Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$183

Unrealized P&L

+$98

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

5,679

Trades

14,572

lifetime

Volume

$44.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$1.16K

30 positions

First seen

2026-08-15

last 10-28 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

88% 59% +$166

Politics

10% 75% +$8

Tech

1% 72% +$9

Crypto

0% 77% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 80% +$0

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 2058 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+135	$134	100¢	$135	+$0	10-27 15:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+135	$132	100¢	$134	+$2	10-27 15:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+134	$132	98¢	$131	-$1	10-27 15:09
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No		+110	$80	99¢	$109	+$29	10-19 21:17
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+135	$95	80¢	$109	+$14	10-27 15:09
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?	No		+99	$63	98¢	$98	+$35	10-26 11:10
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No		+41	$41	100¢	$41	+$0	10-25 04:14
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No		+36	$33	100¢	$36	+$3	10-16 04:21
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No		+32	$32	100¢	$32	+$0	10-16 04:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No		+135	$45	22¢	$30	-$14	10-27 15:09
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No		+36	$22	80¢	$29	+$7	10-16 04:21
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No		+29	$13	88¢	$25	+$12	10-28 00:16
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No		+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	08-25 07:48
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+17	$17	100¢	$17	+$0	09-18 06:01
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No		+17	$15	100¢	$17	+$2	09-18 06:01
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	—	+30	$8	52¢	$15	+$7	10-27 12:43
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$15	100¢	$15	+$0	08-24 11:17
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$15	99¢	$15	$0	08-24 11:17
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No		+16	$15	91¢	$15	+$0	08-19 01:47
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$15	97¢	$14	$0	08-24 11:17
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No		+20	$12	70¢	$14	+$2	08-26 17:11
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	No		+25	$15	56¢	$14	-$1	08-26 12:10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No		+25	$10	50¢	$12	+$2	08-25 13:28
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	09-02 12:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	$0	09-02 12:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	09-02 12:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$12	99¢	$12	+$0	09-02 12:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$12	99¢	$12	$0	09-02 12:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No		+12	$11	99¢	$12	+$0	09-02 12:11
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+15	$14	77¢	$11	-$2	08-24 11:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:31:41	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2dd285…
10-28 09:16:02	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb2ba49…
10-28 09:16:01	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcd23cf…
10-28 08:52:52	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x8895ae…
10-28 08:52:50	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xab4791…
10-28 08:13:41	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x863d6c…
10-28 08:13:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xc71f6c…
10-28 07:39:11	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x81c623…
10-28 07:39:10	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xadcd68…
10-28 06:07:04	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x75eceb…
10-28 06:05:52	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa848a0…
10-28 06:05:52	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x39e7ea…
10-28 06:05:52	Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.5 and 2.9% in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b515b…
10-28 06:02:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb67aa9…
10-28 05:43:07	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xc9c776…
10-28 05:43:07	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x59fed1…
10-28 05:43:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe5dc1b…
10-28 05:43:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.25-3.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xcb0470…
10-28 05:30:55	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x6164c5…
10-28 05:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7b986c…
10-28 04:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x890217…
10-28 03:55:32	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8dcf51…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4ff36…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd13dc9…
10-28 02:54:32	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8d8b40…
10-28 02:54:30	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x44cf1d…
10-28 02:44:50	Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xa30fcd…
10-28 02:44:45	Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x915ab7…
10-28 02:44:44	Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2e5684…
10-28 02:06:51	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffe977…
10-28 02:06:51	Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd34992…
10-28 02:06:51	Will Shas win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x429a99…
10-28 02:02:21	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaa75d3…
10-28 00:16:23	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf1e90e…
10-28 00:16:23	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd54c03…
10-28 00:16:23	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x56e98b…
10-28 00:16:23	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x474e4c…
10-28 00:15:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc968a4…
10-28 00:15:47	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x33e266…
10-28 00:15:45	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbb4050…
10-28 00:15:45	No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x761b4b…
10-27 22:57:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x91a449…
10-27 22:34:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x902b18…
10-27 21:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x98a2b0…
10-27 21:36:47	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x9f4dad…
10-27 21:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xeef66f…
10-27 20:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 27?	No	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x191a7f…
10-27 20:00:53	Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf4a850…
10-27 20:00:53	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd7ffb9…
10-27 20:00:51	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8fb6f1…
10-27 20:00:51	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4a16d0…
10-27 20:00:51	Will Dems win 12-13 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x18078b…
10-27 19:56:42	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xff7f08…
10-27 19:56:42	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7a6018…
10-27 19:56:41	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2c60d…
10-27 19:56:41	Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x10759c…
10-27 19:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xae2c99…
10-27 19:08:45	Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe9f9a9…
10-27 19:08:45	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc7b448…
10-27 19:08:45	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa6f0cd…
10-27 19:08:45	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6aa953…
10-27 19:08:45	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x448e52…
10-27 19:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3f10c2…
10-27 18:45:08	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 18-20%?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x44e17c…
10-27 18:45:06	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf5b3e5…
10-27 18:45:06	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7e54cb…
10-27 18:45:05	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ee6bb…
10-27 18:45:05	Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x516275…
10-27 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd94667…
10-27 16:57:15	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 28?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0xb6bf3a…
10-27 16:11:23	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 28?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ba07f…
10-27 15:48:02	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e31fa…
10-27 15:48:02	Will the Ornn A100 Index be less than $0.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x615c0c…
10-27 15:48:02	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53824e…
10-27 15:48:00	Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee1455…
10-27 15:48:00	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa1d4d1…
10-27 15:48:00	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x12dfb4…
10-27 15:46:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6926d5…
10-27 15:39:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xcfa481…
10-27 15:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf257a…
10-27 15:09:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9288c4…
10-27 15:09:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x7e6c6b…
10-27 15:09:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66b9f6…
10-27 15:09:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x281c8e…
10-27 15:09:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf8a4b2…
10-27 15:09:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xdb886b…
10-27 15:09:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc1e050…
10-27 15:09:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$3	0x49f0d9…
10-27 15:09:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x1c4d0e…
10-27 15:01:51	Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa98246…
10-27 15:01:51	Will voter turnout be between 72% and 74% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7da7df…
10-27 15:01:51	Will voter turnout be less than 66% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a8ceb…
10-27 15:01:51	Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x549990…
10-27 14:53:15	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x0bc785…
10-27 14:32:12	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xf9e176…
10-27 14:11:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9c0112…
10-27 14:05:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 27?	No	BUY	16	2¢	$0	0x0d1b1f…
10-27 13:19:08	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf693fa…
10-27 13:19:08	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2a810…
10-27 13:19:08	Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47db55…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	194	$960	958	5	+953	No	+$3	08-25 00:10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	192	$938	953	0	+953	No	+$15	08-25 00:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	35	$173	174	0	+174	No	+$1	09-16 11:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	35	$173	174	0	+174	No	+$1	09-16 11:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	29	$134	135	0	+135	open	—	10-27 15:09
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	27	$134	134	0	+134	No	+$0	09-11 12:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	29	$132	135	0	+135	open	—	10-27 15:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	29	$132	134	0	+134	open	—	10-27 15:09
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	24	$116	112	5	+107	No	+$1	10-22 02:33
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	37	$109	179	0	+179	No	+$70	09-16 11:19
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?	22	$107	110	0	+110	No	+$3	09-17 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 19?	21	$99	99	0	+99	No	+$1	08-19 06:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	11	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	08-24 01:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	29	$95	135	0	+135	open	—	10-27 15:09
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	10	$94	95	0	+95	No	+$1	08-24 01:58
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	24	$92	119	0	+119	No	+$28	08-25 23:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 24?	20	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$0	08-24 17:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$85	85	0	+85	No	+$0	09-16 16:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$84	85	0	+85	No	+$1	09-16 16:24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	17	$84	85	0	+85	No	+$1	09-16 16:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 24?	19	$83	87	0	+87	No	+$3	08-24 17:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 25?	17	$82	84	0	+84	No	+$2	08-25 06:03
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	23	$82	107	0	+107	No	+$26	10-21 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 17?	17	$81	84	0	+84	No	+$3	08-17 15:51
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	22	$80	110	0	+110	open	—	10-19 21:17
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?	16	$80	75	5	+70	open	—	10-22 02:34
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	16	$78	80	0	+80	No	+$2	09-01 01:09
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	16	$76	76	0	+76	No	+$0	09-11 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 24?	16	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$1	08-24 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?	22	$72	99	0	+99	No	+$27	08-19 06:27