Free-Element 0x648fde…6d4b36
bot 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$271
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
83.3%
Resolved
2,311
Trades
10,761
lifetime
Volume
$96.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$2.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-27 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
80% 91% -$7
Politics
14% 91% +$48
Sports
4% 20% -$190
Crypto
2% 28% -$122
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +271 $263 98¢ $266 +$4 10-26 13:33
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +248 $236 97¢ $240 +$3 10-24 19:40
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +132 $126 97¢ $128 +$2 10-24 07:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +116 $114 100¢ $116 +$2 10-25 18:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +122 $117 91¢ $112 -$5 10-21 13:37
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +113 $107 97¢ $109 +$2 10-05 00:00
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +109 $104 95¢ $104 $0 10-25 14:29
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +94 $92 100¢ $94 +$2 10-23 12:19
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +97 $91 94¢ $91 +$0 10-25 05:43
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +91 $89 99¢ $91 +$2 10-24 19:04
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +90 $89 99¢ $89 +$0 10-26 22:20
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +83 $81 99¢ $82 +$1 10-19 13:40
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +84 $81 97¢ $82 +$0 10-24 01:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +78 $73 94¢ $73 +$0 10-26 23:59
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +67 $64 96¢ $64 +$0 10-26 01:34
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +62 $58 99¢ $62 +$3 10-27 02:59
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +55 $54 100¢ $55 +$1 10-01 07:35
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +51 $48 98¢ $50 +$2 10-21 09:52
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +50 $48 98¢ $49 +$1 10-24 10:28
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 10-25 04:48
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +48 $47 98¢ $47 +$1 10-19 13:27
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +41 $39 97¢ $40 +$1 10-20 17:36
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? No +42 $40 95¢ $40 $0 10-23 02:41
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes -41 -$39 97¢ $-40 $0 10-21 06:01
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +42 $40 94¢ $40 $0 10-23 03:30
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +40 $38 94¢ $38 -$1 10-25 22:01
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +36 $34 90¢ $32 -$2 10-25 12:06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +31 $30 99¢ $31 +$1 10-25 18:04
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +27 $26 100¢ $27 +$2 10-25 16:39
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes -25 -$24 98¢ $-25 $0 10-17 01:01