Those-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$71

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-08 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$3

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$1

Tech

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+22	$20	94¢	$21	+$1	06-03 07:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+11	$10	98¢	$10	+$0	06-10 00:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	+11	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	06-09 06:07
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	06-03 07:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+10	$10	96¢	$10	$-0	07-08 05:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	92¢	$10	$-0	06-03 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$121	50	71	-20	open	—	01-22 01:14
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	01-29 03:29
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$60	63	0	+63	Yes	+$3	04-02 05:37
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$55	57	0	+57	open	—	01-22 02:33
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 01:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-26 01:11
trump out as president by march 31	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	01-05 01:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 02:36
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-07 01:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$40	42	0	+42	open	—	02-12 01:24
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$40	41	0	+41	open	—	02-24 02:09
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	4	$22	15	10	+5	open	—	01-06 00:25
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$21	0	21	-21	open	—	01-05 07:10
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-27 03:34
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-09 04:17
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	02-14 00:54
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-22 01:58
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	06-03 07:55
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-05 03:44
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-09 02:19
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-12 02:06
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 03:18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-01 02:10
Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-25 07:32
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	03-06 03:36
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 07:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-05 00:49
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-25 07:13
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-17 03:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-11 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 05:55:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x956080…
06-25 07:32:23	Will Scotland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x123430…
06-25 07:13:52	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfe8f81…
06-25 06:30:47	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x69f5eb…
06-11 02:43:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1367c0…
06-11 01:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2657a0…
06-10 00:55:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb0abf8…
06-09 06:07:09	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe25faf…
06-04 01:02:40	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x691740…
06-03 07:55:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x38bab4…
06-03 07:13:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0fd76f…
06-03 07:12:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0fc8c4…
06-03 07:01:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xebf713…
05-26 01:11:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x463456…
05-26 01:11:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x29d5c5…
05-26 00:50:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcf9313…
05-14 00:35:12	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3b031…
05-06 06:18:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x51aafc…
04-24 04:24:30	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1e0402…
04-24 00:30:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfc595d…
04-24 00:29:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9975e9…
04-18 03:49:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x30b38e…
04-18 03:18:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe9aa6a…
04-07 01:49:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd47399…
04-07 01:37:25	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb56499…
04-02 05:37:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xba4f32…
04-02 02:38:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xebe268…
04-02 02:36:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7b98d5…
04-01 02:10:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x61aa7e…
03-26 01:30:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x046e5c…
03-20 03:58:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9d98b4…
03-17 03:49:15	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe99d19…
03-12 02:06:17	will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x5ac477…
03-09 01:26:31	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x300549…
03-06 03:36:51	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x72a075…
03-06 03:30:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x75f9ac…
03-05 00:49:43	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8af201…
02-24 02:09:14	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x66d2ef…
02-14 00:54:41	will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x853e9d…
02-12 01:24:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc38b88…
02-11 03:58:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd4d508…
02-11 02:56:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x979315…
02-11 02:53:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x93db9f…
02-09 04:17:01	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x6ac083…
01-29 03:29:06	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa6a723…
01-27 03:34:47	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xb08b33…
01-23 06:24:36	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x76c955…
01-22 02:38:38	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$21	0x0e15c0…
01-22 02:34:54	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0c31f4…
01-22 02:33:48	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x416a6d…
01-22 01:58:06	will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x244a1a…
01-22 01:14:52	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x00d270…
01-21 01:15:38	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x22f602…
01-15 01:32:20	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x79ba21…
01-09 02:19:30	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x64538a…
01-09 01:58:50	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb4d1a5…
01-06 00:25:57	nba cha okc 2026 01 05	Thunder	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa5aa8e…
01-06 00:25:05	nba cha okc 2026 01 05	Thunder	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x10a481…
01-05 07:10:51	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xaf014a…
01-05 07:10:33	nba chi bos 2026 01 05	Celtics	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3cf6ea…
01-05 07:09:25	epl wes not 2026 01 06 wes	No	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xc1f35f…
01-05 07:09:07	nba atl tor 2026 01 05	Raptors	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x78576b…
01-05 07:08:09	nba mem lal 2026 01 04	Lakers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd52a85…
01-05 07:03:09	nba cha okc 2026 01 05	Thunder	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x46c30f…
01-05 07:02:45	nba atl tor 2026 01 05	Raptors	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa36e52…
01-05 07:01:03	nba chi bos 2026 01 05	Celtics	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7a09e3…
01-05 06:58:55	epl wes not 2026 01 06 wes	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc63439…
01-05 06:58:41	epl wes not 2026 01 06 wes	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xaf2189…
01-05 06:13:35	nba cha okc 2026 01 05	Thunder	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8901c8…
01-05 05:37:19	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x79e345…
01-05 05:30:45	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6ef951…
01-05 05:01:19	nba mem lal 2026 01 04	Lakers	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa3318d…
01-05 03:44:43	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x51001d…
01-05 01:07:35	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xc90440…
01-04 01:23:45	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xef9b07…