Bad-Shakedown 0xea2837…0f3a0b
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$112
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
22,001
lifetime
Volume
$459.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-13 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
46% 45% +$15
Other
22% 50% +$0
Crypto
21% 36% $-116
Sports
11% 71% $-12
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +369 $282 90¢ $332 +$50 06-05 05:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $239 82¢ $248 +$9 06-06 12:40
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +300 $218 80¢ $238 +$20 06-09 22:29
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +200 $173 86¢ $173 +$0 06-12 20:17
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +200 $150 78¢ $155 +$5 06-08 11:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +122 $111 97¢ $118 +$7 06-04 01:42
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +100 $92 97¢ $97 +$5 06-08 17:21
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +100 $92 92¢ $92 +$0 06-10 08:08
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -100 $-90 90¢ $-90 +$0 05-27 20:00
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -100 $-89 90¢ $-90 $-0 06-02 17:58
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +100 $85 86¢ $86 +$2 06-10 11:29
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +100 $78 84¢ $84 +$6 06-02 10:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +400 $112 20¢ $82 $-30 06-10 12:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $78 80¢ $80 +$2 06-07 13:03
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 +$0 06-06 07:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $84 78¢ $78 $-6 06-12 14:52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +100 $76 78¢ $78 +$2 06-02 23:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $58 54¢ $54 $-5 06-04 00:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +300 $63 18¢ $52 $-10 06-06 14:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -100 $-24 49¢ $-49 $-25 06-03 19:19
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +216 $48 22¢ $49 +$1 06-06 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +200 $42 20¢ $39 $-3 06-08 02:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +369 $83 10¢ $37 $-46 06-04 21:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $31 30¢ $30 $-1 05-29 18:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +33 $21 82¢ $27 +$6 06-05 04:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +100 $23 22¢ $22 $-1 06-02 01:11
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +100 $20 20¢ $20 +$0 06-08 15:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $25 16¢ $16 $-8 06-11 17:16
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $20 16¢ $16 $-4 06-04 14:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +100 $24 16¢ $16 $-8 06-12 15:11