Realized P&L
-$52.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.88K
Hit rate
59.3%
Resolved
289
Trades
17,891
lifetime
Volume
$3.63M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$203
Open exposure
$104.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 09:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
59% 55% -$23,087
Politics
35% 64% +$7,422
Crypto
6% 20% -$36,074
Sports
0% 0% -$264
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1036 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +18,747 $17,769 97¢ $18.1K +$368 10-24 19:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -119,849 -$9,948 9¢ $-11326 -$1,378 10-29 17:52
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -52,094 -$11,553 18¢ $-9611 +$1,942 10-22 19:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -53,769 -$4,551 16¢ $-8415 -$3,864 10-21 16:46
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +31,118 $7,705 26¢ $8.1K +$385 10-30 04:19
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? Yes +16,229 $4,676 44¢ $7.1K +$2,384 10-30 02:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,555 $6,368 98¢ $6.4K +$65 10-28 04:47
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -211,880 -$1,614 2¢ $-5297 -$3,683 10-29 08:54
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +6,227 $4,344 70¢ $4.3K -$16 10-30 05:30
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes -4,047 -$4,053 96¢ $-3899 +$154 10-27 22:39
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +4,522 $3,637 82¢ $3.7K +$49 10-30 03:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +13,720 $1,888 24¢ $3.4K +$1,473 10-30 07:02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,555 $414 28¢ $1.8K +$1,389 10-30 00:15
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +12,481 $3,141 14¢ $1.7K -$1,456 10-29 13:43
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +2,365 $1,638 70¢ $1.6K +$5 10-30 05:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +1,842 $1,099 70¢ $1.3K +$200 10-28 20:42
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +4,481 $1,231 29¢ $1.3K +$46 10-30 10:40
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +779,857 $2,040 0¢ $1.2K -$870 09-16 23:56
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? No +1,169 $1,078 90¢ $1.1K -$20 10-30 08:01
Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? No +764 $721 98¢ $747 +$26 10-26 12:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +805 $395 92¢ $737 +$342 10-24 08:20
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +2,611 $298 26¢ $692 +$394 10-30 02:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? No +1,842 $599 30¢ $544 -$56 10-26 22:39
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +14,700 $617 4¢ $537 -$81 10-24 19:04
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -71,726 -$873 1¢ $-394 +$478 05-08 17:41
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +441 $386 87¢ $384 -$2 10-24 23:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +56,772 $440 1¢ $312 -$128 10-30 10:01
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +4,052 $1,797 7¢ $290 -$1,507 10-04 23:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +78,047 $266 0¢ $273 +$7 10-30 07:24
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -99,868 -$1,627 0¢ $-150 +$1,477 10-30 10:30