Realized P&L
-$1.93K
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
4,839
Trades
27,002
lifetime
Volume
$254.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.12K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-12 16:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
58% 48% -$448
Crypto
35% 36% -$871
Politics
4% 64% +$167
Sports
3% 60% -$779
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 663 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +290 $277 100¢ $289 +$13 08-23 09:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +290 $288 100¢ $289 +$1 08-23 09:39
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +290 $220 95¢ $275 +$55 08-23 18:06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +150 $149 100¢ $149 +$0 08-21 19:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +150 $139 99¢ $149 +$10 08-22 06:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +150 $148 98¢ $147 -$2 08-21 19:27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +150 $52 80¢ $121 +$68 08-21 19:27
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 No +64 -$1 90¢ $58 +$59 08-19 18:55
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +50 $46 99¢ $49 +$3 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $47 98¢ $49 +$2 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $49 98¢ $49 $0 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $44 97¢ $49 +$4 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +50 $49 96¢ $48 -$2 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $42 83¢ $42 $0 08-17 20:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $42 77¢ $39 -$3 08-17 20:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +150 $110 24¢ $35 -$75 08-21 19:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +50 $42 67¢ $34 -$8 08-17 20:07
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 No +18 $14 94¢ $17 +$3 08-14 14:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +290 $84 6¢ $16 -$68 08-23 09:39
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 08-18 07:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 08-18 07:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $14 100¢ $15 +$0 08-18 07:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $14 99¢ $15 +$0 08-18 07:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$1 08-18 14:31
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $14 95¢ $14 +$0 08-18 07:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $13 94¢ $14 +$1 08-18 07:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +15 $13 92¢ $14 +$1 08-18 07:49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +15 $12 91¢ $14 +$1 08-18 14:31