Realized P&L
-$6.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.94K
Hit rate
61.8%
Resolved
2,587
Trades
44,461
lifetime
Volume
$907.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$13.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 13:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 275 days
Categories
Politics
38% 52% -$1,525
Other
26% 51% -$839
Sports
17% 61% -$475
Crypto
15% 49% -$3,998
Tech
3% 64% -$42
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $953 80¢ $966 +$13 08-30 23:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $829 94¢ $935 +$106 09-11 03:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +900 $720 96¢ $868 +$148 07-26 04:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,163 $732 57¢ $669 -$63 08-25 07:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +700 $532 86¢ $602 +$70 10-04 09:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +600 $527 90¢ $542 +$15 06-27 14:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +563 $281 94¢ $528 +$247 06-25 07:27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +511 $424 99¢ $507 +$83 09-25 18:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,163 $419 42¢ $494 +$76 08-18 18:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +700 $300 68¢ $472 +$173 10-26 19:51
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +472 $426 100¢ $470 +$44 07-18 21:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +501 $402 84¢ $419 +$17 08-10 17:57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +487 $317 86¢ $416 +$99 07-23 13:50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +458 $278 90¢ $410 +$131 07-09 08:38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +440 $389 93¢ $409 +$20 09-29 20:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +485 $169 82¢ $395 +$226 05-25 18:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $262 94¢ $378 +$116 06-22 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $162 88¢ $354 +$192 10-01 00:49
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +335 $271 100¢ $334 +$63 08-18 14:24
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +386 $291 84¢ $322 +$31 07-23 17:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +410 $265 74¢ $302 +$37 09-13 12:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +300 $243 96¢ $288 +$45 05-11 22:50
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +300 $270 96¢ $288 +$18 09-06 14:40
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $488 57¢ $287 -$201 07-20 21:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +300 $221 95¢ $285 +$64 06-21 08:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $205 91¢ $273 +$68 07-20 01:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $270 90¢ $268 -$2 07-19 22:49
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +300 $170 84¢ $253 +$83 09-30 02:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $274 62¢ $250 -$24 10-14 11:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +255 $198 94¢ $241 +$42 10-05 23:48