Broken-Progenitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$867

Hit rate

46.9%

Resolved

Trades

678

lifetime

Volume

$116.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

$22.1K

6 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-01 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

77% 50% +$84

Politics

12% 0% $-902

Sports

8% 0% $-246

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+15,840	$9,802	70¢	$11.2K	+$1,366	06-24 14:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-8,818	$-6,566	100¢	$-8787	$-2,221	06-22 10:00
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+17,685	$1,405	11¢	$1.9K	+$523	07-01 12:51
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+3,020	$219	6¢	$186	$-34	06-14 01:57
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	+306	$30	2¢	$6	$-24	06-10 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+705	$480	0¢	$2	$-477	06-17 15:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	110	$34.3K	23,020	31,838	-8,818	open	—	06-22 10:00
will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	87	$17.0K	19,886	0	+19,886	open	—	06-24 10:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	27	$11.3K	17,145	1,304	+15,840	open	—	06-24 14:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	16	$8.0K	10,040	0	+10,040	open	—	06-29 17:26
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	63	$5.4K	17,598	5,707	+11,890	open	—	06-09 08:30
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	70	$5.2K	6,304	546	+5,758	open	—	05-18 22:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$4.8K	3,587	2,307	+1,280	open	—	05-28 12:43
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?	17	$4.6K	5,124	0	+5,124	open	—	05-27 13:29
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	33	$4.3K	3,863	4,940	-1,078	open	—	06-22 06:17
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	22	$2.3K	2,797	9	+2,788	open	—	06-21 07:35
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	18	$2.2K	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	04-29 19:00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	6	$2.1K	3,473	0	+3,473	open	—	04-29 06:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.8K	27	1,906	-1,879	open	—	04-27 05:19
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves	33	$1.7K	7,085	6,639	+446	open	—	05-04 09:39
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	34	$1.4K	17,685	0	+17,685	open	—	07-01 12:51
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$1.4K	1,454	0	+1,454	open	—	04-27 04:27
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1.2K	1,735	0	+1,735	open	—	04-27 08:43
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$1.1K	4,549	0	+4,549	open	—	04-27 04:16
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$1.0K	1,161	0	+1,161	Yes	+$117	04-30 03:51
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	1	$881	3,672	0	+3,672	open	—	04-27 04:21
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	5	$603	2,820	0	+2,820	open	—	04-27 08:29
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	12	$599	1,870	0	+1,870	open	—	05-15 13:03
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$485	1,471	0	+1,471	Yes	$-485	04-27 04:49
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$417	1,311	0	+1,311	No	$-417	04-27 04:50
will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	2	$397	1,764	0	+1,764	open	—	06-12 12:02
will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	2	$339	452	0	+452	open	—	06-13 18:55
will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	6	$288	378	127	+251	open	—	06-19 05:41
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	16	$219	3,020	0	+3,020	open	—	06-14 01:57
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers	10	$210	2,999	0	+2,999	Thunder	$-210	05-03 13:26
will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	6	$196	249	0	+249	open	—	06-16 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:51:43	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	998	9¢	$88	0x1350b9…
07-01 12:50:44	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	198	9¢	$17	0x77463a…
07-01 12:29:47	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	460	9¢	$40	0x10892c…
07-01 12:12:14	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	790	9¢	$69	0x1fe999…
07-01 11:59:13	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	398	9¢	$35	0xbfc373…
07-01 11:47:02	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,161	9¢	$102	0xb9c4ba…
07-01 11:29:50	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,404	8¢	$115	0x8bea4b…
07-01 11:17:56	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	154	9¢	$13	0x7ca1be…
07-01 11:16:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x11bd9f…
07-01 11:13:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	185	9¢	$16	0x384ea2…
07-01 11:08:59	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	157	9¢	$13	0x7ee391…
07-01 10:59:56	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	785	9¢	$68	0xe6bd11…
07-01 10:47:50	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	275	8¢	$21	0xf720ed…
07-01 10:38:16	will mexico reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134467	Yes	BUY	249	44¢	$110	0x42eeaf…
07-01 07:07:37	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	130	9¢	$12	0x1e5b44…
07-01 07:07:05	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	835	9¢	$77	0xed2854…
07-01 07:03:49	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	320	9¢	$28	0xbbadb2…
07-01 07:01:41	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$17	0x326568…
07-01 07:01:22	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	700	9¢	$61	0xf39922…
07-01 06:57:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$10	0x00f347…
07-01 06:57:41	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	80	9¢	$7	0x636b6f…
07-01 06:55:23	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	430	9¢	$37	0x28d9c9…
07-01 06:50:13	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	395	8¢	$34	0x70e893…
07-01 06:50:01	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	192	8¢	$16	0x610c2f…
07-01 06:42:08	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	425	8¢	$36	0xaa178d…
07-01 06:25:22	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	157	8¢	$13	0xe6e8dc…
07-01 06:24:25	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0xe4163a…
07-01 06:22:13	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0x53e22c…
07-01 06:21:59	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	118	8¢	$10	0xf69d02…
06-29 17:26:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,784	82¢	$3,103	0x924bdf…
06-29 17:25:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xb3b4b1…
06-29 16:23:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,216	82¢	$991	0xba0db5…
06-29 06:30:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	736	82¢	$604	0xe23aff…
06-27 19:43:07	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3,500	6¢	$227	0xba6753…
06-27 05:03:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	1,962	7¢	$133	0xe791d4…
06-27 04:56:55	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x531a99…
06-27 04:50:58	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	392	7¢	$27	0x213b16…
06-27 04:43:46	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x255b72…
06-27 04:36:01	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	53	7¢	$4	0x81e5f2…
06-24 14:22:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	247	56¢	$138	0x76cc80…
06-24 13:44:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	719	56¢	$403	0xf8d485…
06-24 13:27:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	338	57¢	$193	0x294ed2…
06-24 10:10:19	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	850	90¢	$761	0x2e12a8…
06-24 09:32:31	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2,800	90¢	$2,506	0x71c13e…
06-24 09:26:01	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x9833cf…
06-23 16:56:40	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x0939b4…
06-23 16:26:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	740	76¢	$562	0x6cd9e7…
06-23 16:26:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	980	76¢	$745	0xe3f923…
06-23 16:18:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	389	76¢	$296	0x7547ce…
06-23 15:15:43	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	743	88¢	$654	0x35e97f…
06-23 14:57:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0xc9abcc…
06-23 14:37:31	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0x6598ca…
06-23 14:22:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	71	78¢	$55	0x6cbb88…
06-23 14:08:14	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	205	87¢	$177	0xd91774…
06-23 13:48:07	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xedbc9c…
06-23 13:44:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	980	78¢	$764	0xef9805…
06-23 13:44:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x79baef…
06-23 13:44:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5d6b4c…
06-23 13:44:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9858c0…
06-23 13:44:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1,005	77¢	$774	0x1be017…
06-23 08:15:11	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xab4ddb…
06-23 07:28:29	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x81f378…
06-23 07:11:11	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	67	87¢	$59	0x786707…
06-23 06:28:14	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xb1bd4e…
06-23 05:49:40	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	61	87¢	$53	0xdf2561…
06-23 05:49:07	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	SELL	72	64¢	$46	0x0267a0…
06-22 19:04:20	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x309962…
06-22 14:42:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x40b058…
06-22 14:03:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	68	69¢	$47	0x48c54c…
06-22 11:08:47	Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x7ab2f1…
06-22 10:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x7468ce…
06-22 09:57:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	129	95¢	$123	0x3d1cda…
06-22 09:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xb07c06…
06-22 09:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	71	95¢	$68	0x612873…
06-22 09:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	95¢	$28	0xb357ae…
06-22 09:45:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x17192a…
06-22 09:02:49	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x44d53b…
06-22 08:43:37	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	302	45¢	$136	0x1fcd6c…
06-22 08:38:52	will usa reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134479	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xce82ff…
06-22 06:17:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x80897d…
06-21 19:13:29	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x83a63e…
06-21 19:05:52	will olivia dean have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	300	83¢	$250	0x27b35e…
06-21 08:10:41	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xf3272f…
06-21 08:08:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xf6659d…
06-21 08:08:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x6ef690…
06-21 08:04:14	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0xfb227a…
06-21 08:03:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x867c69…
06-21 08:02:04	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	13¢	$15	0x5840b5…
06-21 07:35:43	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0xf43663…
06-21 07:08:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	210	14¢	$29	0x68cff1…
06-21 04:28:07	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xb56871…
06-21 04:26:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	191	18¢	$34	0x7dbea1…
06-20 20:04:55	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0xcb45fa…
06-20 19:27:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	219	31¢	$68	0x653a10…
06-20 19:27:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xa46c62…
06-20 19:22:56	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	166	32¢	$53	0x85357b…
06-20 19:05:25	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	83	11¢	$9	0x44da61…
06-20 18:43:49	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x9365cd…
06-20 18:24:23	will netherlands reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120755	Yes	BUY	148	59¢	$88	0x79fcb5…
06-20 18:18:40	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	272	11¢	$30	0x166bbe…