Vague-Panther — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

1,574

Trades

1,613

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-25 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

78% 98% -$7

Sports

17% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 98% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:31
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:03
wta korpats shnaide 2026 04 13	1	$10	10	0	+10	Diana Shnaider	+$0	04-14 21:35
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	Natus Vincere	+$0	04-29 20:18
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-29 19:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e18cc…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48b2f5…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x906a6e…
10-23 07:21:18	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4bdac9…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc124c2…
10-21 17:04:06	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa20dfe…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4187fe…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c72d1…
10-19 18:51:59	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22c484…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b5800…
10-15 20:32:48	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7f2d30…
10-15 19:37:38	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9bff7…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c596…
10-14 20:56:43	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4685a2…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bb5ec…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5208e5…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9358a6…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef0c67…
10-13 01:33:57	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x2075a0…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04ffb3…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9048a8…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ef6a0…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf5d05a…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacf9a3…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xefbcfa…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f14af…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd87dbb…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x101b3f…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1c64d…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f255e…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb99c4a…
10-07 05:49:08	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a28a8…
10-06 22:12:08	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9b0714…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d6b03…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0b59…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x050480…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbeee4f…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22bcd8…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0976fb…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xacd537…
10-03 02:52:59	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc4f841…
10-02 14:15:32	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x241fe4…
10-02 14:12:32	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe06539…
10-01 20:46:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a43ca…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb3d9cf…
10-01 14:12:20	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeef402…
10-01 11:29:45	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ea5de…
10-01 06:03:17	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x349fe3…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x935dce…
09-30 23:54:57	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x702906…
09-30 08:51:35	wta bai fruhvir 2026 09 30	Linda Fruhvirtova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9df3bb…
09-30 06:59:57	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90f3ce…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f3921…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba152f…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda7cd5…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x72566f…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa3db5…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x20842b…
09-28 20:58:42	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb84e4e…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba3c9f…
09-27 20:12:27	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6b73…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62ef00…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d0350…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc7ee2…
09-27 00:29:23	Wisconsin vs. Penn State	Wisconsin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a3de9…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d9f6e…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcffb00…
09-26 19:53:23	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55d8b0…
09-26 19:22:32	Virginia Tech vs. Boston College	Virginia Tech	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89246e…
09-26 16:12:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee2704…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7653f…
09-25 23:23:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99e743…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1e977b…
09-25 10:39:24	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ceae2…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10fc83…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d6994…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94728b…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bc3b3…
09-23 04:45:17	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x705385…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bb711…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x178a0c…
09-21 02:19:41	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x567797…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7268b5…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc01176…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x991cf5…
09-20 01:26:40	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e69ee…
09-18 20:03:36	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87d5a6…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3c5571…
09-18 18:52:22	Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc269f2…
09-18 00:54:24	Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x937156…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x627d5a…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x490084…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x257810…
09-17 00:30:43	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ff9f1…
09-16 15:14:29	Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b5eeb…
09-16 12:24:46	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d9878…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ff9d7…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x931dd5…
09-16 01:34:52	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf152cf…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x138c84…