Hard-Pharmacopoeia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$133.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$591

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 09-23 16:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

46% 80% +$59

Politics

26% 95% +$27

Sports

20% 82% +$2,208

Crypto

9% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 13 2026	21	$12.2K	8,174	4,087	+4,087	Down	+$8	03-13 22:32
will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026	2	$8.4K	4,184	4,184	+0	No	+$4	02-26 13:21
will bulgaria record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 214	2	$8.3K	4,141	4,141	+0	Yes	+$0	02-17 08:37
will the dhs shutdown end between february 20 23 2026	7	$8.3K	4,137	4,137	+0	No	$0	02-23 21:31
will giannis antetokounmpo win the 2026 nba all star game mvp 711	6	$7.4K	3,710	3,710	+0	No	+$4	02-15 21:27
will tsla dip to 293 in february	2	$6.9K	3,448	3,448	+0	No	+$0	02-28 01:07
Prince Andrew released by February 19?	7	$4.7K	2,365	2,365	+0	Yes	+$1	02-19 22:05
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 80 99	2	$4.5K	3,797	704	+3,093	No	+$3	02-28 08:11
ucl int2 bog1 2026 02 24 int2	5	$4.4K	2,209	2,209	+0	No	+$18	02-24 21:49
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$4.1K	4,151	0	+4,151	No	+$4	02-24 04:57
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	1	$4.1K	4,079	0	+4,079	No	+$4	03-11 17:44
donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	1	$4.1K	4,075	0	+4,075	No	+$4	03-10 22:25
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 120 139	2	$4.1K	4,071	0	+4,071	No	+$4	03-07 20:52
fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	1	$4.1K	4,066	0	+4,066	No	+$4	03-06 21:37
will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	1	$4.1K	4,062	0	+4,062	No	+$4	03-03 22:42
will trump say 250 at fort bragg on friday	7	$3.9K	3,931	0	+3,931	No	+$8	02-14 00:18
ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	3	$3.9K	3,882	0	+3,882	No	+$4	03-17 21:29
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 eve	3	$3.2K	3,204	0	+3,204	No	+$4	02-23 21:50
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens team sprint free canada	8	$2.8K	1,423	1,423	+0	No	$0	02-18 11:34
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$2.6K	2,602	0	+2,602	No	+$3	02-28 17:44
will there be less than 8 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	02-23 21:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	6	$1.9K	1,986	986	+1,000	No	-$11	05-26 00:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$1.9K	983	983	+0	Yes	+$5	03-01 00:12
nba mil okc 2026 02 12 spread home 12pt5	7	$1.9K	3,900	0	+3,900	Bucks	+$2,028	02-12 11:50
will jordan stolz record the most gold medals at the 2026 winter olympics	9	$1.6K	792	792	+0	No	+$0	02-19 21:09
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 140 159	1	$1.3K	1,341	0	+1,341	No	+$1	02-17 16:59
will metodj jlek record the most gold medals at the 2026 winter olympics	9	$1.1K	563	563	+0	No	+$0	02-19 21:17
elc swa pne 2026 02 24 swa	2	$999	500	500	+0	No	+$0	02-24 21:52
elc wre por 2026 02 24 por	3	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$3	02-24 21:53
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	6	$993	1,735	0	+1,735	No	+$7	02-28 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 16:08:40	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	SELL	304	100¢	$303	0xb555c2…
09-21 22:06:18	Will Solana dip to $30 in September?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0x7ec09f…
09-01 20:33:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x084902…
08-21 22:34:00	will bitcoin dip to 42pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x502bcb…
08-14 03:18:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	305	100¢	$305	0xda181b…
08-14 01:18:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	305	100¢	$305	0x9cffa5…
07-28 17:55:37	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x434fc5…
07-24 18:52:10	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x017145…
07-15 18:12:38	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x08014f…
07-05 04:40:38	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x35ecf7…
07-05 04:40:23	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x05463a…
07-05 04:40:14	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$65	0xa19a94…
07-05 04:39:56	Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x3c21e2…
07-03 22:27:46	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$292	0x107869…
06-30 00:58:56	Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0x7248f9…
06-25 22:39:31	Will New Zealand reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$291	0xda0664…
06-08 23:28:42	will trump say game during tele rally 20260608165428976	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x412252…
06-06 09:22:01	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,000	1¢	$104	0x7574ed…
06-06 07:41:09	will harrison barnes score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200583	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x27e809…
06-06 07:40:51	will carter bryant score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200584	No	BUY	56	99¢	$56	0x09a66b…
06-06 07:40:13	will mitchell robinson score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200589	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x4c6cde…
06-06 07:40:03	will jordan clarkson score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200590	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9f36ee…
06-06 07:30:27	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,000	2¢	$57	0x24bc18…
05-26 01:52:18	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xfe2b8f…
05-26 01:41:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x59ca7f…
05-26 01:36:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	65	89¢	$58	0xf93893…
05-26 00:43:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$11	0x7f938e…
05-26 00:30:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	286	97¢	$278	0x8cfb45…
05-26 00:29:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xb464f3…
05-26 00:29:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x46a33d…
05-26 00:28:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	500	97¢	$486	0xfb3f3f…
05-26 00:26:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	986	97¢	$958	0x8f8a8a…
05-26 00:19:11	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	BUY	175	0¢	$0	0xd7cce4…
05-26 00:13:26	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0xddfe12…
05-26 00:11:23	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc016af…
05-26 00:11:22	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	BUY	295	0¢	$0	0x380d26…
05-26 00:03:13	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Shopify Rebellion Black	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x8f060a…
05-26 00:02:17	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	BUY	305	0¢	$0	0x4c32b6…
05-26 00:01:34	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Team Evictix (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage	Team Evictix	BUY	195	0¢	$0	0xb8af16…
05-11 23:35:17	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x3141d9…
04-25 00:14:22	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf6edbb…
04-19 22:15:04	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 80 99	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x395c7b…
04-19 22:14:48	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6e42ee…
04-04 21:43:41	white house of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 60 79	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x3772f4…
03-26 17:29:23	will trump say biden or obama 10 times during cabinet meeting on march 26	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xa4f924…
03-24 21:17:47	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 0 19	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x82b984…
03-23 20:52:59	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xd0d859…
03-23 20:51:41	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfa9111…
03-23 20:51:29	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x67c644…
03-23 20:21:25	will trump say thousand or hundred 25 times during memphis roundtable	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x540ca1…
03-17 21:29:03	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	No	BUY	2,827	100¢	$2,824	0x4a93bd…
03-17 21:29:01	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	No	BUY	56	100¢	$55	0xe19085…
03-17 21:28:43	ucl cfc1 psg1 2026 03 17 cfc1	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xc8bfed…
03-17 20:47:21	Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5d3845…
03-17 20:45:11	Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf643ef…
03-13 22:32:33	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	338	100¢	$338	0x10b03e…
03-13 22:21:43	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xb5792b…
03-13 22:19:45	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b2a58…
03-13 22:08:23	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x2b604a…
03-13 22:03:15	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	1,032	100¢	$1,031	0xf03914…
03-13 22:01:27	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	350	100¢	$350	0x477964…
03-13 21:49:59	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	319	100¢	$319	0x64dad0…
03-13 21:48:51	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,098	0xd60980…
03-13 21:14:41	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	55	100¢	$54	0xe706d9…
03-13 21:07:07	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf157f7…
03-13 21:02:31	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x41450e…
03-13 20:59:53	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x74a674…
03-13 20:56:11	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xc6af92…
03-13 20:54:15	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2842a…
03-13 20:36:27	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8b15a…
03-13 20:35:23	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x952c02…
03-13 20:29:35	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xaf4359…
03-13 20:20:03	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x30777a…
03-13 20:19:47	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x9112e6…
03-13 19:58:13	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	4,087	100¢	$4,083	0x343a45…
03-13 19:53:35	spx up or down on march 13 2026	Down	BUY	4,087	100¢	$4,079	0x838c32…
03-11 17:44:51	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 20 39	No	BUY	4,079	100¢	$4,075	0x941d88…
03-10 22:25:33	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 0 19	No	BUY	4,075	100¢	$4,071	0x141454…
03-07 20:52:31	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	3,691	100¢	$3,687	0x068b13…
03-07 20:03:15	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	380	100¢	$380	0xdad282…
03-06 21:37:59	fl1 psg asm 2026 03 06 psg	No	BUY	4,066	100¢	$4,062	0xd93b10…
03-03 22:42:05	will the dhs shutdown end between february 28 march 3 2026	No	BUY	4,062	100¢	$4,058	0x4213f9…
03-01 00:18:57	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x780296…
03-01 00:16:43	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x4afa02…
03-01 00:16:33	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x79b690…
03-01 00:16:31	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xe463b2…
03-01 00:12:29	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x3bc8b0…
03-01 00:12:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x79b859…
03-01 00:12:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	526	98¢	$516	0xb86524…
03-01 00:12:05	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	341	98¢	$335	0xd134dd…
02-28 22:27:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	583	98¢	$569	0xaef16f…
02-28 22:27:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0x194413…
02-28 22:26:57	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0xcd31f9…
02-28 22:26:31	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x506491…
02-28 18:41:33	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	640	14¢	$90	0xc0b41d…
02-28 18:41:29	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb47f4a…
02-28 18:39:31	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xc7a2b1…
02-28 18:39:05	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x5fc3e3…
02-28 18:38:23	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x75b976…
02-28 18:30:51	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x3d4289…