Hairy-Posterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$70

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.6%

Resolved

Trades

5,855

lifetime

Volume

$115.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-19 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

48% 25% +$70

Other

45% 0% $-0

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% 0% —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	441	$8.9K	4,459	4,671	-211	open	—	05-29 17:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	329	$8.0K	4,091	4,039	+52	open	—	05-27 14:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	325	$6.7K	3,379	3,444	-65	open	—	06-13 23:38
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	241	$4.5K	2,338	2,278	+61	open	—	05-30 01:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	211	$4.5K	2,278	2,312	-34	open	—	05-29 23:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	208	$4.5K	2,295	2,295	+0	open	—	06-28 20:49
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	246	$4.4K	2,227	2,227	+0	open	—	06-24 09:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	198	$3.4K	1,775	1,773	+2	open	—	06-14 22:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	155	$3.1K	1,574	1,623	-49	open	—	05-20 01:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	127	$3.0K	1,541	1,470	+71	open	—	06-16 09:49
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	140	$2.9K	1,465	1,444	+21	open	—	05-30 18:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	131	$2.6K	1,357	1,332	+25	open	—	05-18 19:07
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	98	$2.3K	1,193	1,141	+51	open	—	06-05 21:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	128	$2.3K	1,149	1,167	-18	open	—	05-10 17:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	91	$2.3K	1,154	1,154	+0	open	—	05-15 13:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	102	$2.1K	1,089	1,052	+37	open	—	05-13 21:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	92	$2.1K	1,046	1,081	-35	No	$-2	05-08 23:42
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	127	$2.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	07-02 23:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	92	$1.8K	904	972	-68	open	—	05-14 05:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	75	$1.6K	849	783	+66	open	—	05-28 20:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	81	$1.6K	803	803	+0	open	—	06-28 07:45
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	52	$1.5K	814	744	+70	open	—	06-16 14:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	65	$1.5K	782	781	+1	open	—	05-22 00:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	51	$1.4K	709	709	+0	open	—	05-20 14:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	78	$1.4K	715	684	+32	open	—	05-30 19:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	75	$1.2K	612	592	+20	open	—	05-12 13:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	93	$1.2K	609	609	+0	open	—	07-09 13:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	74	$1.2K	599	608	-9	open	—	05-29 23:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	60	$1.1K	550	549	+0	open	—	06-24 22:48
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	69	$1.0K	529	529	+0	No	$-0	05-06 08:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 16:38:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0xb4d615…
07-19 16:37:49	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	346	20¢	$70	0x8055aa…
07-12 06:51:31	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 set handicap home 1pt5	Sinner	BUY	83	68¢	$57	0x1256a7…
07-11 16:15:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x3c3a59…
07-11 16:15:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x61ddee…
07-11 16:15:02	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x95cd6f…
07-11 16:11:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xf7c4f6…
07-11 16:11:31	wta muchova noskova 2026 07 11	Karolina Muchova	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x42d9e1…
07-10 20:10:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x0c260f…
07-10 19:54:37	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xca1a3a…
07-10 19:51:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6ec060…
07-10 18:48:38	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x846759…
07-10 18:27:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9276d0…
07-10 18:27:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x4a9687…
07-10 18:25:31	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xcc2bc2…
07-10 18:25:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x5e3273…
07-10 18:24:58	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x438d7e…
07-10 18:24:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xaa4a05…
07-10 18:08:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf77bd9…
07-10 17:56:35	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xfecbba…
07-10 17:54:53	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x12b7dd…
07-10 17:38:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0bb321…
07-10 17:30:28	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x2c893b…
07-10 17:07:34	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e4270…
07-10 16:29:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x7b9e13…
07-10 16:27:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x5d52bc…
07-10 16:14:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xab2843…
07-10 15:38:14	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xc7ab22…
07-10 15:34:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x761566…
07-10 15:28:40	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x060761…
07-10 15:06:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0x4566d6…
07-10 14:55:26	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xffd618…
07-10 14:55:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0x4ca169…
07-10 14:53:13	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x35deb2…
07-10 14:52:19	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x16f05e…
07-10 14:35:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x865d19…
07-10 14:25:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xfaf57f…
07-10 13:59:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x7b9300…
07-10 13:59:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x82ad9e…
07-10 13:44:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x497e36…
07-10 13:20:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x99dc26…
07-10 13:05:04	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x58084a…
07-10 12:50:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	34	97¢	$33	0xfbb066…
07-10 12:46:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x690d5f…
07-10 12:38:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xe013ec…
07-10 12:30:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xd77aba…
07-10 12:13:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x6a92c0…
07-10 12:10:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xbb2611…
07-10 11:52:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xf2e53c…
07-10 11:31:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x3968c9…
07-10 11:04:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x7bea41…
07-10 10:22:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	32	97¢	$32	0xc85cac…
07-10 10:08:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x6a33d0…
07-10 09:05:20	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$6	0xc47d84…
07-10 09:05:16	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xae9c67…
07-10 08:53:50	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xf08af8…
07-10 05:23:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x18ccd1…
07-10 05:13:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x7e8f3b…
07-10 04:57:49	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	8	97¢	$7	0x7be40e…
07-10 04:21:19	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9c0015…
07-10 04:19:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x701fbe…
07-10 04:19:28	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x6b01f0…
07-10 04:15:34	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x85ced5…
07-10 04:06:11	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x609cee…
07-10 03:54:44	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x89f816…
07-10 03:47:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xb4af10…
07-10 03:24:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x1bebd7…
07-10 03:16:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0x541e92…
07-10 03:05:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0xbbd180…
07-10 03:01:23	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x937ab6…
07-10 02:35:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xcc3243…
07-10 02:16:19	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x6933e1…
07-10 01:55:01	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0xa6c783…
07-10 01:38:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xc1f527…
07-10 01:34:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xc38d12…
07-10 01:17:34	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x245bea…
07-09 23:52:37	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8f35b5…
07-09 23:47:22	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe59721…
07-09 22:33:32	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x91b4f8…
07-09 22:33:13	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x137cc9…
07-09 22:15:58	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf04f38…
07-09 18:31:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x942b16…
07-09 18:18:11	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x0e8869…
07-09 18:02:26	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xc085b1…
07-09 17:27:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x7e24c0…
07-09 16:50:01	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x7bfc16…
07-09 16:02:11	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x3accd4…
07-09 15:32:13	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xef0655…
07-09 15:21:29	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x917b7f…
07-09 14:27:14	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xbe2b47…
07-09 14:24:55	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x2928eb…
07-09 14:12:41	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xe02808…
07-09 13:34:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6b86ef…
07-09 13:32:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x325815…
07-09 13:30:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e973d…
07-09 13:03:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bd831…
07-09 12:34:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x1dd257…
07-09 12:25:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x287077…
07-09 11:56:23	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x756ed4…
07-09 11:19:19	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xe98f64…