Realized P&L
-$2.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.95K
Hit rate
48.1%
Resolved
583
Trades
7,071
lifetime
Volume
$320.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$57.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-11
last 10-26 23:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
66% 69% -$1,090
Other
30% 66% -$1,020
Tech
3% 66% -$69
Sports
1% 62% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$49
Crypto
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 326 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +7,971 $5,897 65¢ $5.2K -$732 10-26 17:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +6,095 $4,842 84¢ $5.1K +$247 10-26 18:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +4,116 $2,408 94¢ $3.8K +$1,440 10-15 12:30
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,594 $3,110 55¢ $3.0K -$61 10-25 22:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,050 $1,952 91¢ $2.8K +$821 10-20 15:44
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +4,029 $3,104 68¢ $2.8K -$344 10-26 07:17
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,055 $2,695 45¢ $2.7K +$33 10-26 13:35
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +3,615 $2,781 72¢ $2.6K -$178 10-26 23:51
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +7,094 $1,943 35¢ $2.5K +$540 10-26 23:38
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +2,470 $1,751 98¢ $2.4K +$669 10-26 15:33
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +2,754 $2,065 74¢ $2.1K -$13 09-24 00:53
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +1,922 $1,536 97¢ $1.9K +$337 10-13 22:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,679 $1,871 68¢ $1.8K -$36 10-26 10:22
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +1,552 $1,196 98¢ $1.5K +$331 10-06 17:11
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,588 $1,127 96¢ $1.5K +$397 10-26 23:25
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,400 $1,443 60¢ $1.5K +$9 10-26 20:53
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,018 $1,220 64¢ $1.3K +$81 10-26 20:53
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,883 $1,295 69¢ $1.3K +$5 10-26 10:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +3,502 $794 32¢ $1.1K +$333 10-26 02:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +3,602 $850 30¢ $1.1K +$230 10-26 23:51
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5,444 $1,452 18¢ $1.0K -$445 10-26 18:44
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +1,254 $967 80¢ $1.0K +$37 09-24 18:41
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +1,483 $810 65¢ $964 +$154 10-26 08:51
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +1,076 $942 86¢ $931 -$11 10-13 22:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +1,072 $773 82¢ $884 +$112 10-21 23:28
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes +982 $844 89¢ $871 +$27 10-26 05:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +2,185 $895 40¢ $863 -$32 10-26 20:56
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +2,679 $807 32¢ $844 +$37 10-26 10:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,103 $868 76¢ $838 -$30 10-10 11:36
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +931 $842 90¢ $833 -$8 10-26 20:50