Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$388

Unrealized P&L

+$359

Hit rate

27.7%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$5.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$31

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-09 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 18% -$469

Other

16% 44% +$157

Politics

14% 43% -$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-475	-$390	6¢	$-31	+$359	06-30 04:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	8	$1.3K	1,443	1,054	+390	$80k	-$36	04-28 02:58
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	31	$826	1,411	1,411	+0	open	—	08-28 07:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	3	$559	1,500	1,419	+81	No	-$191	04-06 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$498	600	580	+20	No	-$138	04-06 03:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$490	106	581	-475	open	—	06-30 04:25
will nvda dip to 164 in march	9	$378	592	592	+0	No	+$41	03-23 13:24
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$251	853	853	+0	Yes	+$39	02-22 08:59
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	4	$241	700	663	+37	No	-$121	04-06 08:09
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$223	125	125	+0	No	+$23	03-14 00:57
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$196	147	147	+0	Yes	-$4	04-01 11:23
Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	22	$186	2,222	2,199	+23	No	-$2	04-13 18:59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	6	$158	320	320	+0	Yes	+$74	09-16 04:40
will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	3	$130	187	0	+187	Yes	+$57	03-12 10:12
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	1	$100	145	0	+145	No	-$100	03-03 16:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$88	153	153	+0	No	-$45	10-02 12:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	7	$65	60	60	+0	Yes	+$43	09-10 20:39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	86	0	+86	Yes	+$36	09-17 01:47
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?	2	$35	100	100	+0	No	-$3	04-01 11:25
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	3	$30	34	34	+0	No	-$10	10-09 02:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$28	790	0	+790	No	-$28	03-30 10:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	4	$20	100	100	+0	open	—	09-16 15:08
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	3	$19	150	150	+0	open	—	09-16 05:10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$16	30	30	+0	No	-$4	04-01 11:26
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	2	$15	26	26	+0	No	-$5	03-18 15:18
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	2	$6	12	12	+0	No	-$4	10-09 02:58
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	1	$6	40	0	+40	No	-$6	03-14 05:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	+$2	10-08 03:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:35 UTC	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	09-25 04:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$2	143	143	+0	No	$0	10-02 12:32
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	10-06 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 02:59:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	34	29¢	$10	0x2120dd…
10-09 02:58:39	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xf0d9ae…
10-08 03:12:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb1110d…
10-06 01:38:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xca481b…
10-06 01:37:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x47ea84…
10-06 01:34:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x53551d…
10-02 12:32:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$1	0xe8ca27…
10-02 12:32:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	153	14¢	$21	0xcc243e…
10-02 03:10:14	will bitcoin reach 90k in october 2026	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4d8671…
09-30 08:48:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd700a1…
09-30 08:47:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	42¢	$60	0x47744c…
09-25 04:40:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe5025d…
09-25 04:39:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbd75f3…
09-17 01:47:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x023ddd…
09-16 15:08:36	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x736377…
09-16 05:10:52	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0xc48fb4…
09-16 04:40:49	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	320	36¢	$116	0xdfd50d…
09-10 20:39:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0xd6ea0e…
09-10 20:25:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xb42314…
09-10 20:25:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd72503…
09-10 20:11:27	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xd58233…
08-28 07:01:55	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	382	7¢	$27	0x2466b1…
08-16 22:29:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0x17b4a2…
08-12 20:57:15	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$9	0x3cc0da…
08-12 20:57:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0x6f565b…
08-11 11:57:40	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xe8d084…
08-11 08:10:30	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x25780f…
08-11 08:10:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x64a586…
08-11 08:09:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	19¢	$23	0x055569…
08-08 07:20:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	10¢	$6	0x2e27ed…
08-08 07:20:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xfe9e41…
08-08 07:20:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x5fe498…
08-08 07:19:28	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd4c3a9…
08-08 07:19:00	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xd63a92…
07-10 18:27:10	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	33¢	$60	0x2b8847…
07-09 11:59:22	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x8ebae4…
07-08 18:10:59	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xdadb6d…
07-08 16:34:16	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x68f307…
07-07 19:56:04	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0x15543e…
07-07 11:18:37	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xa4b51d…
07-07 11:01:43	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0xfc8ac5…
07-06 01:43:23	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x28a867…
07-06 01:42:31	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	32¢	$16	0xa979e6…
07-05 02:59:07	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x8f7613…
07-03 17:49:01	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x6676d0…
06-30 12:21:16	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x8e8fd6…
06-30 12:15:22	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xdc49c5…
06-30 11:59:35	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x177607…
06-30 11:55:13	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x57d3d1…
06-30 11:51:31	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xe22a76…
06-30 11:48:41	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xb2a0ac…
06-30 04:25:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	436	75¢	$327	0x3228be…
06-30 04:23:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x08d29c…
06-27 22:32:17	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	41¢	$108	0x3c63f2…
06-27 09:34:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	78¢	$112	0xd210c4…
06-27 05:51:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe51a97…
05-28 02:35:24	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0xe02247…
05-28 02:32:29	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xab2d1d…
05-23 09:40:44	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x4e757e…
05-23 09:40:26	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x45d9ef…
05-23 09:40:21	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	31¢	$141	0x71b808…
05-23 08:50:51	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x9f59a6…
05-23 04:43:45	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x40869a…
05-22 17:48:14	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x776af5…
05-18 01:47:43	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x7f8846…
05-18 01:42:50	Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0xf184d3…
05-16 07:17:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x475e4f…
04-28 02:58:00	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	140	21¢	$30	0xb89c93…
04-28 02:57:54	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xf83763…
04-13 18:59:17	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	SELL	2,199	4¢	$92	0x99198f…
04-06 08:09:47	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	Yes	SELL	662	9¢	$60	0xded755…
04-06 07:24:19	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x04e4e2…
04-06 03:31:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	580	31¢	$180	0xdf8ec8…
04-06 03:30:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,419	13¢	$184	0x804e30…
04-05 23:26:07	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x7a03fc…
04-05 07:22:57	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x8457bd…
04-03 05:29:01	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x07cc5b…
04-03 05:11:29	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x006770…
04-02 23:13:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4fc078…
04-02 23:13:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x344ea8…
04-02 20:10:39	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x5a9542…
04-02 17:47:51	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x59a1e0…
04-02 17:47:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdf01ef…
04-02 17:47:41	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf7989a…
04-02 17:47:41	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xe63ca3…
04-02 17:15:21	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf5420a…
04-02 16:26:53	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x1f5256…
04-02 13:56:05	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xf9b923…
04-02 13:55:07	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x23a450…
04-02 13:54:49	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x0467c9…
04-02 13:54:35	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x092f47…
04-02 13:54:19	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xfadb50…
04-02 13:54:07	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0x6a89e1…
04-02 13:53:55	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x2818b3…
04-02 13:28:39	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	300	27¢	$81	0xf61655…
04-02 13:11:09	Will Solana dip to $40 in April?	Yes	BUY	999	5¢	$50	0x75b482…
04-02 13:09:11	Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xafd3d6…
04-02 13:05:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x9b3e1f…
04-02 13:04:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	600	53¢	$318	0xbc8679…
04-02 13:04:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	900	25¢	$225	0x0ea6dd…