Will Iran reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$833
Trades
22
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$40
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-11 18:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $219
vs crowd: 1% YES on $542)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $219 | $219 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $3 | $80 | $77 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | $238 | $237 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $219 | $219 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $80 | $80 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | $238 | $235 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +220 | $219 | $219 | 3 | 06-11 18:51 |
| Victorious-Selling 0xc4d8…9436 | Yes | +102 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 20:53 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +101 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 18:51 |
| Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | +81 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-29 20:53 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +49 | $0 | $1 | 3 | 06-11 18:51 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-02 06:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 18:51:30 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 101 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x69aa27… |
| 06-11 18:51:30 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x69aa27… |
| 06-11 18:51:30 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x69aa27… |
| 06-11 18:51:30 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 211 | 99¢ | $210 | 0x69aa27… |
| 06-06 18:12:22 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfb24b9… |
| 06-06 18:12:22 | Adept-Dock 0x6026…f93a | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfb24b9… |
| 06-02 06:12:33 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x774b6e… |
| 06-02 06:12:33 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x774b6e… |
| 06-02 06:12:33 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x774b6e… |
| 06-01 13:14:29 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb37f2… |
| 06-01 13:14:29 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfb37f2… |
| 05-29 20:53:33 | Victorious-Selling 0xc4d8…9436 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4c0037… |
| 05-29 20:53:33 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 81 | 99¢ | $80 | 0x4c0037… |
| 05-29 20:53:33 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4c0037… |
| 05-28 21:45:56 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35efaf… |
| 05-28 21:45:56 | Wide-Border 0x17b4…4d48 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x35efaf… |
| 05-28 05:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x9f2c…f86b | Yes | SELL | 240 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x82fe6e… |
| 05-28 05:08:12 | (anonymous) 0x171f…c7db | No | SELL | 240 | 99¢ | $238 | 0x82fe6e… |
| 05-28 05:04:25 | (anonymous) 0x171f…c7db | No | BUY | 240 | 99¢ | $238 | 0x6bbc76… |
| 05-28 05:04:25 | (anonymous) 0x9f2c…f86b | Yes | BUY | 240 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x6bbc76… |
| 05-27 21:40:37 | Wide-Border 0x17b4…4d48 | No | SELL | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xe6cc39… |
| 05-27 21:40:37 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6cc39… |