Realized P&L
-$112
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
23,434
lifetime
Volume
$495.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$4.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 12:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
45% 45% +$15
Other
22% 50% +$0
Crypto
19% 36% $-116
Sports
13% 71% $-12
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +603 $506 82¢ $498 $-8 07-01 15:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $343 86¢ $346 +$3 06-27 21:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +369 $282 84¢ $312 +$29 06-05 05:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +300 $218 84¢ $253 +$35 06-09 22:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +317 $103 74¢ $236 +$134 07-03 10:32
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +300 $224 78¢ $232 +$8 07-02 19:36
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +260 $194 80¢ $209 +$15 06-22 14:05
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +197 $180 94¢ $186 +$6 06-26 04:14
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +309 $167 55¢ $169 +$1 07-03 09:58
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +200 $148 84¢ $167 +$19 06-22 17:56
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +309 $147 46¢ $141 $-7 07-02 23:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $116 60¢ $119 +$3 06-29 13:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +417 $305 26¢ $106 $-198 07-01 00:05
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +603 $96 18¢ $106 +$9 07-01 06:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 06-29 18:37
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +100 $92 99¢ $99 +$7 06-08 17:21
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No -100 $-90 94¢ $-94 $-4 05-27 20:00
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +237 $86 40¢ $93 +$7 07-03 12:41
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +399 $97 22¢ $90 $-7 07-03 14:14
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +100 $78 87¢ $87 +$10 06-02 10:47
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +100 $84 86¢ $87 +$3 06-30 23:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $78 86¢ $86 +$8 06-07 13:03
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +137 $88 60¢ $83 $-5 06-30 22:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +100 $71 76¢ $76 +$5 06-29 11:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +500 $77 14¢ $68 $-10 06-30 20:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +369 $83 16¢ $57 $-26 06-04 21:10
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +276 $67 20¢ $54 $-14 07-03 11:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +200 $58 24¢ $49 $-9 06-26 18:37
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +63 $42 70¢ $44 +$3 06-25 07:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $44 40¢ $41 $-4 06-28 18:57