Offbeat-Sanctity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

9.4%

Resolved

328

Trades

12,065

lifetime

Volume

$225.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 07-21 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

36% 29% -$89

Politics

34% 30% -$49

Sports

25% 26% -$22

Crypto

5% 28% -$9

Tech

0% 33% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	$0	07-07 10:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	05-07 12:04
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	+$0	07-08 23:18
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	07-10 12:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	519	$11.9K	6,117	6,117	+0	No	-$3	05-29 18:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	484	$9.8K	5,018	5,018	+0	No	-$1	06-13 20:39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	372	$8.1K	4,120	4,120	+0	Yes	-$2	05-27 17:04
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	359	$6.8K	3,475	3,475	+0	No	-$1	07-09 21:23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	274	$5.4K	2,759	2,759	+0	No	$0	07-06 02:24
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	235	$5.1K	2,628	2,628	+0	No	-$2	07-05 21:45
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	195	$5.0K	2,560	2,560	+0	No	$0	06-29 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	204	$4.9K	2,521	2,521	+0	No	-$1	06-28 22:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	191	$4.5K	2,311	2,311	+0	Yes	$0	06-16 11:07
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	278	$4.5K	2,285	2,285	+0	No	-$1	06-25 12:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	205	$4.3K	2,173	2,173	+0	No	-$3	05-29 18:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	256	$4.2K	2,168	2,168	+0	No	-$7	06-22 08:04
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	216	$3.9K	2,006	2,006	+0	No	-$1	05-26 00:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	218	$3.9K	1,997	1,997	+0	No	-$5	05-29 21:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	217	$3.7K	1,871	1,871	+0	No	-$2	05-28 22:24
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	149	$3.4K	1,739	1,739	+0	No	$0	07-07 22:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	211	$3.3K	1,676	1,676	+0	No	-$2	05-09 15:39
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	166	$3.2K	1,629	1,629	+0	No	-$1	07-06 19:21
Iran leadership change by May 31?	161	$3.2K	1,626	1,626	+0	No	-$1	05-29 21:15
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	171	$3.1K	1,594	1,594	+0	No	-$2	07-05 01:11
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	140	$3.0K	1,568	1,567	+0	No	-$1	07-07 00:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	174	$3.0K	1,510	1,532	-22	No	-$1	05-20 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	131	$2.9K	1,493	1,493	+0	No	+$0	05-13 19:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	134	$2.8K	1,440	1,435	+5	No	-$1	05-30 18:36
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	142	$2.7K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	$0	05-28 19:24
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?	181	$2.5K	1,312	1,312	+0	No	+$0	07-08 20:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	124	$2.4K	1,255	1,255	+0	No	-$1	05-08 23:42
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	103	$2.3K	1,184	1,184	+0	No	$0	06-05 21:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	98	$2.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	No	-$1	05-14 05:19
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	114	$2.2K	1,102	1,102	+0	No	-$1	07-03 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 13:01:57	Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xce359a…
07-21 13:01:52	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x843122…
07-10 20:11:07	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0af3a6…
07-10 20:10:31	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x4526e6…
07-10 20:10:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x0c260f…
07-10 20:08:41	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xec688a…
07-10 20:07:47	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x37718f…
07-10 20:07:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd8cc1d…
07-10 19:57:47	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x685393…
07-10 19:56:29	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x0b2f9f…
07-10 19:55:29	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x8aba0b…
07-10 19:54:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xca1a3a…
07-10 19:53:56	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x7429c1…
07-10 19:51:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6ec060…
07-10 19:39:29	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24c819…
07-10 19:35:59	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xd9d945…
07-10 19:30:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xfcd2d2…
07-10 19:24:05	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x35bc14…
07-10 19:23:20	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x1b2dd3…
07-10 19:23:01	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x47d45e…
07-10 19:15:31	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6a3c91…
07-10 19:15:25	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2e6c17…
07-10 19:12:05	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x74e5c6…
07-10 18:55:32	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x1cba31…
07-10 18:55:04	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x45c64e…
07-10 18:54:13	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xc0b3d8…
07-10 18:53:47	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0xdbbc0c…
07-10 18:47:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x882085…
07-10 18:40:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x44254b…
07-10 18:27:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0xbdd4f6…
07-10 18:25:52	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1d31d0…
07-10 18:25:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b00ea…
07-10 18:24:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xaa4a05…
07-10 18:08:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xf77bd9…
07-10 18:01:10	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xf5362b…
07-10 17:58:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x5daa0d…
07-10 17:54:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x12b7dd…
07-10 17:30:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x2c893b…
07-10 17:13:43	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8d07e1…
07-10 16:55:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x083121…
07-10 16:29:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x7b9e13…
07-10 16:27:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x5d52bc…
07-10 16:14:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xab2843…
07-10 16:01:08	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xba2b19…
07-10 15:58:55	Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xb8c0db…
07-10 15:38:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0xc7ab22…
07-10 15:37:28	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x1b2faf…
07-10 15:34:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x761566…
07-10 15:28:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x060761…
07-10 15:06:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x4566d6…
07-10 14:55:17	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf83a9f…
07-10 14:54:55	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x101876…
07-10 14:54:25	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xd31dad…
07-10 14:53:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x35deb2…
07-10 14:52:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9aa8c7…
07-10 14:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x16f05e…
07-10 14:46:25	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x865c0a…
07-10 14:36:25	Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0xae1dc1…
07-10 14:25:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfaf57f…
07-10 14:21:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x8246e8…
07-10 13:59:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xedf902…
07-10 13:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0x82ad9e…
07-10 13:56:29	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xec6233…
07-10 13:54:23	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3f9da3…
07-10 13:51:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xde438a…
07-10 13:45:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x733560…
07-10 13:44:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x143791…
07-10 13:40:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x6a1228…
07-10 13:21:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x49b54e…
07-10 13:20:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0x99dc26…
07-10 13:13:46	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6dc4c3…
07-10 12:59:35	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x73a253…
07-10 12:47:53	Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xd50479…
07-10 12:33:37	Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x113197…
07-10 12:33:16	Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x41cb20…
07-10 12:30:55	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb105b0…
07-10 12:30:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xd77aba…
07-10 12:30:23	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf7133a…
07-10 12:29:52	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf0b0ca…
07-10 12:21:08	Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x7d9508…
07-10 12:17:35	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x770d2a…
07-10 12:10:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xbb2611…
07-10 12:06:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfc6348…
07-10 11:52:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xf2e53c…
07-10 11:36:28	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xb0167f…
07-10 11:33:17	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 15	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xdeeae4…
07-10 11:31:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x3968c9…
07-10 11:04:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x7bea41…
07-10 10:44:19	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa42cd6…
07-10 10:43:46	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x695fe5…
07-10 10:43:08	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd53eb7…
07-10 10:21:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x124b00…
07-10 10:19:40	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0xb46f37…
07-10 10:19:14	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x80233b…
07-10 10:07:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xcbb30b…
07-10 09:21:47	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x34ac1a…
07-10 09:21:13	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x966465…
07-10 09:20:37	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9786b6…
07-10 09:14:49	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x326c97…
07-10 09:10:34	Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x42fd78…