Broken-Progenitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

+$5.93K

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

Trades

899

lifetime

Volume

$212.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

$15.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-22 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

87% 50% +$84

Politics

6% 0% $-902

Sports

5% 0% $-246

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+22,559	$10,369	48¢	$10.9K	+$572	07-22 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	-4,894	$-10,229	99¢	$-4843	+$5,386	07-17 05:54
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	+306	$30	2¢	$6	$-24	06-10 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	37	$35.6K	19,395	24,289	-4,894	open	—	07-17 05:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	44	$34.7K	40,192	823	+39,368	open	—	07-22 17:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	110	$34.3K	23,020	31,838	-8,818	open	—	06-22 10:00
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	28	$21.7K	12,210	12,210	+0	open	—	07-06 08:13
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	87	$17.0K	19,886	0	+19,886	open	—	06-24 10:10
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	28	$13.4K	18,242	0	+18,242	open	—	07-21 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	29	$10.4K	22,559	0	+22,559	open	—	07-22 13:40
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	63	$5.4K	17,598	5,707	+11,890	open	—	06-09 08:30
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	70	$5.2K	6,304	546	+5,758	open	—	05-18 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$4.8K	3,587	2,307	+1,280	open	—	05-28 12:43
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	17	$4.6K	5,124	0	+5,124	open	—	05-27 13:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	33	$4.3K	3,863	4,940	-1,078	open	—	06-22 06:17
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	22	$2.3K	2,797	9	+2,788	open	—	06-21 07:35
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	18	$2.2K	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	04-29 19:00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	6	$2.1K	3,473	0	+3,473	open	—	04-29 06:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.8K	27	1,906	-1,879	open	—	04-27 05:19
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	42	$1.8K	21,273	0	+21,273	open	—	07-04 07:44
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	33	$1.7K	7,085	6,639	+446	open	—	05-04 09:39
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$1.4K	1,454	0	+1,454	open	—	04-27 04:27
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1.2K	1,735	0	+1,735	open	—	04-27 08:43
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$1.1K	4,549	0	+4,549	open	—	04-27 04:16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$1.0K	1,161	0	+1,161	Yes	+$117	04-30 03:51
president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	37	$992	13,283	0	+13,283	open	—	07-12 05:15
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	1	$881	3,672	0	+3,672	open	—	04-27 04:21
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	5	$603	2,820	0	+2,820	open	—	04-27 08:29
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	12	$599	1,870	0	+1,870	open	—	05-15 13:03
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	52	$556	10,296	0	+10,296	open	—	07-10 20:52
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$485	1,471	0	+1,471	Yes	$-485	04-27 04:49
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$417	1,311	0	+1,311	No	$-417	04-27 04:50
will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	2	$397	1,764	0	+1,764	open	—	06-12 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,023	86¢	$880	0x10ae8b…
07-22 13:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,338	48¢	$1,602	0xcff707…
07-22 12:24:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4,000	87¢	$3,480	0x4fea75…
07-22 04:29:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,937	87¢	$3,425	0xd56aa5…
07-21 20:09:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xe36b7c…
07-21 19:56:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x113c55…
07-21 19:56:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1ad810…
07-21 19:39:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x472b4b…
07-21 18:45:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0xda48e2…
07-21 17:50:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	120	77¢	$92	0x7477e6…
07-21 17:11:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x2f6b02…
07-21 17:10:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	92	77¢	$71	0xa18070…
07-21 16:13:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	73	77¢	$56	0xd9c320…
07-21 15:32:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	4,000	45¢	$1,800	0x8dbd0e…
07-21 15:21:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	294	76¢	$224	0x91d6fb…
07-21 15:09:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xabe120…
07-21 14:59:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	177	76¢	$134	0xb5a5f1…
07-21 12:00:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc3e238…
07-21 11:54:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	250	85¢	$213	0x054b6a…
07-21 11:44:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x06fed0…
07-21 11:18:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x2121d7…
07-21 11:14:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe83684…
07-21 10:54:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x83cd49…
07-21 10:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x9e37c4…
07-21 09:29:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe015d9…
07-21 08:41:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x08deaf…
07-21 08:30:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd6fa4d…
07-21 08:30:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xc11c33…
07-21 08:30:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xad6a3e…
07-21 07:36:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1797b3…
07-21 07:24:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	85¢	$425	0x337596…
07-21 07:24:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x33bea6…
07-21 06:48:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	230	85¢	$196	0x69e8b2…
07-21 06:46:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x61e6d9…
07-21 06:39:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa974c6…
07-21 06:37:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	387	85¢	$329	0x453883…
07-21 06:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,977	86¢	$1,701	0xb0f89a…
07-21 06:01:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xcf6476…
07-21 05:44:42	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xf810a8…
07-20 19:38:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x9dab2a…
07-20 19:35:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x999c69…
07-20 19:19:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xe290ef…
07-20 18:44:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,140	87¢	$1,862	0x05706a…
07-20 18:34:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7df9d6…
07-20 18:18:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x001030…
07-20 17:40:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	194	46¢	$89	0xd6a0a3…
07-20 17:36:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x9244a8…
07-20 17:09:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	58	76¢	$44	0x5cc881…
07-20 17:04:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	150	46¢	$69	0xc8765d…
07-20 14:40:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x0e97a3…
07-20 14:31:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x75290d…
07-20 13:43:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	340	86¢	$292	0x6fc3c4…
07-20 13:39:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa106eb…
07-20 13:07:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	3,500	86¢	$3,010	0xc499b7…
07-20 12:08:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xfce3df…
07-20 12:07:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	92	74¢	$68	0x30ee3a…
07-20 12:05:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	215	75¢	$161	0x73bbd2…
07-20 11:30:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,500	84¢	$1,260	0x77d121…
07-20 11:26:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x9f8520…
07-20 11:09:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcd0107…
07-20 10:28:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7e1390…
07-20 10:25:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x193533…
07-20 10:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	732	46¢	$337	0xe94700…
07-20 08:17:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0xddb937…
07-20 07:35:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,232	49¢	$1,094	0x67cb16…
07-20 07:27:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xdea5ed…
07-20 06:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe03b3c…
07-20 06:02:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0x19d1e4…
07-20 05:48:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x039e7b…
07-20 05:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	110	49¢	$54	0xeb81b3…
07-20 05:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	80	49¢	$39	0xc51f67…
07-20 05:48:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,958	49¢	$1,449	0x5945b7…
07-20 05:22:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	250	87¢	$218	0x7491f4…
07-20 05:02:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,290	87¢	$1,992	0x1fcfea…
07-17 05:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	10,618	99¢	$10,493	0x96aa50…
07-17 01:11:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x90b5e2…
07-16 22:16:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd4ff0b…
07-16 20:24:08	Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3a316d…
07-16 20:17:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	434	46¢	$200	0xe004a3…
07-16 19:19:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0x052787…
07-16 17:27:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x6fac4a…
07-16 17:23:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	65	44¢	$29	0x3d342e…
07-16 17:10:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0xce5678…
07-16 13:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	3,500	44¢	$1,540	0xf6d19b…
07-16 10:20:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x046105…
07-16 06:10:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1,415	43¢	$608	0x29ff74…
07-15 23:51:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2,409	43¢	$1,036	0xdac8d4…
07-15 17:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x882191…
07-15 14:04:25	will trumps remarks not air 20260713200621440	Yes	BUY	249	4¢	$10	0x5ba900…
07-15 14:02:34	will trumps remarks not air 20260713200621440	Yes	BUY	121	3¢	$4	0x11b145…
07-15 12:54:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	5,946	75¢	$4,459	0xf62f43…
07-15 10:29:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	336	44¢	$148	0x29e2b9…
07-15 06:38:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	5,454	74¢	$4,049	0x9df61f…
07-14 06:53:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	269	44¢	$118	0x2f8cab…
07-12 17:32:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	677	70¢	$474	0x01995d…
07-12 17:27:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,627	84¢	$1,367	0xcb7783…
07-12 17:21:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2,873	83¢	$2,385	0x98f212…
07-12 17:19:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0x57d902…
07-12 17:17:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	3,158	69¢	$2,179	0x98e59e…
07-12 17:16:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6,000	83¢	$4,980	0x918be6…