Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$2,404
Trades
68
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$3,836
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 19:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-11.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $100
vs crowd: 12% YES on $2.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $536 | $536 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $95 | $1.1K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $95 | $100 | $5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $57 | $77 | $20 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $100 | $100 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $89 | $254 | $165 |
| Median | 5 | $49 | $5 | +$44 |
| Below median | 6 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $32 | — | +$32 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| unranked | 9 | $66 | $71 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | +732 | $622 | $622 | 9 | 06-02 06:12 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +615 | $535 | $535 | 5 | 06-07 21:02 |
| Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | +594 | $89 | $89 | 3 | 05-31 00:25 |
| Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | +317 | $44 | $44 | 7 | 06-06 13:03 |
| All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | +296 | $254 | $254 | 3 | 06-03 07:25 |
| Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | +264 | $230 | $230 | 7 | 06-09 19:00 |
| Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | +250 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-07 21:02 |
| Naughty-Brilliant 0x4167…0ae3 | Yes | +192 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-08 22:11 |
| Shiny-Twist 0x9a31…b2c2 | Yes | +127 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-04 01:21 |
| Secondary-Sector 0x4109…ad6b | No | +115 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-06 13:03 |
| Loyal-Doe-Seeder 0x567e…d582 | Yes | +107 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-02 04:35 |
| Light-Reunion 0x801b…e036 | No | +83 | $70 | $70 | 3 | 05-30 02:47 |
| Brave-Keyboarding 0xa769…8a2a | Yes | +38 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-03 14:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b96…6226 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-09 17:21 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-02 06:12 |
| Foolhardy-Chief 0xd97d…b56e | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-07 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf165…6725 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-08 23:04 |
| Vigilant-Guerrilla 0xbe91…483a | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 08:05 |
| Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-09 19:00 |
| Measly-Morbidity 0xf56f…1f98 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:16 |
| Real-Neck 0xf88f…87c9 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:20 |
| Sudden-Accompanist 0x23c0…8a00 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:23 |
| Edible-Cafe 0x9774…7885 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:17 |
| Cute-Rations 0x60f1…a9e9 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:15 |
| Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 12:28 |
| Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 13:38 |
| Familiar-Protein 0xd9c9…7c08 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 00:03 |
| Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 07:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 19:00:13 | Plastic-Sandal 0xfc70…69bc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5b89f6… |
| 06-09 19:00:13 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0x5b89f6… |
| 06-09 17:21:10 | (anonymous) 0x3b96…6226 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd49b87… |
| 06-09 17:21:10 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xd49b87… |
| 06-09 17:20:10 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xaf0045… |
| 06-09 17:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x3b96…6226 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xaf0045… |
| 06-09 08:05:01 | Vigilant-Guerrilla 0xbe91…483a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe4f792… |
| 06-09 08:05:01 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xe4f792… |
| 06-08 23:04:37 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0xe7f3e1… |
| 06-08 23:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xf165…6725 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xe7f3e1… |
| 06-08 22:11:48 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 192 | 87¢ | $167 | 0xa6c681… |
| 06-08 22:11:48 | Naughty-Brilliant 0x4167…0ae3 | Yes | BUY | 192 | 13¢ | $25 | 0xa6c681… |
| 06-07 21:02:43 | Fortunate-Document 0xa173…3315 | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x73a26d… |
| 06-07 21:02:43 | Tough-Placode 0xcf92…4bfd | Yes | BUY | 250 | 13¢ | $32 | 0x73a26d… |
| 06-07 21:02:43 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 235 | 87¢ | $204 | 0x73a26d… |
| 06-07 16:47:00 | Foolhardy-Chief 0xd97d…b56e | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x212a16… |
| 06-07 16:47:00 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 15 | 87¢ | $13 | 0x212a16… |
| 06-06 13:03:58 | Secondary-Sector 0x4109…ad6b | No | BUY | 115 | 87¢ | $100 | 0xb91a4e… |
| 06-06 13:03:58 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 98 | 87¢ | $85 | 0xb91a4e… |
| 06-06 13:03:58 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb91a4e… |
| 06-05 06:02:13 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 250 | 87¢ | $218 | 0x4f6628… |
| 06-05 06:02:13 | Impassioned-Body 0xb046…857c | No | SELL | 250 | 87¢ | $218 | 0x4f6628… |
| 06-04 01:21:34 | Shiny-Twist 0x9a31…b2c2 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 13¢ | $10 | 0xc73466… |
| 06-04 01:21:34 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 77 | 87¢ | $67 | 0xc73466… |
| 06-03 14:15:58 | Brave-Keyboarding 0xa769…8a2a | Yes | BUY | 38 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xdb8452… |
| 06-03 14:15:58 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 38 | 87¢ | $33 | 0xdb8452… |
| 06-03 07:25:55 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xed9e7e… |
| 06-03 07:25:55 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xed9e7e… |
| 06-03 07:25:30 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 14¢ | $31 | 0xa73c6c… |
| 06-03 07:25:30 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 218 | 86¢ | $188 | 0xa73c6c… |
| 06-02 12:28:23 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfe8e9f… |
| 06-02 12:28:23 | Partial-Retouching 0xad70…036b | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xfe8e9f… |
| 06-02 07:30:48 | Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xc1d5b1… |
| 06-02 07:30:48 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xc1d5b1… |
| 06-02 06:12:26 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x97aa81… |
| 06-02 06:12:26 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x97aa81… |
| 06-02 04:35:16 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 107 | 85¢ | $91 | 0x832b50… |
| 06-02 04:35:16 | Loyal-Doe-Seeder 0x567e…d582 | Yes | BUY | 107 | 15¢ | $16 | 0x832b50… |
| 06-02 00:03:53 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x02607f… |
| 06-02 00:03:53 | Familiar-Protein 0xd9c9…7c08 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x02607f… |
| 06-01 13:23:45 | Sudden-Accompanist 0x23c0…8a00 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8bb977… |
| 06-01 13:23:45 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x8bb977… |
| 06-01 13:20:26 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x49fc37… |
| 06-01 13:20:26 | Real-Neck 0xf88f…87c9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x49fc37… |
| 06-01 13:17:47 | Edible-Cafe 0x9774…7885 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x08c35c… |
| 06-01 13:17:47 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x08c35c… |
| 06-01 13:16:24 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0x522b16… |
| 06-01 13:16:24 | Measly-Morbidity 0xf56f…1f98 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x522b16… |
| 06-01 13:15:30 | Cute-Rations 0x60f1…a9e9 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa1e371… |
| 06-01 13:15:30 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xa1e371… |
| 06-01 13:14:17 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xa6ee87… |
| 06-01 13:14:17 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xa6ee87… |
| 06-01 05:59:00 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 14¢ | $10 | 0x32ce54… |
| 06-01 05:59:00 | All-Architecture 0x588d…099a | No | BUY | 73 | 86¢ | $62 | 0x32ce54… |
| 05-31 13:38:14 | Useful-Terminology 0xefde…6505 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xa43933… |
| 05-31 13:38:14 | Noxious-Subtitle 0xd8d3…ff72 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xa43933… |
| 05-31 00:25:08 | Gifted-Ellipse 0xb619…5068 | No | BUY | 574 | 85¢ | $488 | 0x759951… |
| 05-31 00:25:08 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 574 | 15¢ | $86 | 0x759951… |
| 05-30 02:47:24 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x6199e3… |
| 05-30 02:47:24 | Light-Reunion 0x801b…e036 | No | BUY | 26 | 84¢ | $22 | 0x6199e3… |
| 05-29 19:41:14 | Shiny-Twist 0x9a31…b2c2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 16¢ | $8 | 0x4d0f16… |
| 05-29 19:41:14 | Light-Reunion 0x801b…e036 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x4d0f16… |
| 05-29 11:15:50 | Downright-Stot 0x9a1d…8986 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x75c04f… |
| 05-29 11:15:50 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x75c04f… |
| 05-29 08:49:01 | Hilarious-Harpooner 0xda46…5470 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x699c0e… |
| 05-29 08:49:01 | Loud-Receiver 0xa40d…ea7a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x699c0e… |
| 05-28 18:41:35 | Light-Reunion 0x801b…e036 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xe82ef4… |
| 05-28 18:41:35 | Actual-Month 0x673a…d354 | No | SELL | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xe82ef4… |