Easy-Going-Garlic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$651

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-25 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

68% 22% $-4

Politics

28% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-5

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	12	$38	60	60	+0	open	—	04-19 20:33
will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the united states in february 2026	3	$31	136	136	+0	open	—	02-22 17:18
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	2	$18	26	26	+0	open	—	03-05 10:38
will israel strike iraq by february 28	2	$16	28	28	+0	open	—	02-28 13:47
bra cre vas 2026 04 11 draw	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-11 21:58
arg est uni 2026 04 11 est	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-11 22:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	03-08 00:55
tulsi gabbard out by march 31	2	$12	28	28	+0	open	—	03-18 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$11	105	12	+93	open	—	04-07 23:20
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$11	69	0	+69	open	—	04-21 02:16
wti up or down on june 26 2026	10	$11	494	394	+100	open	—	06-26 20:56
evidence epstein blackmailed politicians released by feb 28	1	$10	279	0	+279	open	—	02-19 02:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	6	$10	236	236	+0	open	—	03-28 00:05
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	04-15 20:49
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-11 13:25
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	4	$7	33	33	+0	open	—	04-22 12:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$7	19	19	+0	open	—	03-26 19:42
Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	3	$7	148	148	+0	open	—	04-30 17:48
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-01 22:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 00:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$6	396	396	+0	open	—	04-24 14:45
pam bondi out as attorney general by march 31	2	$6	77	0	+77	open	—	03-05 10:48
Trump out as President by April 30?	6	$6	312	312	+0	open	—	04-19 11:38
will the us tariff rate on china be between 25 and 35 on march 31	3	$5	93	93	+0	open	—	03-22 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-04 23:29
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	2	$5	154	0	+154	open	—	02-23 01:42
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$5	105	0	+105	open	—	03-18 12:48
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	4	$5	54	32	+22	open	—	07-10 00:40
will there be 22 or more us strikes on somalia in february 2026	3	$5	367	367	+0	open	—	02-22 17:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	3	$4	146	146	+0	open	—	05-27 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 02:46:04	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x2cab9c…
07-25 02:42:06	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	Yes	SELL	159	0¢	$0	0xd59f28…
07-13 18:06:32	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc76b42…
07-13 18:05:43	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xe81ecf…
07-10 00:40:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xd47432…
07-10 00:40:26	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x2b2ad9…
07-09 22:23:05	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x259808…
07-09 22:22:53	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xfa88e3…
07-09 22:22:43	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa40b03…
07-09 21:03:22	jd vance out as vp by july 31 20260626154902197	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xcb0088…
07-09 21:02:59	pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by july 31 20260616200232527	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xbb4783…
07-09 20:14:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x569f57…
07-09 20:09:17	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 shots ismael saibari gte5	Yes	BUY	222	0¢	$1	0x8ebd05…
07-09 20:05:04	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 extra time	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe2caf…
07-09 20:04:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc30394…
07-09 17:05:02	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xc67923…
07-09 15:43:59	will wti reach 130 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xc9f234…
07-09 15:43:53	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x92465c…
07-09 14:40:52	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xba7aba…
07-09 14:40:44	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1804af…
07-08 18:54:49	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x30a9da…
07-08 18:54:43	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x1f487d…
07-08 18:54:32	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc20a5c…
07-01 22:04:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8fa05b…
07-01 21:54:37	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x086666…
07-01 17:19:16	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x4c7dc2…
06-30 23:31:08	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x1ebffb…
06-29 21:11:05	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x29e82c…
06-29 20:20:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x3f1393…
06-28 08:10:13	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x88ba5b…
06-28 08:03:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xe3baf2…
06-26 20:56:19	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f3f3d…
06-26 20:55:38	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	284	0¢	$0	0x4f1343…
06-26 19:24:20	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc06a6f…
06-26 18:44:11	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x7b0024…
06-26 17:41:47	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x52c83c…
06-26 17:37:38	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x77272c…
06-26 17:37:20	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	110	2¢	$3	0xe6b967…
06-26 17:30:47	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xdadf0b…
06-26 17:16:44	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xd85240…
06-26 15:35:47	wti up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xb014fa…
06-25 23:57:37	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	219	0¢	$0	0xa63496…
05-31 19:31:02	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf225c0…
05-29 23:43:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3a931c…
05-28 19:06:50	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x3563d2…
05-28 19:03:25	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa8bd9d…
05-28 09:27:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x10e761…
05-27 12:56:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x751454…
05-27 12:56:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	146	0¢	$0	0x47d87c…
05-26 14:17:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x84b8ce…
05-26 05:28:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0x30f486…
05-26 00:47:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x2d01b7…
05-26 00:40:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xbc50e0…
05-14 18:28:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfd5e68…
05-13 22:33:13	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$2	0xcaed88…
05-13 22:01:41	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x05cebf…
05-12 20:57:09	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	126	1¢	$1	0xfeadc2…
05-04 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x18d813…
05-04 22:55:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0xfb8100…
05-04 11:49:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb53a09…
05-02 02:24:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xa836e3…
05-02 02:16:38	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$0	0xb5a0c5…
04-30 17:48:54	Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	Yes	SELL	148	0¢	$1	0x0c173d…
04-30 15:06:28	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x1a481b…
04-30 13:46:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	91	2¢	$2	0xac7812…
04-29 22:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	71	5¢	$3	0x8445af…
04-29 08:43:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x4f2b76…
04-29 08:43:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x6568d0…
04-29 00:32:06	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0xfe9af1…
04-29 00:30:48	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0xaf9ea6…
04-29 00:24:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xe4fdf6…
04-29 00:24:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xb3cc49…
04-25 19:43:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x7cbfea…
04-25 12:56:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	SELL	132	1¢	$1	0x016193…
04-24 14:45:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$1	0x8f6a8c…
04-24 14:37:06	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x9387d1…
04-24 14:37:00	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x25905d…
04-24 14:36:48	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x9d8381…
04-22 12:16:26	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x989640…
04-22 08:12:42	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x5a8691…
04-21 18:58:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$2	0x6773c6…
04-21 18:10:32	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	12¢	$2	0xb72406…
04-21 02:16:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x9b2cc0…
04-19 21:42:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x78cdb5…
04-19 20:33:30	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x62e4b0…
04-19 20:12:58	fl1 psg lyo 2026 04 19 psg	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3baab1…
04-19 19:59:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0xd0f54a…
04-19 19:54:32	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x5235c0…
04-19 19:42:10	btc updown 5m 1776627600	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0f4242…
04-19 19:23:34	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x9793d5…
04-19 19:17:26	bun moe mai 2026 04 19 mai	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xcdf587…
04-19 18:17:46	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0xf9383d…
04-19 17:57:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xee3285…
04-19 17:18:08	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x7e515c…
04-19 17:10:22	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x2c11f5…
04-19 16:12:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x41eaee…
04-19 16:12:46	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x429884…
04-19 16:04:02	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xaac235…
04-19 15:55:50	Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xb769d2…
04-19 12:35:34	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x82f9fd…