(anonymous) 0xa499aa…ee2a2b
bot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$142
Unrealized P&L
+$587
Hit rate
53.7%
Resolved
642
Trades
18,447
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$4.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-22
last 10-29 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
87% 15% -$111
Politics
8% 17% $0
Sports
2% 0% -$24
Tech
2% 0% -$4
Crypto
1% 9% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 2038 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +625 $523 99¢ $616 +$93 10-28 18:03
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +570 $478 98¢ $561 +$83 10-26 00:39
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +650 $269 86¢ $556 +$287 10-28 19:48
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? Yes +575 $379 87¢ $501 +$122 10-25 10:30
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +505 $412 88¢ $442 +$30 10-08 16:50
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +565 $399 75¢ $424 +$24 10-29 15:20
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +205 $56 98¢ $202 +$146 10-25 18:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +405 $222 44¢ $180 -$42 10-25 08:25
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? Yes +405 $82 31¢ $126 +$43 10-25 08:25
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +565 $107 16¢ $88 -$20 10-29 15:20
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%? Yes +90 $37 96¢ $86 +$49 10-25 23:56
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +135 $51 63¢ $85 +$34 10-27 12:57
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +650 $367 13¢ $84 -$283 10-28 19:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +90 $71 74¢ $66 -$5 10-28 20:55
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +125 $74 47¢ $59 -$15 10-10 14:56
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +85 $55 66¢ $57 +$1 10-26 01:23
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +140 $55 39¢ $54 -$1 10-28 20:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +405 $33 12¢ $50 +$17 10-25 08:25
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +125 $25 36¢ $45 +$20 10-10 14:56
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +60 $47 74¢ $44 -$2 10-16 18:02
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +60 $38 62¢ $37 $0 10-29 15:20
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +45 $23 75¢ $34 +$11 10-05 20:51
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +140 $37 23¢ $32 -$5 10-28 20:28
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +565 $42 6¢ $31 -$11 10-29 15:20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +135 $32 18¢ $24 -$8 10-27 12:57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +85 $21 26¢ $23 +$1 10-26 01:23
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +60 $13 37¢ $22 +$9 10-02 06:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +90 $15 24¢ $21 +$6 10-28 20:55
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +40 $18 51¢ $20 +$2 10-21 15:05
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +60 $18 29¢ $17 -$1 10-29 15:20