Curly-Calico — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

$73

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-17 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

44% 0% $-8

Other

30% 50% +$0

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		-44	$-43	98¢	$-44	$-0	06-14 12:46
Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No		+29	$29	98¢	$29	+$0	06-15 01:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$2.1K	1,113	1,113	+0	No	$-2	04-08 19:17
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	10	$1.3K	672	672	+0	open	—	03-10 15:13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$1.3K	640	640	+0	open	—	03-17 15:30
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$842	433	433	+0	No	$-0	03-09 03:19
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	8	$840	438	438	+0	open	—	03-17 21:10
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$825	422	422	+0	open	—	03-16 20:32
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	9	$814	428	428	+0	open	—	03-18 21:37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$807	416	416	+0	No	$-1	03-27 04:04
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$457	246	246	+0	open	—	03-04 11:13
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	2	$453	247	247	+0	open	—	03-06 13:16
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$449	234	234	+0	No	$-5	03-04 00:56
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$441	233	233	+0	open	—	03-04 03:02
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	6	$426	230	230	+0	open	—	03-07 04:25
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$424	225	225	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 22:26
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$421	218	218	+0	open	—	03-18 02:30
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$420	215	215	+0	open	—	03-23 09:26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$419	233	233	+0	open	—	03-07 21:37
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$418	216	216	+0	open	—	03-16 13:26
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$418	214	214	+0	open	—	03-22 10:37
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$417	215	215	+0	open	—	03-19 23:37
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$417	214	214	+0	open	—	03-20 13:27
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$416	218	218	+0	open	—	03-25 01:22
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$408	209	209	+0	open	—	03-12 09:03
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$402	215	215	+0	open	—	03-21 22:33
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	4	$401	206	206	+0	open	—	03-13 19:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$399	204	204	+0	open	—	03-20 07:38
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$386	224	224	+0	open	—	03-27 14:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$364	188	188	+0	open	—	03-29 02:05
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$358	184	184	+0	open	—	03-29 22:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$353	180	180	+0	open	—	03-30 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 18:35:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0xf8ffd3…
06-17 14:26:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xe864bb…
06-17 13:51:31	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x36bc49…
06-17 06:45:19	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xc80658…
06-16 15:06:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x52d8c9…
06-16 07:58:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x555c67…
06-15 01:33:37	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$29	0x266230…
06-15 00:59:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x54582f…
06-14 19:13:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x715153…
06-14 18:58:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xf13321…
06-14 12:46:15	Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	69	98¢	$68	0x00222a…
06-14 06:04:55	Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x492a1e…
06-14 05:40:42	Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x6be537…
06-13 14:43:06	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xb6f851…
06-13 10:35:34	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x049093…
06-12 17:16:16	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x512c18…
06-12 11:15:46	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x359053…
06-11 15:45:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xf19e5b…
06-11 10:41:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xd85598…
06-10 07:33:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9258bb…
06-10 01:28:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x87989a…
06-07 08:30:52	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xad8604…
06-07 01:24:07	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xa8e217…
06-07 00:52:04	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	57	92¢	$53	0x8f2348…
06-06 20:47:39	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0xf922df…
06-06 20:06:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xfd19d9…
06-06 12:01:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$52	0x8dae9a…
06-05 13:13:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	56	91¢	$51	0x3873a2…
06-05 05:10:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x2c93fe…
06-02 17:02:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$46	0x23e2ba…
06-02 10:54:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$46	0x7e2643…
05-21 17:12:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0x6a1870…
05-21 12:11:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	58	98¢	$57	0x2ef4d0…
05-21 11:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	89¢	$54	0x84f15d…
05-21 05:25:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	91¢	$55	0x91fc01…
05-21 04:51:39	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$50	0x32b0fc…
05-21 00:46:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xfefb2c…
05-21 00:14:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x84d108…
05-20 16:24:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x399033…
05-20 16:07:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x8cce07…
05-20 00:41:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x972ae2…
05-18 16:42:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	91¢	$58	0xce646f…
05-18 11:34:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x8f720a…
05-16 00:14:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x1095ec…
05-15 23:43:59	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x8221e7…
05-15 15:38:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0xd8afab…
04-24 17:08:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	177	98¢	$173	0x0dcf97…
04-24 10:05:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	178	97¢	$173	0x495b71…
04-22 17:46:52	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x8ef14d…
04-22 13:40:22	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xce860a…
04-22 11:43:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x251101…
04-14 04:30:15	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x02ef16…
04-13 21:31:41	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x99205c…
04-13 21:10:47	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb08c1c…
04-13 19:58:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0xfe57bc…
04-13 14:56:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0xa47f0b…
04-12 21:15:11	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	67	93¢	$62	0x5be548…
04-12 15:03:43	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	67	93¢	$62	0x233186…
04-12 07:20:27	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x1cbbf6…
04-12 03:18:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x6757a2…
04-11 01:13:37	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0x47e80b…
04-10 20:03:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0xbf8912…
04-10 11:20:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x06350f…
04-10 00:37:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0x34cb13…
04-09 03:06:23	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	64	97¢	$62	0xa732c9…
04-08 19:42:59	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x1b354e…
04-08 19:17:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xd6699b…
04-08 12:36:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x6cd1d2…
04-07 10:12:51	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0x4514cd…
04-01 04:45:59	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xd23db4…
03-30 12:26:50	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	180	99¢	$177	0x45a851…
03-30 07:29:10	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	180	98¢	$176	0xb4da77…
03-29 22:38:16	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	184	97¢	$179	0xbf91ff…
03-29 18:44:28	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x8422d7…
03-29 18:25:42	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	172	97¢	$168	0x410c19…
03-29 16:54:08	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	178	97¢	$173	0xc70f92…
03-29 10:26:02	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x1bf787…
03-29 10:26:00	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	167	97¢	$163	0xb47ce8…
03-29 02:05:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	188	97¢	$182	0x833e35…
03-28 17:36:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xf1af9c…
03-28 17:36:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xdc6141…
03-28 17:36:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x0a45f1…
03-28 17:35:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x7b68da…
03-28 17:35:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xf511af…
03-28 17:34:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x122135…
03-27 14:23:47	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	224	81¢	$182	0x06ca61…
03-27 06:04:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	184	91¢	$167	0x2bf9a7…
03-27 05:46:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0xc0b708…
03-27 04:04:29	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	207	96¢	$199	0x11b282…
03-26 21:58:15	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$9	0x27291a…
03-26 21:40:09	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0x99e58b…
03-26 21:34:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x2ea1f3…
03-26 21:25:53	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$38	0x22fd5e…
03-26 20:46:07	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x5fd731…
03-25 09:30:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	215	97¢	$208	0x745f58…
03-25 02:23:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	215	97¢	$208	0xa89874…
03-25 01:22:21	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	218	95¢	$208	0xb043d1…
03-24 19:06:29	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	218	95¢	$208	0x0e7ad5…
03-23 09:26:17	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	215	98¢	$210	0x5b48c5…
03-23 02:52:07	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0x893233…