Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$669
Trades
33
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$265
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-18 20:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1 | $404 | $404 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $29 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $26 | $26 |
| Median | 4 | $4 | $3 | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $196 | $196 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $184 | $184 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | Yes | +218 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-13 03:10 |
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +180 | $174 | $174 | 5 | 06-13 03:13 |
| Curly-Calico 0xc7c2…a0ca | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-15 01:33 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Bustling-Navigation 0x850c…3645 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-16 19:37 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-15 01:33 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | +8 | $8 | $45 | 5 | 06-18 20:40 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:14 |
| Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 07:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 20:40:44 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc3a23d… |
| 06-18 20:40:44 | Wiry-Museum 0x7cc7…4572 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xc3a23d… |
| 06-16 19:37:50 | Bustling-Navigation 0x850c…3645 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfe5abf… |
| 06-16 19:37:50 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe5abf… |
| 06-16 06:07:16 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd41d30… |
| 06-16 06:07:16 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xd41d30… |
| 06-16 06:05:15 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa0a535… |
| 06-16 06:05:15 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa0a535… |
| 06-15 01:33:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x266230… |
| 06-15 01:33:37 | Curly-Calico 0xc7c2…a0ca | No | BUY | 29 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x266230… |
| 06-15 01:33:37 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 19 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x266230… |
| 06-13 03:13:16 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x96f0ab… |
| 06-13 03:13:16 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0x96f0ab… |
| 06-13 03:13:12 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x6eecd2… |
| 06-13 03:13:12 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x6eecd2… |
| 06-13 03:13:07 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x43ec39… |
| 06-13 03:13:07 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x43ec39… |
| 06-13 03:13:07 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x43ec39… |
| 06-13 03:13:04 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x2dfe02… |
| 06-13 03:13:04 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x2dfe02… |
| 06-13 03:13:03 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x4fcf73… |
| 06-13 03:13:03 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | SELL | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0x4fcf73… |
| 06-13 03:13:03 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x4fcf73… |
| 06-13 03:10:09 | Unknown-Sculpting 0xcbef…9ab0 | Yes | BUY | 218 | 2¢ | $4 | 0x535eb4… |
| 06-13 03:10:09 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x535eb4… |
| 06-13 03:10:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x535eb4… |
| 06-13 03:10:09 | Wiry-Museum 0x7cc7…4572 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x535eb4… |
| 06-12 15:58:39 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ccc1d… |
| 06-12 15:58:39 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7ccc1d… |
| 06-05 07:51:42 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb325b0… |
| 06-05 07:51:42 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb325b0… |
| 06-01 13:14:31 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe40e27… |
| 06-01 13:14:31 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe40e27… |