Instructive-Stitch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$38

Unrealized P&L

+$86

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

381

lifetime

Volume

$134.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$352

Open exposure

$5.31K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-06 12:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$3

Politics

38% — —

Sports

6% 100% +$35

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	+2,261	$2,155	88¢	$2.0K	$-154	07-05 13:13
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,906	$1,614	94¢	$1.8K	+$186	07-02 08:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,103	$927	84¢	$921	$-6	07-06 12:06
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	+389	$303	88¢	$344	+$42	06-20 19:34
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+680	$224	36¢	$241	+$18	06-28 15:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$5.7K	2,986	2,981	+5	open	—	04-29 21:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$4.7K	3,672	3,672	+0	open	—	04-07 23:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$4.3K	2,548	2,548	+0	open	—	03-30 20:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,299	2,299	+0	open	—	07-05 00:40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	4	$3.8K	3,276	1,015	+2,261	open	—	07-05 13:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$3.4K	1,731	1,731	+0	open	—	04-01 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$3.4K	2,210	2,190	+20	open	—	04-28 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	4	$3.4K	1,836	1,830	+6	open	—	04-25 09:22
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	2	$3.3K	1,918	1,918	+0	open	—	04-03 10:24
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$3.2K	1,677	1,677	+0	open	—	04-26 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$2.9K	1,541	1,536	+5	open	—	04-19 17:43
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	7	$2.8K	1,538	1,538	+0	open	—	02-25 21:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$2.7K	1,722	1,722	-0	open	—	06-11 09:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.7K	1,366	1,366	+0	open	—	05-28 09:38
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$2.6K	1,426	1,426	+0	open	—	04-08 15:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$2.6K	1,324	1,324	+0	open	—	04-23 15:50
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$2.6K	1,438	1,438	+0	open	—	04-06 18:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$2.5K	1,622	1,622	+0	open	—	03-08 10:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,408	1,408	+0	open	—	04-23 08:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	3	$2.0K	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	06-22 13:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$2.0K	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	06-20 00:02
us forces enter iran by january 31	3	$2.0K	1,291	777	+514	open	—	01-30 10:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$2.0K	2,041	2,041	+0	open	—	05-31 23:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$1.9K	1,422	1,422	+0	open	—	04-15 14:33
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	6	$1.8K	804	1,087	-283	open	—	01-14 07:01
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.8K	921	921	+0	open	—	04-14 20:46
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$1.8K	1,959	0	+1,959	open	—	06-29 21:28
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	4	$1.7K	1,740	1,740	+0	open	—	07-06 10:40
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	5	$1.6K	1,003	1,003	+0	open	—	04-09 10:01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,906	0	+1,906	open	—	07-02 08:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 12:06:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,103	84¢	$927	0xe7778f…
07-06 10:40:55	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	1,740	54¢	$939	0x07f770…
07-05 13:13:05	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,261	92¢	$2,070	0x6ace30…
07-05 00:40:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,299	90¢	$2,069	0xa5c82c…
07-02 08:34:43	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,906	85¢	$1,614	0xe8ba0b…
07-01 17:52:22	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	330	76¢	$251	0xfa3fdc…
07-01 17:36:01	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	330	91¢	$300	0x31601b…
07-01 16:44:16	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	131	77¢	$101	0xb40810…
07-01 16:35:01	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x7616e0…
07-01 07:08:19	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,299	87¢	$2,000	0x357ac0…
06-30 23:26:55	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x151d48…
06-30 22:28:01	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x475b23…
06-30 22:20:07	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	89	83¢	$73	0x5992f1…
06-30 22:19:52	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x4810d5…
06-30 22:19:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x59bd6d…
06-30 22:19:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x49f762…
06-30 22:19:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x650771…
06-30 22:19:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xfffc8a…
06-30 22:19:20	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x302348…
06-30 22:19:17	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x44a336…
06-30 22:19:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x053964…
06-30 22:18:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xa68d0f…
06-30 22:18:56	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x77c2ac…
06-30 22:15:47	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x509e46…
06-30 22:09:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	SELL	147	60¢	$88	0xc19a1f…
06-30 21:15:13	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0x3282d9…
06-30 21:00:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	190	43¢	$81	0x3bf856…
06-30 18:51:59	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	149	73¢	$109	0xff3197…
06-30 18:46:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x450b2b…
06-30 18:41:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	86	90¢	$77	0x501a15…
06-30 18:41:14	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x4f9d09…
06-30 18:34:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xc1e963…
06-30 17:38:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	No	SELL	182	60¢	$109	0x39bdd9…
06-30 17:24:49	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xc577a5…
06-29 21:28:40	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	529	94¢	$500	0xb459a4…
06-29 00:19:52	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0x2c083b…
06-28 15:16:08	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	275	37¢	$102	0x8631ae…
06-27 17:52:07	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	886	90¢	$797	0x125522…
06-27 17:48:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,015	79¢	$799	0x3c5ba7…
06-26 18:15:32	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	405	28¢	$113	0x210a69…
06-24 12:08:13	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	130	83¢	$108	0x24cf7b…
06-24 12:07:38	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x6f4210…
06-24 12:07:23	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	766	28¢	$213	0x557e2a…
06-23 08:00:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	766	29¢	$222	0x18a0a0…
06-23 07:59:13	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	537	37¢	$200	0x7366ee…
06-23 00:09:58	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	SELL	250	83¢	$207	0xec293f…
06-22 22:37:46	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x66fab2…
06-22 22:14:19	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	SELL	256	80¢	$205	0xf3ca00…
06-22 21:51:23	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	269	82¢	$221	0x9a34f5…
06-22 21:51:23	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	Under	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x7de6d1…
06-22 21:48:01	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	270	81¢	$218	0xe761d6…
06-22 21:40:53	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	308	65¢	$200	0x7e063f…
06-22 21:40:47	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xea356c…
06-22 21:34:49	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	338	57¢	$192	0x7d9f84…
06-22 21:33:52	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x91c40c…
06-22 21:32:50	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	532	75¢	$399	0x2483e9…
06-22 21:13:53	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	532	78¢	$413	0xdb4bfc…
06-22 18:52:01	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x50301c…
06-22 17:45:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	160	73¢	$117	0xa0d541…
06-22 15:46:26	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	885	88¢	$776	0x15891d…
06-22 13:34:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	935	83¢	$776	0xd3338c…
06-21 16:26:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	295	84¢	$247	0xd62613…
06-20 19:34:32	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0xf08e3f…
06-20 11:41:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1,230	82¢	$1,009	0xdbb099…
06-20 00:02:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,108	91¢	$1,009	0x56a540…
06-19 23:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,108	92¢	$1,020	0x2f55a4…
06-19 13:35:50	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	102	81¢	$83	0xcddbe5…
06-19 13:27:14	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x904e68…
06-11 09:32:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,343	80¢	$1,074	0x30de88…
06-10 13:08:45	Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?	No	BUY	509	79¢	$400	0x67ff43…
05-31 23:02:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2,041	47¢	$960	0xff0a90…
05-31 23:00:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2,041	49¢	$1,000	0x0d0c99…
05-30 16:43:50	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	198	95¢	$187	0x4fb3d2…
05-30 15:26:29	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	198	91¢	$180	0x6d5919…
05-29 16:42:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	820	22¢	$183	0xb3f421…
05-29 16:15:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	820	30¢	$246	0xd56040…
05-28 13:21:56	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	834	30¢	$249	0x0d742a…
05-28 13:15:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x41d77d…
05-28 12:45:18	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	843	34¢	$286	0xf5e330…
05-28 12:44:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	379	78¢	$295	0x91a99a…
05-28 09:38:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,722	79¢	$1,360	0x7354c7…
05-28 09:38:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,366	99¢	$1,359	0xdadc00…
05-25 21:12:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,366	96¢	$1,317	0x2fb42c…
05-19 06:31:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x194858…
05-18 08:27:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xad44f0…
05-05 21:04:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0x57207b…
04-29 21:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	1,216	93¢	$1,136	0xd1e8ea…
04-29 09:28:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1,216	99¢	$1,200	0xe24345…
04-28 14:14:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	2,190	79¢	$1,730	0x685e8e…
04-28 10:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2,210	77¢	$1,703	0xa1cf7d…
04-28 09:59:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	1,765	97¢	$1,705	0xc8c61c…
04-26 18:48:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1,770	92¢	$1,636	0xdbe272…
04-26 18:47:52	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1,677	98¢	$1,636	0x1feed8…
04-25 09:23:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,275	97¢	$1,237	0x00dfc1…
04-25 09:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	1,271	97¢	$1,238	0x3d0475…
04-23 15:56:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	1,274	95¢	$1,216	0x5ea560…
04-23 15:51:38	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	848	12¢	$100	0x7f2f8d…
04-23 15:50:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	SELL	1,324	99¢	$1,316	0x4dca63…
04-23 09:33:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	1,324	99¢	$1,312	0x663b34…
04-23 08:40:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,408	93¢	$1,312	0x430859…