…
06-09 15:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	189	14¢	$26	0xcf77e5…
06-09 15:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xc9bb19…
06-09 15:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x1e811a…
06-09 15:34:09	btc updown 5m 1781019300	Up	BUY	407	51¢	$208	0xd58ee6…
06-09 14:52:45	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x942285…
06-09 14:52:45	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7c4dd4…
06-09 14:52:45	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	85	9¢	$8	0x5ed3b3…
06-09 14:52:43	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	439	8¢	$36	0xc7f7f5…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xdd4a93…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd8c5c6…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xaee084…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8b788f…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x7cce42…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x648037…
06-09 14:50:18	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	144	53¢	$76	0x320a37…
06-09 14:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2c466e…
06-09 14:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x19adb3…
06-09 14:50:16	btc updown 5m 1781016600	Down	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x091fa5…
06-09 13:30:39	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	80	83¢	$66	0x39ccd9…
06-09 13:30:31	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xf1aef8…
06-09 13:30:07	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x08a72a…
06-09 13:30:00	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf1c771…
06-09 13:29:57	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	104	83¢	$86	0xc7c306…
06-09 13:28:15	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x0c4c1a…
06-09 13:28:13	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	24	82¢	$20	0x9ed92d…
06-09 13:28:01	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x5cc2c5…
06-09 13:26:27	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd5dcd4…
06-09 13:26:22	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x99f5d9…
06-09 13:25:04	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x0e0c68…
06-09 13:23:04	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x5db3ef…
06-09 13:19:16	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	205	83¢	$170	0x31396e…
06-09 13:18:36	spx up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	187	83¢	$156	0x518d52…
06-08 14:20:10	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x30f490…
04-13 08:01:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x748107…
03-22 23:24:13	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xf316e3…
03-22 21:17:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	44	68¢	$30	0x96e98d…
03-22 21:13:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0xa7b037…
03-17 14:00:01	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x79b837…
03-15 23:14:27	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0xac30f4…
03-13 11:16:37	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	845	2¢	$14	0x61cbd0…
03-13 10:45:05	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf87ab1…
03-13 10:41:43	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x65526a…
03-13 10:38:21	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x25556e…
03-13 09:55:51	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5228f6…
03-13 09:55:31	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb4effd…
03-13 09:08:51	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x8b6484…
03-13 08:58:45	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	182	2¢	$3	0xe0fec2…
03-13 08:28:01	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xb786b1…
03-13 08:27:01	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x2cd157…
03-13 08:23:43	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x88b04d…
03-13 08:22:17	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x713d20…
03-13 03:34:19	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,177	2¢	$20	0x626601…
03-13 02:26:05	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	127	2¢	$2	0x6a0783…
03-12 21:31:09	euroleague madrid valencia 2026 03 12	Real Madrid	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x254433…
03-12 21:30:57	euroleague madrid valencia 2026 03 12	Real Madrid	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf200b0…
03-12 20:32:57	euroleague madrid valencia 2026 03 12	Real Madrid	SELL	148	78¢	$116	0x02abb1…
03-12 20:32:51	euroleague madrid valencia 2026 03 12	Real Madrid	SELL	53	78¢	$41	0x6edb0f…