Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$2,828
Trades
44
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$19
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-16 21:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 2% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $7 | $459 | $452 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $11 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $23 | $11 | +$12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $248 | $247 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $348 | $348 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $325 | $322 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $7 | $331 | $324 |
| unranked | 5 | $31 | $38 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x57bd…3595 | Yes | +1,170 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 06-14 02:49 |
| Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | No | +1,075 | $1,055 | $1,055 | 1 | 06-13 03:26 |
| Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | +355 | $346 | $346 | 1 | 06-14 02:49 |
| Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | +332 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-13 11:09 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | +242 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 06-13 18:06 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +242 | $236 | $236 | 3 | 06-13 18:06 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +226 | $222 | $222 | 2 | 06-13 11:09 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +96 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-16 21:19 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 21:19 |
| Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 06:12 |
| Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-10 07:32 |
| Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | +4 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-15 23:26 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 18:48 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-04 19:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 21:19:26 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4cabd… |
| 06-16 21:19:26 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xb4cabd… |
| 06-16 21:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb4cabd… |
| 06-15 23:26:45 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf82650… |
| 06-15 23:26:45 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf82650… |
| 06-15 18:48:33 | Yawning-Chicken 0xe911…3d4e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd5dc59… |
| 06-15 18:48:33 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd5dc59… |
| 06-14 07:27:54 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xabb795… |
| 06-14 07:27:54 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xabb795… |
| 06-14 07:27:54 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | SELL | 85 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xabb795… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | (anonymous) 0x57bd…3595 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | (anonymous) 0xdf0e…c02b | Yes | BUY | 85 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | Legitimate-Airman 0xb1a1…d308 | No | BUY | 355 | 98¢ | $346 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 112 | 98¢ | $109 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-14 02:49:03 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdea55a… |
| 06-13 18:06:43 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0xf75515… |
| 06-13 18:06:43 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf75515… |
| 06-13 17:23:57 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x2ae1a8… |
| 06-13 17:23:57 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2ae1a8… |
| 06-13 17:22:55 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x7d8f1e… |
| 06-13 17:22:55 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x7d8f1e… |
| 06-13 11:09:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | BUY | 112 | 98¢ | $110 | 0x35583b… |
| 06-13 11:09:22 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 220 | 98¢ | $215 | 0x35583b… |
| 06-13 11:09:22 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 332 | 98¢ | $325 | 0x35583b… |
| 06-13 11:09:00 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 332 | 98¢ | $325 | 0xd3521a… |
| 06-13 11:09:00 | Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37 | Yes | BUY | 332 | 2¢ | $7 | 0xd3521a… |
| 06-13 03:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x57bd…3595 | Yes | BUY | 1,075 | 2¢ | $19 | 0xe4e220… |
| 06-13 03:26:25 | Liquid-Argument 0x39a5…87f2 | No | BUY | 1,075 | 98¢ | $1,055 | 0xe4e220… |
| 06-12 17:37:46 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x58629a… |
| 06-12 17:37:46 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x58629a… |
| 06-11 17:10:09 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xcc2f7a… |
| 06-11 17:10:09 | Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xcc2f7a… |
| 06-11 17:10:09 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcc2f7a… |
| 06-10 07:32:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51c130… |
| 06-10 07:32:18 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x51c130… |
| 06-10 07:32:18 | Ideal-Cholesterol 0x48ef…26ad | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x51c130… |
| 06-04 19:52:37 | Ironclad-Crunch 0x89e1…ba0e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x35c8a1… |
| 06-04 19:52:37 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x35c8a1… |
| 06-02 06:12:57 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb57254… |
| 06-02 06:12:57 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb57254… |
| 06-02 06:12:57 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb57254… |
| 06-01 13:14:06 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6c93e… |
| 06-01 13:14:06 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc6c93e… |