Bad-Shakedown 0xea2837…0f3a0b
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$112
Unrealized P&L
-$106
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
23,994
lifetime
Volume
$510.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$3.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-24 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
44% 45% +$15
Other
22% 50% +$0
Crypto
19% 36% $-116
Sports
14% 71% $-12
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +600 $483 70¢ $423 $-60 07-23 17:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +369 $282 89¢ $328 +$46 06-05 05:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +317 $98 99¢ $315 +$217 07-15 18:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +300 $218 72¢ $217 $-1 06-09 22:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +700 $135 30¢ $206 +$72 07-23 12:35
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $205 66¢ $199 $-5 07-20 01:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $148 86¢ $173 +$25 06-22 17:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +200 $149 80¢ $159 +$10 07-20 17:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $116 63¢ $126 +$10 06-29 13:09
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +300 $92 34¢ $100 +$8 07-20 01:40
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 06-08 17:21
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +100 $78 92¢ $92 +$15 06-02 10:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 07-12 19:55
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -100 $-90 92¢ $-92 $-2 05-27 20:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-90 86¢ $-86 +$4 07-04 00:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $78 86¢ $86 +$8 06-07 13:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +100 $71 77¢ $77 +$6 06-29 11:21
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +200 $71 28¢ $55 $-16 06-14 03:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +63 $42 78¢ $48 +$7 06-25 07:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $58 23¢ $46 $-12 06-26 18:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +200 $49 20¢ $41 $-8 07-21 11:46
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +369 $83 11¢ $41 $-42 06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $44 37¢ $37 $-7 06-28 18:57
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +200 $42 15¢ $29 $-13 06-08 02:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $50 14¢ $27 $-23 06-19 04:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +33 $21 72¢ $24 +$2 06-05 04:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +33 $12 28¢ $9 $-3 06-04 14:11
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -37 $21 22¢ $-8 $-29 06-30 15:54
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 8¢ $8 $-12 06-04 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +417 $315 1¢ $3 $-312 07-05 04:44