Bad-Shakedown 0xea2837…0f3a0b
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.85K
Hit rate
62.1%
Resolved
2,568
Trades
44,427
lifetime
Volume
$907.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$13.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 19:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 272 days
Categories
Politics
38% 52% -$1,525
Other
26% 52% -$804
Sports
17% 62% -$473
Crypto
15% 49% -$4,000
Tech
3% 64% -$42
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $953 82¢ $978 +$25 08-30 23:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $829 92¢ $925 +$96 09-11 03:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,163 $732 72¢ $843 +$112 08-25 07:24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +900 $720 90¢ $814 +$94 07-26 04:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +700 $532 86¢ $598 +$66 10-04 09:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +600 $527 92¢ $551 +$24 06-27 14:53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +511 $424 98¢ $501 +$77 09-25 18:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +563 $281 87¢ $491 +$210 06-25 07:27
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +472 $426 99¢ $469 +$44 07-18 21:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +700 $300 66¢ $458 +$159 10-26 19:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +458 $278 92¢ $419 +$140 07-09 08:38
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +487 $317 86¢ $416 +$99 07-23 13:50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +501 $402 82¢ $409 +$7 08-10 17:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +440 $389 92¢ $406 +$17 09-29 20:16
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +400 $351 100¢ $399 +$48 09-09 05:12
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +485 $169 82¢ $397 +$228 05-25 18:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $262 94¢ $378 +$116 06-22 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $162 88¢ $354 +$192 10-01 00:49
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +335 $271 99¢ $333 +$62 08-18 14:24
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +386 $291 84¢ $322 +$31 07-23 17:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,163 $419 28¢ $320 -$99 08-18 18:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +410 $265 74¢ $302 +$37 09-13 12:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +300 $221 97¢ $290 +$69 06-21 08:31
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +300 $270 96¢ $288 +$18 09-06 14:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +300 $243 96¢ $288 +$45 05-11 22:50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $488 56¢ $282 -$206 07-20 21:47
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +300 $170 90¢ $271 +$101 09-30 02:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $270 90¢ $268 -$2 07-19 22:49
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $205 90¢ $268 +$63 07-20 01:56
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $274 64¢ $254 -$20 10-14 11:03