Cautious-Sale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,771

lifetime

Volume

$17.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-23 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$1

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 01:56:36	sud bol gre 2026 07 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcace71…
07-23 12:31:57	cricgermant10 mtv mas 2026 07 23	MTV Herrenhausen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0dea0…
07-22 19:16:04	cs2 btf benche 2026 07 22	Butterfly	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bd65f…
07-22 18:53:09	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22 game1 round handicap fal2 3pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c1238…
07-22 12:40:42	atp trungel hanfman 2026 07 22	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0915e7…
07-22 05:26:16	iran full airspace closure by july 21	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4a5b5…
07-21 17:03:57	cs2 ntr mouz 2026 07 21 game1 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3e8ad…
07-21 14:58:45	itf cordoba bozemoj 2026 07 21	Carles Cordoba	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4886d5…
07-21 11:33:03	cs2 cyb g2a 2026 07 21	G2 Ares	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc470c0…
07-21 05:45:40	wnba min sea 2026 07 20	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0762d…
07-21 04:01:09	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 174pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2af05…
07-21 04:00:40	wnba min sea 2026 07 20 total 173pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3e76d…
07-21 02:07:01	mlb wsh col 2026 07 20 f5 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00a83e…
07-20 19:35:48	swe org dju 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01b3ad…
07-20 19:13:07	swe org dju 2026 07 20 spread away 2pt5	Orgryte IS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x552c7e…
07-20 19:06:18	swe org dju 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f9d1d…
07-20 16:10:15	atp gadamau meza 2026 07 20 completed match	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x82d9a8…
07-20 14:13:25	npb han yok 2026 07 20	Yokohama BayStars	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b2991…
07-20 08:13:18	npb ori nip 2026 07 20	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd36d2e…
07-19 22:51:16	mlb sf sea 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Seattle Mariners	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1874dd…
07-19 22:13:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d6fef…
07-19 18:37:36	mlb cws tor 2026 07 19	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7e86b…
07-19 16:20:34	swe hif deg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Hammarby IF	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85b699…
07-19 14:22:46	lol t1 gen 2026 07 19	Gen.G	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04c310…
07-19 14:03:10	cs2 ent2 hon1 2026 07 19	Entropy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c0645…
07-19 12:45:37	cs2 kos ltu 2026 07 19	Lithuania	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x397253…
07-19 12:44:18	cs2 kos ltu 2026 07 19	Lithuania	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2d4ddb…
07-19 12:43:57	cs2 kos ltu 2026 07 19	Lithuania	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6eda21…
07-19 11:43:22	cs2 rgg innerc 2026 07 19 game1	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3760fe…
07-19 09:41:13	itf zyl cirotte 2026 07 19	Astrid Cirotte	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0304f4…
07-19 03:37:46	nwsl roy pri 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd0896c…
07-19 00:47:06	ufc alb10 tom15 2026 07 18 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb066f4…
07-19 00:41:30	nwsl chi ang 2026 07 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0cba5…
07-19 00:26:06	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d395d…
07-19 00:23:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x737662…
07-19 00:15:37	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06983f…
07-19 00:04:45	ufc aus7 jos55 2026 07 18	Jose Miguel Delgado	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5f186…
07-18 23:18:16	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3abf9c…
07-18 23:18:15	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0b953d…
07-18 23:07:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1310d6…
07-18 21:24:57	bra2 pop goi 2026 07 18 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16f5e4…
07-18 19:03:04	nor vik san 2026 07 18 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59c8f3…
07-18 16:09:58	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0638a0…
07-18 16:06:31	nor ik rbk 2026 07 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x667108…
07-18 11:46:43	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 set handicap home 1pt5	Cerundolo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac212e…
07-18 11:34:46	itf dudeney bains 2026 07 18	Alicia Dudeney	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97a64f…
07-18 09:49:30	atp collign cerund 2026 07 18 first set winner Collignon vs Cerundolo	Cerundolo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeae1a…
07-18 03:07:48	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9196a6…
07-18 02:45:25	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 spread away 1pt5	Londrina EC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41937a…
07-18 02:30:36	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f090…
07-17 17:57:57	atp rinderk tsitsip 2026 07 17 set handicap away 1pt5	Rinderknech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x257e93…
07-17 10:56:16	itf malova kalyaki 2026 07 17	Maria Kalyakina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f6ec2…
07-17 02:41:31	cs2 thunde mf 2026 07 16	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5f587…
07-16 19:14:50	col pai heg 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57678a…
07-16 19:01:52	col fsc pny 2026 07 16 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x439edc…
07-16 17:31:43	wta ibragim badosa 2026 07 16 set handicap away 1pt5	Ibragimova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6059d2…
07-16 14:12:14	atp rublev pellegr 2026 07 15 set 2 winner Rublev vs Pellegrino	Pellegrino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ed07c…
07-16 13:09:38	itf sato giojang 2026 07 16	Naho Sato	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d5e47…
07-16 10:46:40	itf zelnick aziz 2026 07 16	Radka Zelnickova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x677990…
07-16 09:10:40	itf greiner tepic 2026 07 16	Sophie Greiner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2abd0…
07-15 21:07:16	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f5785…
07-15 17:46:43	atp draxl trotter 2026 07 14	Liam Draxl	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09b6ea…
07-15 16:30:55	cs2 wc1 m8 2026 07 15 game1	Gentle Mates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf0b4a4…
07-15 14:37:04	itf nilsson linana 2026 07 15	Alicia Herrero Linana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0abac…
07-15 13:59:55	nik up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a805b…
07-15 12:57:31	itf otzipka struplo 2026 07 15	Julie Struplova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d981…
07-15 12:30:29	itf mchich schifri 2026 07 15	Andrea M'chich	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x406ba3…
07-15 11:38:44	itf daniels ghirard 2026 07 15	Ellie Daniels	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73083a…
07-15 10:15:31	itf radojic bilozer 2026 07 16	Nikita Bilozertsev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07266e…
07-14 21:55:16	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bbb92…
07-14 21:06:34	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6b41f6…
07-14 19:44:19	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game2	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54f6cf…
07-14 19:28:58	wta sakella tona 2026 07 14	Miriana Tona	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c12b…
07-14 18:40:26	cs2 hon1 meg1 2026 07 14 game1	Honvéd	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x818836…
07-14 18:08:32	ucl sab flo 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27d181…
07-14 18:04:25	ucl kps var 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7897f9…
07-14 17:24:08	cs2 biga mana1 2026 07 14	BIG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0cd97…
07-14 15:59:35	wta krejcik tomova 2026 07 13 set 2 winner Krejcikova vs Tomova	Krejcikova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68a7d2…
07-14 15:35:59	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcea952…
07-14 15:32:58	atp muller shevche 2026 07 13 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb87f73…
07-14 15:29:37	wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b905c…
07-14 13:30:07	wta putints liu 2026 07 14 set 2 winner Putintseva vs Liu	Putintseva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7525c8…
07-14 13:05:32	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14 game2	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4884bb…
07-14 13:05:01	cs2 innerc don 2026 07 14	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32d7d3…
07-14 11:53:07	crint srb est 2026 07 14	Estonia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x987bd3…
07-14 09:51:28	atp nagal cretu 2026 07 13	Sumit Nagal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x582f7b…
07-13 18:54:25	over 6m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325643	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc8ce0…
07-13 14:48:23	will abnb dip to 144 by july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f8250…
07-12 19:06:23	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 2pt5	Zverev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf88de8…
07-12 15:36:56	itf estevez zarate 2026 07 12	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2d8bc…
07-12 05:06:22	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 shots breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2134c9…
07-12 04:49:23	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf980c…
07-12 03:59:38	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 totals 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a86ed…
07-12 03:52:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 win by submission	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8dcc7…
07-12 03:52:16	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad63d7…
07-12 01:54:29	ufc kin ter1 2026 07 11 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45e6f8…
07-12 00:37:37	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x681a33…
07-11 23:48:19	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9e12…
07-11 23:30:31	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc12ae9…
07-11 23:08:04	ufc wan2 tra 2026 07 11	Wang Cong	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49646a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-10 22:19
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 21:59
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-14 15:35
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 02:50
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
j1100 gam cer 2026 04 11 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 08:43
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
fl1 tou lil 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-12 17:45
will canada win the 2026 world baseball classic	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-14 04:28
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	St. Louis Cardinals	+$0	05-13 04:36
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:03
wta muchova gauff 2026 04 17	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 17:07
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 total 4pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-17 20:21
cs2 mouz fut 2026 03 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 22:03
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14