Free-Element 0x648fde…6d4b36 Create alert
whale bot 19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$44
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
95.5%
Resolved (7d)
286
Trades (7d)
1,006
13,410 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$11.5K
$127.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.96K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 11-10 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
77% 92% -$18
Politics
18% 92% +$90
Sports
3% 20% -$190
Crypto
2% 28% -$122
Tech
0% 67% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 296 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +271 $263 95¢ $259 -$4 10-26 13:33
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +128 $121 100¢ $127 +$6 11-07 03:35
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +113 $107 99¢ $111 +$4 10-05 00:00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? No +115 $109 94¢ $109 -$1 11-02 22:51
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +104 $101 98¢ $102 +$1 11-07 22:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? No +102 $96 100¢ $102 +$6 11-04 00:59
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? No +98 $95 99¢ $97 +$2 11-10 10:18
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +94 $92 100¢ $94 +$2 10-23 12:19
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +87 $84 99¢ $87 +$3 11-07 12:43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? No — +82 $80 99¢ $81 +$1 11-01 19:33
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +81 $80 99¢ $81 +$1 10-04 19:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +61 $2 95¢ $58 +$56 11-03 20:50
Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +48 $47 98¢ $48 +$1 10-19 13:27
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? No +44 $40 99¢ $43 +$3 10-08 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 10? No +42 $40 100¢ $42 +$2 11-10 00:57
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 825,000 and 900,000? Yes -44 -$5 94¢ $-41 -$36 10-08 17:41
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? No +41 $39 99¢ $41 +$1 11-10 16:52
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 1.6% and 2.4%? No +41 $40 98¢ $41 +$1 11-09 10:15
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +41 $40 100¢ $40 +$1 10-01 19:30
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 +$0 11-07 01:11
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? No +41 $40 98¢ $40 $0 11-07 21:52
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? Yes -41 -$38 96¢ $-40 -$2 11-10 00:17
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +42 $40 95¢ $40 $0 10-27 16:16
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +40 $38 99¢ $39 +$1 10-22 20:12
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +36 $34 91¢ $33 -$2 10-25 12:06
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? No +29 $28 97¢ $28 +$0 11-04 15:34
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? No +28 $26 98¢ $27 +$1 11-08 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 10? No +26 $24 100¢ $26 +$2 11-09 22:19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 10? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 11-10 03:04
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + NZF? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$0 11-07 14:02