Alarmed-Grant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,266

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-09 16:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:28:54	lol ckz ps1 2026 06 09	Partizan Sangal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa92ffa…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x738698…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00ac96…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x83b847…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a8df…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe60487…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20110b…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d749a…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe90b80…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x932473…
06-06 11:32:25	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa282d9…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x901d17…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02d1c0…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe896a7…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb438…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x209024…
06-03 13:38:28	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3de23…
06-03 04:48:13	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x336eeb…
06-02 22:56:10	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74c574…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fb2e5…
06-02 14:02:02	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf99f1c…
06-01 08:37:38	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd76b93…
06-01 07:00:25	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x879743…
06-01 02:23:20	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77c214…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x359e12…
05-31 18:59:02	Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)	Busta	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88293d…
05-31 18:43:09	Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff8fba…
05-31 18:08:24	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6edf…
05-31 14:19:34	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2aa89e…
05-31 13:42:38	Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward Winter	Giles Hussey	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb08d2…
05-31 09:41:01	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x964205…
05-31 09:15:41	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2d95e…
05-31 09:14:34	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569e30…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98784e…
05-30 18:04:17	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3dd355…
05-30 15:55:09	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbad8dd…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07ae50…
05-30 11:17:29	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2c9f3…
05-30 04:48:03	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd38444…
05-29 23:44:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f32ed…
05-29 21:58:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ccbcb…
05-29 21:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb64375…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x92a82b…
05-29 21:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61f8c2…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73a13d…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c3492…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aeb86…
05-29 13:33:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x02e8d4…
05-28 20:16:26	LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports - Game 4 Winner	mCon esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6fc73…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf04bd2…
05-28 16:31:03	IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x483a86…
05-28 16:13:30	Tala'ea El Gaish SC vs. Wadi Degla SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b6755…
05-28 16:01:08	Counter-Strike: xept vs STEP - Map 1 Winner	xept	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08eb96…
05-28 13:00:21	Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Hilderbrand/Paris	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x903f7f…
05-28 12:33:02	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6df0c…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fc70c…
05-28 01:20:48	Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d6e31…
05-28 00:19:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0e0a…
05-27 20:11:57	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05e790…
05-27 20:09:56	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x205dad…
05-27 20:09:05	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17e6d3…
05-27 20:08:51	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc1ce0e…
05-27 20:08:46	Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5d850a…
05-27 20:08:30	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31940b…
05-27 20:01:04	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45be92…
05-27 19:58:04	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc04ca6…
05-26 20:00:18	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9e677…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x482398…
05-26 06:27:59	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x604c3d…
05-26 01:17:03	Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad27f3…
05-25 18:11:53	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ee473…
05-25 10:12:42	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00f7c0…
05-25 08:09:07	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3db50f…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2109be…
05-25 00:55:16	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcf487…
05-24 20:19:00	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c519…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332fc8…
05-24 18:17:30	Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae8dc3…
05-24 17:22:33	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xef319f…
05-24 17:22:33	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x001624…
05-24 15:57:38	Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Zizou Bergs	Tomas Machac	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd7f699…
05-24 15:29:58	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99431d…
05-24 13:19:18	Set Handicap: Fokina (-2.5) vs Dzumhur (+2.5)	Dzumhur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabbfa0…
05-24 08:02:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26b9ed…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96b08…
05-23 01:24:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99d1e5…
05-22 17:54:02	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a8267…
05-22 09:44:06	ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Rina Saigo	Rina Saigo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55c044…
05-22 04:09:40	CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2c83c…
05-21 20:07:50	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf40f1c…
05-21 14:25:01	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97575f…
05-21 03:08:38	Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600fb6…
05-20 22:53:47	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)	Chicago White Sox	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e3def…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d2862…
05-20 21:22:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbecb17…
05-20 21:17:34	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x802d28…
05-20 19:58:57	Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf96cf…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcde613…
05-20 16:05:09	ITF Bol: Chiara Jerolimov vs Vittoria Paganetti	Vittoria Paganetti	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2876b…
05-20 13:39:09	T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Slovenia vs Guernsey	Guernsey	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcca7db…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	3	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-05 08:56
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 10:12
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nor	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 20:55
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:20
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:07
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 31c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 06:17
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:12
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 17:36
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:01