Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$8,466
Trades
92
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,615
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-09 22:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $5.1K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $7.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $71 | $6.5K | $6.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $15 | $723 | $708 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $4 | $226 | $221 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $72 | $42 | +$30 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $9 | $5.1K | $5.1K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $14 | $1.0K | $994 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $21 | $25 | $5 |
| Below median | 12 | $6 | $243 | $237 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $189 | $185 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $59 | $950 | $891 |
| unranked | 3 | $50 | — | +$50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +5,165 | $5,101 | $5,101 | 10 | 05-29 04:34 |
| Awful-Alibi 0x9384…7984 | Yes | +2,872 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 05-29 03:37 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +905 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-09 21:01 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | +814 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 05-28 22:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x7d39…c505 | Yes | +725 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-09 20:16 |
| Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | +630 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-28 20:34 |
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +584 | $568 | $568 | 3 | 06-09 21:01 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +338 | $322 | $443 | 3 | 06-09 22:17 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | +330 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-29 02:05 |
| Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | +300 | $291 | $291 | 1 | 06-09 20:16 |
| All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | +255 | $232 | $232 | 1 | 06-09 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e0c…92c1 | Yes | +200 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-09 19:16 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +192 | $189 | $189 | 3 | 05-30 20:32 |
| Rare-Total 0x374a…c231 | Yes | +126 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-28 20:35 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | +112 | $0 | $5 | 4 | 06-01 13:14 |
| Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | +91 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-02 05:30 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +60 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-05 02:02 |
| Creepy-Grasp 0xbc66…eb09 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-09 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-09 22:17 |
| Truthful-Discharge 0x0e18…5bc8 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 20:34 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-02 06:12 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-05 02:07 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +5 | $-0 | $3 | 11 | 06-09 19:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:17:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0xd59197… |
| 06-09 22:17:09 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | BUY | 26 | 97¢ | $25 | 0xd59197… |
| 06-09 21:58:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x73f8ea… |
| 06-09 21:58:03 | Creepy-Grasp 0xbc66…eb09 | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0x73f8ea… |
| 06-09 21:01:00 | All-Calculator 0xaee8…1154 | No | BUY | 255 | 91¢ | $232 | 0x81399f… |
| 06-09 21:01:00 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 905 | 5¢ | $49 | 0x81399f… |
| 06-09 21:01:00 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 250 | 97¢ | $242 | 0x81399f… |
| 06-09 21:01:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 400 | 96¢ | $382 | 0x81399f… |
| 06-09 20:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x7d39…c505 | Yes | BUY | 725 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x436890… |
| 06-09 20:16:28 | Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c | No | BUY | 300 | 97¢ | $291 | 0x436890… |
| 06-09 20:16:28 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 84 | 97¢ | $82 | 0x436890… |
| 06-09 20:16:28 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 341 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x436890… |
| 06-09 19:16:25 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x9923a1… |
| 06-09 19:16:25 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9923a1… |
| 06-09 19:16:25 | (anonymous) 0x4e0c…92c1 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 2¢ | $5 | 0x9923a1… |
| 06-09 16:13:43 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8fca64… |
| 06-09 16:13:43 | Empty-Anise 0xbe11…2561 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x8fca64… |
| 06-09 10:12:51 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb15a82… |
| 06-09 10:12:51 | Prestigious-Centimeter 0xfe2b…ecfb | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xb15a82… |
| 06-09 08:12:37 | Empty-Anise 0xbe11…2561 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xfa1b90… |
| 06-09 08:12:37 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfa1b90… |
| 06-09 06:11:45 | Prestigious-Centimeter 0xfe2b…ecfb | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x36d7fb… |
| 06-09 06:11:45 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x36d7fb… |
| 06-05 10:08:34 | Used-Tanker 0xd461…b392 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xe6a20d… |
| 06-05 10:08:34 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe6a20d… |
| 06-05 09:09:16 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 26 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd935e7… |
| 06-05 09:09:16 | Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | SELL | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0xd935e7… |
| 06-05 09:09:16 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd935e7… |
| 06-05 04:02:03 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8475d0… |
| 06-05 04:02:03 | Used-Tanker 0xd461…b392 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x8475d0… |
| 06-05 02:07:30 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x70d030… |
| 06-05 02:07:30 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x70d030… |
| 06-05 02:02:42 | Loathsome-Refreshments 0xcd9e…9585 | No | BUY | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0xc4b1a1… |
| 06-05 02:02:42 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc4b1a1… |
| 06-05 02:02:42 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc4b1a1… |
| 06-05 01:15:19 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x353c9d… |
| 06-05 01:15:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x353c9d… |
| 06-05 01:15:19 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x353c9d… |
| 06-04 18:11:51 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff1fec… |
| 06-04 18:11:51 | Pleasing-Enemy 0xe028…aab7 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xff1fec… |
| 06-02 10:36:56 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcbf5ad… |
| 06-02 10:36:56 | Difficult-Hubris 0x50e0…ee9b | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xcbf5ad… |
| 06-02 07:14:03 | Parallel-Locket 0x040a…9f52 | No | SELL | 65 | 97¢ | $62 | 0x3da129… |
| 06-02 07:14:03 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 65 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x3da129… |
| 06-02 06:28:42 | Evil-Advertisement 0x335e…6bdf | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x164c33… |
| 06-02 06:28:42 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x164c33… |
| 06-02 06:12:20 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf44599… |
| 06-02 06:12:20 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf44599… |
| 06-02 05:30:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x79213b… |
| 06-02 05:30:55 | Watchful-Blight 0x6a40…599e | Yes | BUY | 91 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x79213b… |
| 06-02 04:32:07 | Difficult-Hubris 0x50e0…ee9b | No | BUY | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0xf5f0fd… |
| 06-02 04:32:07 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 17 | 98¢ | $17 | 0xf5f0fd… |
| 06-02 02:10:45 | Parallel-Locket 0x040a…9f52 | No | BUY | 65 | 98¢ | $63 | 0x8a6755… |
| 06-02 02:10:45 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 65 | 98¢ | $63 | 0x8a6755… |
| 06-02 01:25:40 | Evil-Advertisement 0x335e…6bdf | No | BUY | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xdc7fe3… |
| 06-02 01:25:40 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 60 | 98¢ | $58 | 0xdc7fe3… |
| 06-01 13:14:15 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x45a63f… |
| 06-01 13:14:15 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x45a63f… |
| 05-30 20:32:58 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 109 | 98¢ | $106 | 0xc2e346… |
| 05-30 20:32:58 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 109 | 98¢ | $106 | 0xc2e346… |
| 05-29 21:26:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe3c48e… |
| 05-29 21:26:56 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xe3c48e… |
| 05-29 04:34:34 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 799 | 2¢ | $14 | 0xb6ec27… |
| 05-29 04:34:34 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | SELL | 250 | 98¢ | $246 | 0xb6ec27… |
| 05-29 04:34:34 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1,069 | 98¢ | $1,050 | 0xb6ec27… |
| 05-29 04:34:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb6ec27… |
| 05-29 03:37:12 | Awful-Alibi 0x9384…7984 | Yes | BUY | 2,511 | 2¢ | $40 | 0xfad8ca… |
| 05-29 03:37:12 | Muddy-Deployment 0x40a7…ecb7 | No | BUY | 500 | 97¢ | $485 | 0xfad8ca… |
| 05-29 03:37:12 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 250 | 98¢ | $244 | 0xfad8ca… |
| 05-29 03:37:12 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | SELL | 82 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xfad8ca… |
| 05-29 03:37:12 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1,679 | 99¢ | $1,662 | 0xfad8ca… |
| 05-29 03:16:40 | Awful-Alibi 0x9384…7984 | Yes | BUY | 361 | 1¢ | $4 | 0xc92408… |
| 05-29 03:16:40 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 361 | 99¢ | $357 | 0xc92408… |
| 05-29 02:05:21 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 130 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf7c5bc… |
| 05-29 02:05:21 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 130 | 99¢ | $129 | 0xf7c5bc… |
| 05-29 00:50:02 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xddd3a8… |
| 05-29 00:50:02 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xddd3a8… |
| 05-28 22:12:41 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 64 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xddd010… |
| 05-28 22:12:41 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 64 | 99¢ | $63 | 0xddd010… |
| 05-28 20:35:14 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xda10c2… |
| 05-28 20:35:14 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $247 | 0xda10c2… |
| 05-28 20:35:00 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 126 | 98¢ | $123 | 0xe84498… |
| 05-28 20:35:00 | Rare-Total 0x374a…c231 | Yes | BUY | 126 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xe84498… |
| 05-28 20:34:50 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 1,000 | 99¢ | $989 | 0xc991b0… |
| 05-28 20:34:50 | Truthful-Discharge 0x0e18…5bc8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc991b0… |
| 05-28 20:34:50 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xc991b0… |
| 05-28 20:34:50 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc991b0… |
| 05-28 20:34:50 | Lonely-Bog 0xe542…0a37 | Yes | BUY | 630 | 1¢ | $6 | 0xc991b0… |
| 05-28 20:34:24 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | Yes | BUY | 250 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x7ed9c8… |
| 05-28 20:34:24 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 250 | 99¢ | $247 | 0x7ed9c8… |
| 05-28 20:34:17 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd5f459… |
| 05-28 20:34:17 | Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd5f459… |