Bad-Shakedown 0xea2837…0f3a0b
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.92K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.69K
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
2,576
Trades
44,429
lifetime
Volume
$907.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$13.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 273 days
Categories
Politics
38% 52% -$1,525
Other
26% 51% -$846
Sports
17% 62% -$473
Crypto
15% 49% -$4,000
Tech
3% 64% -$42
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$30
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 431 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,200 $953 83¢ $996 +$43 08-30 23:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,000 $829 92¢ $925 +$96 09-11 03:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,163 $732 78¢ $901 +$170 08-25 07:24
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +900 $720 92¢ $832 +$112 07-26 04:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +700 $532 86¢ $602 +$70 10-04 09:45
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +600 $527 92¢ $552 +$25 06-27 14:53
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +511 $424 98¢ $502 +$78 09-25 18:47
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +563 $281 86¢ $487 +$206 06-25 07:27
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +472 $426 99¢ $469 +$44 07-18 21:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +700 $300 64¢ $451 +$152 10-26 19:51
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +458 $278 90¢ $414 +$136 07-09 08:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +487 $317 85¢ $414 +$97 07-23 13:50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +501 $402 82¢ $409 +$7 08-10 17:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +440 $389 93¢ $407 +$18 09-29 20:16
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +485 $169 80¢ $388 +$218 05-25 18:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +400 $262 94¢ $378 +$116 06-22 17:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +400 $162 88¢ $354 +$192 10-01 00:49
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +335 $271 100¢ $333 +$63 08-18 14:24
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +386 $291 84¢ $322 +$31 07-23 17:40
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +410 $265 74¢ $302 +$37 09-13 12:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +300 $221 97¢ $291 +$70 06-21 08:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +300 $243 96¢ $288 +$45 05-11 22:50
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +300 $270 96¢ $288 +$18 09-06 14:40
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 Yes +300 $170 94¢ $280 +$110 09-30 02:24
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +500 $488 55¢ $275 -$213 07-20 21:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +300 $205 92¢ $274 +$69 07-20 01:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +300 $270 90¢ $268 -$2 07-19 22:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,163 $419 22¢ $262 -$157 08-18 18:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $274 64¢ $258 -$16 10-14 11:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +700 $398 36¢ $248 -$149 09-13 14:40