(anonymous) 0x0f4451…e8f4bd
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
98
lifetime
Volume
$571
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$7
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 07-04 00:24
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
96% — —
Other
2% — —
Sports
2% — —
Politics
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +58 $2 2¢ $1 $-1 07-02 20:20
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +14 $1 7¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:20
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +38 $1 2¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:20
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:18
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +15 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:19
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:20
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $-0 07-02 20:20