Accurate-Discretion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$105

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,032

lifetime

Volume

$1.48M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.43K

Open exposure

$29.8K

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 07-10 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Sports

38% — —

Crypto

9% 67% $-7

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+50,000	$29,855	60¢	$29.8K	$-105	07-10 15:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$45.0K	55,412	0	+55,412	open	—	04-16 14:23
will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	15	$43.4K	50,865	0	+50,865	open	—	06-27 06:54
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	6	$42.6K	48,782	0	+48,782	open	—	06-02 20:08
nhl las car 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	3	$41.3K	53,911	0	+53,911	open	—	06-04 21:05
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	40	$40.0K	47,299	0	+47,299	open	—	07-07 23:12
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$39.3K	45,036	0	+45,036	open	—	06-20 21:16
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$36.9K	28,800	28,800	+0	open	—	07-04 18:01
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	64	$35.8K	90,499	0	+90,499	open	—	06-03 20:16
will france reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149741	13	$35.3K	45,321	0	+45,321	open	—	07-04 18:05
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$34.0K	38,619	0	+38,619	open	—	06-12 08:42
will argentina reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134503	49	$31.4K	37,628	0	+37,628	open	—	07-06 11:49
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	15	$31.0K	36,097	0	+36,097	open	—	05-03 21:18
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	15	$29.9K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	07-10 15:06
wta muchova tauson 2026 06 25	26	$29.5K	39,236	13,333	+25,903	open	—	06-25 15:54
wta sherif pedone 2026 06 03	3	$28.6K	33,115	0	+33,115	open	—	06-04 10:39
wta klimovi kraus 2026 06 08	34	$27.4K	38,534	0	+38,534	open	—	06-08 16:49
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$27.3K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	07-01 01:23
wta ruse muchova 2026 06 26	20	$24.7K	29,579	20,869	+8,710	open	—	06-26 15:46
atp baez mrva 2026 06 05	9	$23.8K	30,406	0	+30,406	open	—	06-05 15:20
atp ouden nava 2026 06 05	3	$23.1K	34,547	0	+34,547	open	—	06-05 08:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	4	$22.4K	24,279	0	+24,279	open	—	05-05 08:40
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	2	$22.3K	27,531	0	+27,531	open	—	07-05 08:42
wta doubles aoyalia danikru 2026 06 05	10	$21.1K	26,337	0	+26,337	open	—	06-05 09:37
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	5	$20.8K	17,397	6,203	+11,194	open	—	06-27 05:17
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	2	$20.5K	28,522	0	+28,522	open	—	05-31 08:29
will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	8	$19.8K	30,512	0	+30,512	open	—	07-07 23:13
will croatia reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134512	12	$19.8K	21,061	0	+21,061	open	—	07-01 16:04
atp trungel hsu 2026 06 04	3	$19.6K	23,345	0	+23,345	open	—	06-04 08:23
atp pellegr baena 2026 06 04	6	$19.5K	29,916	0	+29,916	open	—	06-04 11:46
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 196pt5	19	$19.5K	20,920	0	+20,920	open	—	06-08 23:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 15:14:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	255	80¢	$203	0x09d965…
07-10 15:14:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd06c90…
07-10 15:14:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	215	80¢	$171	0x89a822…
07-10 15:14:31	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f0d5e…
07-10 15:13:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xa35f85…
07-10 15:13:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	210	80¢	$167	0x1a0314…
07-10 15:09:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	289	80¢	$230	0x7c9d35…
07-10 15:08:53	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,668	80¢	$1,330	0xbf33a3…
07-10 15:06:08	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	12,212	67¢	$8,182	0x767532…
07-10 09:51:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	13,000	80¢	$10,367	0xbb5379…
07-10 09:45:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10,005	67¢	$6,703	0x928b09…
07-09 08:38:02	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x6159d2…
07-08 22:01:32	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	9,444	54¢	$5,100	0x137713…
07-08 12:04:14	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	5,183	72¢	$3,732	0xd3700d…
07-07 23:13:58	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	921	76¢	$700	0xe38b25…
07-07 23:12:23	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	3,220	79¢	$2,548	0x128499…
07-07 23:10:38	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	3,595	77¢	$2,775	0x43d2a1…
07-07 22:56:25	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,809	54¢	$977	0xa4a288…
07-07 22:54:32	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	188	78¢	$147	0xfe7768…
07-07 22:54:22	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	47	80¢	$38	0x65f3c3…
07-07 22:54:22	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	390	79¢	$309	0x4bbf60…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	450	79¢	$354	0xfedeb0…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	1,500	80¢	$1,200	0xc0ba52…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xb38ac2…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xb1d66e…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	2,113	80¢	$1,690	0x7138be…
07-07 22:53:47	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	3,119	80¢	$2,495	0x651c5e…
07-07 22:53:46	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	370	80¢	$296	0x9d308c…
07-07 22:53:46	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	850	80¢	$680	0x03cd43…
07-07 22:53:46	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	1,198	80¢	$958	0x03c132…
07-07 22:53:19	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xf952c1…
07-07 22:53:19	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	6,436	79¢	$5,102	0xc9447c…
07-07 22:53:19	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	87	80¢	$70	0xa16bf9…
07-07 22:52:59	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4b11cb…
07-07 22:43:58	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xda1c0b…
07-07 22:36:08	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	78	54¢	$42	0x87fa27…
07-07 22:04:46	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x89efda…
07-07 21:53:25	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	204	90¢	$184	0x5995e4…
07-07 21:52:28	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	165	90¢	$148	0xe0be3a…
07-07 21:52:20	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	121	90¢	$109	0x087fb1…
07-07 21:45:41	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaf65e6…
07-07 21:26:17	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2eea62…
07-07 21:21:44	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	212	54¢	$115	0xc827f5…
07-07 21:19:53	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x83ad65…
07-07 21:18:44	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	150	90¢	$135	0x08bbd4…
07-07 21:15:55	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	350	89¢	$311	0xe272f2…
07-07 21:12:20	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	4,900	91¢	$4,459	0xd63750…
07-07 21:03:07	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xd374ee…
07-07 21:00:35	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	2,500	91¢	$2,273	0x6272b8…
07-07 20:42:08	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	7,860	54¢	$4,244	0x623106…
07-07 20:41:28	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	5,000	54¢	$2,700	0xa13e2f…
07-07 20:40:40	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x1f9ab8…
07-07 20:40:32	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3,223	53¢	$1,708	0x7375c3…
07-07 09:55:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x680484…
07-07 09:53:58	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	2,478	90¢	$2,230	0xa7603d…
07-07 07:08:34	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	7,472	90¢	$6,725	0xa5e713…
07-07 06:05:28	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xe32dfc…
07-07 05:23:37	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xdd5d4d…
07-07 04:46:58	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	264	90¢	$237	0xf8b52e…
07-07 04:35:31	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x94a4b4…
07-07 01:34:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0xf922e3…
07-07 01:13:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5,000	59¢	$2,960	0xef8427…
07-07 00:27:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	150	59¢	$88	0x20a74f…
07-07 00:25:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	622	60¢	$374	0xf64444…
07-07 00:25:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	218	60¢	$131	0x74e61d…
07-07 00:25:29	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	159	59¢	$94	0x5b3283…
07-07 00:25:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0xf976ae…
07-07 00:22:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	13	58¢	$8	0x27e45e…
07-07 00:22:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xc70312…
07-07 00:22:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xc2c03b…
07-07 00:22:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xc7b689…
07-07 00:22:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x592624…
07-07 00:21:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	339	60¢	$203	0x45b36a…
07-06 23:54:28	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5714d7…
07-06 23:41:32	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	196	90¢	$177	0x2660b7…
07-06 23:40:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	2,680	90¢	$2,405	0xc6c47e…
07-06 23:40:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	783	90¢	$705	0xb88de3…
07-06 23:40:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xa76975…
07-06 23:40:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x4f2be3…
07-06 23:40:10	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x2419af…
07-06 21:49:10	will argentina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149745	Yes	BUY	91	63¢	$57	0xcbf552…
07-06 21:19:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0xf111fa…
07-06 21:19:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	28	78¢	$21	0x61191d…
07-06 21:19:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	692	78¢	$540	0x1e3d96…
07-06 21:19:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xb364c4…
07-06 21:19:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0d43aa…
07-06 21:19:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x884ab4…
07-06 21:19:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x2f0bd8…
07-06 21:19:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	916	78¢	$714	0x05bf7d…
07-06 21:19:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x12c1ae…
07-06 21:10:56	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xa3afd7…
07-06 21:10:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	1,500	68¢	$1,025	0x389a56…
07-06 16:08:28	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	332	48¢	$159	0x132020…
07-06 15:32:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15,000	67¢	$10,050	0xab81fe…
07-06 15:13:20	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x69ca82…
07-06 15:10:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	5,000	49¢	$2,450	0x36f421…
07-06 15:09:38	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x1e7688…
07-06 15:09:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x45c702…
07-06 15:09:37	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x393cc6…
07-06 15:09:35	will spain reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149737	Yes	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xf4ed4e…