Alarmed-Grant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

2,025

Trades

2,089

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$13

Sports

16% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7dbcb…
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9484b1…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x703c30…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x745043…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd04928…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9ea32…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30eb36…
10-21 17:08:39	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5e254…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2a9ee…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x328835…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb5d5d…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7847b0…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaad40b…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b6489…
10-14 13:09:18	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a4791…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4e83d…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5208e5…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a8903…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70f53a…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x063693…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff52c7…
10-12 09:05:03	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x577e50…
10-11 20:16:12	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2f511…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf99ada…
10-11 10:26:15	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x792bf5…
10-11 04:54:45	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x57a8b9…
10-10 11:09:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3f739…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6dd7d…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d3637…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf0ceee…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x599a1a…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafe0be…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ab7ed…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5cb1e…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47726b…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73e46e…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x858f59…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca20c8…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8e4c02…
10-02 14:12:29	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc068fb…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55685d…
10-01 20:42:27	Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x171be7…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2324b0…
10-01 11:33:09	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x283c6b…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3a286…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0eafc2…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee2651…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c65ab…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd10dc8…
09-28 10:07:53	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5595e9…
09-27 20:16:14	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2fefd8…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x45edba…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe0a2f…
09-27 12:29:17	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa477eb…
09-26 23:23:51	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1af0e…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd37c07…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf885b4…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbe9bd…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb6dd29…
09-25 10:14:14	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f427b…
09-24 20:49:45	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x485c2c…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2db069…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40dbd7…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf704ed…
09-23 16:19:06	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x008284…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x611694…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb66f80…
09-21 13:01:33	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05d17e…
09-20 22:25:43	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x968f1a…
09-20 21:08:23	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26a7e2…
09-20 16:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19706…
09-20 13:21:10	W50 Yecla: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Carlota Corte	Rebecca Munk Mortensen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbda6bc…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2da74…
09-20 06:45:36	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x51217b…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa091dd…
09-20 02:52:19	Blackhawks vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7912…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24c9b7…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06e165…
09-17 17:27:48	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cfac7…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ce185…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01eae4…
09-17 12:54:39	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aaf00…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f8353…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x092fa9…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ab99a…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c63e7…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1e297…
09-13 14:59:10	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04cc64…
09-13 08:16:36	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09b340…
09-12 18:24:33	Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ecf90…
09-12 09:32:27	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb4adf…
09-12 03:12:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x553bfa…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee2cc8…
09-11 19:55:07	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x320bd9…
09-11 19:25:49	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6c1c3…
09-11 10:52:40	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x568463…
09-11 02:58:30	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf032d0…
09-10 20:29:00	Counter-Strike: mellren vs MORROW (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Play-In Play-In	mellren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d75a6…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x162d5a…
09-10 18:43:12	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c410a…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:05
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-11 10:12
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:53
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:54