Imperfect-Appreciation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

2,237

Trades

2,289

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$4

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 99% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	—	+5	$5	99¢	$5	$0	10-27 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
atp stricke grenier 2026 02 23 set totals 2pt5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Under 2.5	+$0	03-16 04:58
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	3	$10	5	5	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-10 14:18
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:26
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
wta masarov osuigwe 2026 02 25 set handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Masarova	+$0	03-18 05:14
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 16:02
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:35
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-09 22:15
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:32
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-14 01:00
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:35
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:39
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-30 15:10
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdae572…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e18cc…
10-24 13:22:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fdf20…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e95b5…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc81bad…
10-21 17:04:06	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa20dfe…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x945d33…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2f3f2…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3bdb3…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x859727…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a1dcb…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc88957…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5a1f7f…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x11ac54…
10-13 15:53:27	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c220b…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x700903…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2a6e6…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96b211…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x296b79…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd9b85…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x728453…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb60f5b…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf2987…
10-04 23:23:13	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d157e…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33cbad…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x99c378…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79d674…
10-02 14:13:38	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x506967…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55685d…
10-01 14:20:24	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x25c4e6…
10-01 12:11:08	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x30439e…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb878c3…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd38b93…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0e3f9…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x485554…
09-29 13:16:02	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x140787…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x176758…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x971a46…
09-27 20:16:59	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b1772…
09-27 20:12:29	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb842e7…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6c29…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe640d1…
09-26 19:47:30	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59096b…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bb212…
09-25 10:12:36	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdf0997…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeb1e5…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab9088…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde8403…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51d744…
09-20 22:25:37	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd698c…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94e9f4…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5b8e91…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bcaad…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0f9fe…
09-17 19:33:09	cs2 ence kamui 2026 09 17	KAMUI	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d75c5…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ef424…
09-17 16:02:39	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x905e36…
09-17 14:00:54	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77af8e…
09-17 00:30:40	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec8171…
09-16 21:19:13	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfd2491…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c430d…
09-16 02:33:33	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f2220…
09-16 01:32:13	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a12d4…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdffb8e…
09-15 18:32:07	crint ind afg 2026 09 15	India	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9c486…
09-15 17:48:01	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc52952…
09-15 14:23:34	W75 Le Neubourg: Demi Tran vs Sachia Vickery	Demi Tran	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc176d…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9977f…
09-14 19:48:04	cs2 drama zotix 2026 09 14 game2	Drama eSports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6cd0fe…
09-14 18:22:49	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x706577…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x357d08…
09-14 04:36:54	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1273ba…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ecbb1…
09-13 20:06:00	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2603b8…
09-13 14:56:15	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2c82f…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa06384…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ee929…
09-12 13:10:15	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x434343…
09-12 10:10:42	Will Daegu FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8eda0…
09-12 03:07:06	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb6f89…
09-11 21:06:34	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01d216…
09-11 20:41:51	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f45b6…
09-11 19:25:46	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c81ec…
09-11 16:17:12	cs2 wbt saw2 2026 09 11	SAW	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x815d69…
09-11 15:23:24	Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena	Alex Barrena	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x44f39c…
09-11 13:25:19	Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Any Questions Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	FunPlus Phoenix	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5901e8…
09-11 12:05:39	itf cacao1 tabacc1 2026 09 11	Fausto Tabacco	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7d262…
09-11 10:51:00	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2e662…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ad672…
09-10 18:48:13	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbf7589…
09-10 17:30:07	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd68fda…
09-10 01:18:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd13da1…
09-09 22:45:54	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafb1bc…
09-09 18:51:10	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd22e8e…
09-09 07:42:00	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46e983…
09-09 00:21:40	Barranquilla: Cadence Brace vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Sara Sorribes Tormo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b3a36…
09-08 23:12:24	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xea3466…
09-08 20:57:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3092a…
09-08 14:39:40	Antalya 4: Federica Urgesi vs Miriam Bulgaru	Miriam Bulgaru	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf46e17…
09-08 13:13:34	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. NC Dinos	Lotte Giants	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96eab1…