Cautious-Sale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,633

lifetime

Volume

$16.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-03 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

77% 96% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 14:19:23	chi yun hen 2026 07 03 first half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd420f…
07-03 09:17:43	cs2 lg6 nip 2026 07 03 game2	NIP	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x823d74…
07-02 20:59:32	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46434f…
07-02 20:04:46	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd671c3…
07-02 14:07:02	cs2 wbt mis 2026 07 02 game2	Misa Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad5e1…
07-01 22:56:17	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4cb9a…
07-01 18:31:10	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34cc26…
07-01 18:03:08	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x452f27…
07-01 05:09:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42d025…
07-01 04:01:14	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8103f9…
07-01 04:00:44	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01d673…
07-01 02:18:34	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf50b00…
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3665ba…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7be1f2…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0110d0…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ddbbb…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd85fd2…
06-30 00:35:05	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbdcef…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332542…
06-29 19:22:04	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c728e…
06-29 19:13:23	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd468ee…
06-29 19:06:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 shots vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x581c9b…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a2ded…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad7449…
06-28 20:31:04	crint cze srb 2026 06 28	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x412150…
06-28 15:25:38	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bc274…
06-28 09:38:43	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa124e2…
06-28 04:01:43	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54f474…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1640f…
06-27 18:05:47	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca1a4e…
06-27 17:08:38	codmw faz lat1 2026 06 27	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5f686…
06-27 16:43:59	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x565d04…
06-27 12:00:43	kbo han ssg 2026 06 27	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x555540…
06-27 05:13:49	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeec49e…
06-27 02:05:16	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x289734…
06-27 02:01:31	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x770ea6…
06-26 21:11:07	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c71e8…
06-26 19:04:26	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x522e30…
06-26 16:02:02	codmw par faz 2026 06 26	FaZe Vegas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd8cf2…
06-26 15:39:32	codmw par faz 2026 06 26	FaZe Vegas	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x1e4a2f…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bc868…
06-26 00:59:17	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x341fff…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e014f…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51643b…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b8c05…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb070a4…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbba369…
06-24 20:58:26	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e462…
06-24 16:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd33ff4…
06-24 09:58:58	val osg t1a 2026 06 24 game1	ONSIDE GAMING	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8c9b7…
06-24 03:15:11	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x646ddf…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91003b…
06-23 18:25:05	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6b0b0…
06-23 18:10:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d0c97…
06-23 12:26:47	kbo nc lot 2026 06 23	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda434a…
06-21 13:51:44	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x682f25…
06-20 22:09:08	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x321236…
06-20 20:06:44	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb37857…
06-20 19:15:34	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a42ac…
06-20 12:35:43	kbo kia kt 2026 06 20	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x385770…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc38413…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77c80d…
06-20 02:33:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53612a…
06-20 01:50:22	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xead4c6…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a2d93…
06-19 21:52:17	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd657c…
06-19 17:20:47	cs2 1win inox 2026 06 19 game1	1WIN	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1cb5e…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41b288…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b322…
06-18 23:47:11	r6siege m80 c9 2026 06 18	M80	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x202e01…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea57a…
06-18 21:03:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 goals granit xhaka gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b3fdc…
06-17 20:57:53	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2c547…
06-17 19:25:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f1336…
06-17 19:18:01	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6da63a…
06-17 19:04:19	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x956e4e…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd6ed7…
06-17 16:10:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c8d69…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbf5dd…
06-17 16:06:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a912a…
06-17 03:06:07	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb5212…
06-16 21:09:17	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x057e65…
06-16 13:45:53	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x446a18…
06-16 02:29:43	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a87c0…
06-16 00:27:57	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners team away 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c924e…
06-16 00:20:42	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 corners total 11pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0afd76…
06-15 18:24:25	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04971e…
06-15 18:02:12	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb68d…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed0f68…
06-15 01:32:09	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb76c…
06-14 22:06:42	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 corners team away 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bc9f9…
06-14 20:21:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c41f7…
06-14 19:25:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 2pt5	Germany	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c05f6…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ce4f9…
06-14 03:44:52	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 total 221pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8b02e…
06-13 01:54:57	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aef98…
06-12 21:23:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fc731…
06-12 20:26:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f318d…
06-12 20:18:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd02d2c…
06-12 20:17:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02119f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 22:19
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
j1100 gam cer 2026 04 11 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 08:43
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:03
will the match end in a draw or not be completed 766	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-12 09:04
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:21
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
fl1 tou lil 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 17:45
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 17:04
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 17:07
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01