Instructive-Stitch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$110.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$354

Open exposure

$412

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-11 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 100% +$3

Politics

41% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$35

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No		+509	$400	81¢	$412	+$12	06-10 13:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$5.7K	2,986	2,981	+5	open	—	04-29 21:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$4.7K	3,672	3,672	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$4.3K	2,548	2,548	+0	open	—	03-30 20:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$3.4K	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	04-01 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$3.4K	2,210	2,190	+20	open	—	04-28 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	4	$3.4K	1,836	1,830	+6	open	—	04-25 09:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$3.3K	1,918	1,918	+0	open	—	04-03 10:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$3.2K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	04-26 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$2.9K	1,541	1,536	+5	open	—	04-19 17:43
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	7	$2.8K	1,538	1,538	+0	open	—	02-25 21:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$2.7K	1,722	1,722	-0	open	—	06-11 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.7K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	05-28 09:38
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$2.6K	1,426	1,426	+0	open	—	04-08 15:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$2.6K	1,324	1,324	+0	open	—	04-23 15:50
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$2.6K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	04-06 18:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$2.5K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	03-08 10:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,408	1,408	+0	open	—	04-23 08:40
us forces enter iran by january 31	3	$2.0K	1,291	777	+514	open	—	01-30 10:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$2.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	05-31 23:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$1.9K	1,422	1,422	+0	open	—	04-15 14:33
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	6	$1.8K	804	1,087	-283	open	—	01-14 07:01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.8K	921	921	+0	open	—	04-14 20:46
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	5	$1.6K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	04-09 10:01
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$1.4K	794	794	+0	open	—	03-02 08:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	7	$1.4K	823	823	+0	open	—	01-27 13:20
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	3	$1.3K	707	707	+0	open	—	01-29 11:10
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$1.3K	810	810	+0	open	—	03-08 12:02
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$1.3K	670	670	+0	open	—	03-26 08:28
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	7	$1.2K	777	777	+0	open	—	01-14 20:09
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	2	$1.1K	599	599	+0	open	—	01-14 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 09:32:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,343	80¢	$1,074	0x30de88…
06-10 13:08:45	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	509	79¢	$400	0x67ff43…
05-31 23:02:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,041	47¢	$960	0xff0a90…
05-31 23:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x0d0c99…
05-30 16:43:50	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	198	95¢	$187	0x4fb3d2…
05-30 15:26:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	198	91¢	$180	0x6d5919…
05-29 16:42:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	820	22¢	$183	0xb3f421…
05-29 16:15:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	820	30¢	$246	0xd56040…
05-28 13:21:56	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	834	30¢	$249	0x0d742a…
05-28 13:15:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x41d77d…
05-28 12:45:18	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	843	34¢	$286	0xf5e330…
05-28 12:44:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	379	78¢	$295	0x91a99a…
05-28 09:38:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,722	79¢	$1,360	0x7354c7…
05-28 09:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,366	99¢	$1,359	0xdadc00…
05-25 21:12:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,366	96¢	$1,317	0x2fb42c…
05-19 06:31:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x194858…
05-18 08:27:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xad44f0…
05-05 21:04:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x57207b…
04-29 21:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	1,216	93¢	$1,136	0xd1e8ea…
04-29 09:28:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1,216	99¢	$1,200	0xe24345…
04-28 14:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2,190	79¢	$1,730	0x685e8e…
04-28 10:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2,210	77¢	$1,703	0xa1cf7d…
04-28 09:59:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	1,765	97¢	$1,705	0xc8c61c…
04-26 18:48:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1,770	92¢	$1,636	0xdbe272…
04-26 18:47:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1,677	98¢	$1,636	0x1feed8…
04-25 09:23:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,275	97¢	$1,237	0x00dfc1…
04-25 09:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	1,271	97¢	$1,238	0x3d0475…
04-23 15:56:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	1,274	95¢	$1,216	0x5ea560…
04-23 15:51:38	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	848	12¢	$100	0x7f2f8d…
04-23 15:50:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	1,324	99¢	$1,316	0x4dca63…
04-23 09:33:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	1,324	99¢	$1,312	0x663b34…
04-23 08:40:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,408	93¢	$1,312	0x430859…
04-20 16:51:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	402	94¢	$377	0xb2f80b…
04-20 16:50:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,408	71¢	$1,000	0xab28f9…
04-19 17:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	1,305	94¢	$1,234	0x51f25d…
04-16 20:03:30	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	386	35¢	$135	0x5ad539…
04-15 19:50:28	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	386	26¢	$100	0x778ca2…
04-15 19:50:22	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	911	11¢	$100	0x717dbb…
04-15 19:50:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	230	92¢	$212	0x568f59…
04-15 14:33:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	1,422	40¢	$568	0x7b9788…
04-15 09:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	1,541	92¢	$1,417	0x3dc647…
04-14 20:46:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	921	99¢	$912	0x83492f…
04-14 20:44:48	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	506	100¢	$505	0xf0a38c…
04-14 20:18:06	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	506	98¢	$495	0x795f7e…
04-14 17:41:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	559	89¢	$498	0xe82b99…
04-14 12:03:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	562	85¢	$478	0x7e3b93…
04-12 13:08:35	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	1,422	95¢	$1,355	0xbca8f1…
04-09 10:01:25	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	617	81¢	$501	0xe1b6b4…
04-08 20:44:13	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	921	98¢	$898	0x261951…
04-08 19:49:05	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	617	81¢	$500	0x97244b…
04-08 17:01:09	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	376	90¢	$338	0x9675a8…
04-08 16:53:29	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x2b4baa…
04-08 15:39:19	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	No	BUY	386	78¢	$300	0x072530…
04-08 15:39:01	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	1,426	95¢	$1,351	0x912b1e…
04-07 23:13:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,000	7¢	$70	0xe44b6a…
04-07 23:09:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x57cd6f…
04-07 23:06:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	535	87¢	$463	0x844c75…
04-07 23:01:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	535	96¢	$516	0xce412b…
04-07 23:00:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	533	97¢	$516	0xd19995…
04-07 22:53:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	533	97¢	$517	0xd2dfe5…
04-07 22:50:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	756	62¢	$465	0x924d6a…
04-07 22:49:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	756	68¢	$513	0x9cc7eb…
04-07 22:49:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	602	94¢	$566	0x27b916…
04-07 19:58:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,380	88¢	$1,217	0x3086d6…
04-06 20:47:55	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	1,426	91¢	$1,295	0xc18541…
04-06 18:19:45	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	1,438	90¢	$1,295	0x639d10…
04-06 16:43:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	507	98¢	$494	0x148dbd…
04-06 16:43:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	595	83¢	$494	0x25928e…
04-06 10:34:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	874	96¢	$837	0xbbe319…
04-03 20:05:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xece445…
04-03 10:24:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,918	84¢	$1,611	0x2cffb1…
04-02 06:35:19	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	1,438	91¢	$1,309	0xe1205a…
04-01 08:44:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x423218…
04-01 08:29:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	109	93¢	$102	0xc689c5…
04-01 08:27:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	124	89¢	$110	0x7944ef…
04-01 08:15:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,918	90¢	$1,729	0xdd691d…
04-01 02:17:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	1,731	100¢	$1,729	0x4c0f8d…
03-31 19:01:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	487	89¢	$433	0x86afff…
03-31 15:47:17	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xb2a269…
03-31 15:27:15	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ff49f…
03-31 15:21:29	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe8c11b…
03-31 14:01:49	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x67b634…
03-31 12:40:43	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x3c83cb…
03-31 12:18:57	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x82f0d5…
03-31 11:39:11	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	233	99¢	$231	0x827816…
03-31 09:20:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	125	76¢	$95	0x325b72…
03-31 07:42:51	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x3c269e…
03-30 20:48:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	1,731	98¢	$1,704	0x99d212…
03-30 20:42:43	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	2,034	84¢	$1,704	0x7e8b19…
03-30 15:45:59	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	533	97¢	$517	0x07afce…
03-30 15:33:45	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	770	67¢	$517	0x47119d…
03-30 11:32:52	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	770	74¢	$573	0x398fd8…
03-30 11:32:28	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	511	20¢	$100	0xf83ff8…
03-28 21:35:24	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	709	79¢	$557	0xe60471…
03-28 21:34:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	599	93¢	$557	0xa26198…
03-27 11:15:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	606	85¢	$516	0x2d06ae…
03-27 11:14:55	will iran strike turkey in march	No	SELL	535	96¢	$516	0x6421f6…
03-26 08:29:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	719	91¢	$658	0xafc88f…
03-26 08:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	670	98¢	$658	0x7ca653…
03-22 16:25:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	670	90¢	$603	0xf4b96d…