Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$440

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

12.0%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$632

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-26 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

46% 0% -$290

Other

41% 6% -$109

Crypto

11% 16% -$30

Sports

1% 0% -$5

Tech

1% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+5,000	$13	0¢	$5	-$8	10-26 21:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+1,250	$5	0¢	$4	-$1	10-26 21:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$100	1,158	0	+1,158	Yes	-$100	02-28 19:53
iran strike on israel by december 31	1	$50	1,548	0	+1,548	Yes	-$50	02-28 16:30
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$41	3,322	0	+3,322	No	-$41	03-01 06:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$39	9,200	4,200	+5,000	open	—	10-26 21:57
will donald trump be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	1	$30	1,037	0	+1,037	No	-$30	03-02 02:54
highest temperature in hong kong on march 13 2026 15corbelow	2	$27	3,000	3,000	+0	Yes	+$21	03-12 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:00 UTC	2	$26	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	03-18 02:01
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$18	8,333	3,333	+5,000	open	—	10-26 21:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$13	250	250	+0	No	+$3	03-24 14:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$12	6,655	0	+6,655	Yes	-$12	03-25 10:24
highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 76 77f	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	03-18 02:03
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	1	$10	1,027	0	+1,027	No	-$10	02-28 03:25
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	7,500	0	+7,500	No	-$10	03-18 01:52
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	2	$10	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$10	03-02 02:07
will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	1	$10	588	0	+588	Yes	-$10	03-01 06:33
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	2	$10	2,902	0	+2,902	Yes	-$10	03-02 02:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$10	03-18 01:52
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	7,500	0	+7,500	No	-$10	03-18 01:52
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$9	245	245	+0	No	-$2	03-26 12:31
will trump attend ufc 327	2	$8	12	12	+0	Yes	-$4	03-24 14:37
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$8	1,394	0	+1,394	Yes	-$8	03-18 01:52
nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	3	$7	327	327	+0	Yes	-$5	03-26 12:32
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	455	455	+0	No	-$3	03-26 12:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$7	135	135	+0	No	-$3	03-26 12:32
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	1	$6	479	0	+479	No	-$6	09-29 19:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$6	5,500	0	+5,500	Yes	-$6	03-02 02:24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	2	$6	405	405	+0	No	-$2	03-25 10:24
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	1	$5	1,081	0	+1,081	No	-$5	09-29 19:34
highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 78 79f	1	$5	241	0	+241	No	-$5	03-18 02:03
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	1	$5	1,313	0	+1,313	Yes	-$5	03-02 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:12:03	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7c612e…
10-26 22:12:02	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xea746a…
10-26 22:11:57	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x15b873…
10-26 22:11:54	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae3a84…
10-26 22:11:51	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2d05cd…
10-26 22:11:50	Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bf1be…
10-26 22:11:47	Will Gavi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3c20db…
10-26 22:10:59	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,186	0¢	$5	0xb69b94…
10-26 22:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x41a878…
10-26 21:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0261d1…
10-26 21:57:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0x620d57…
10-26 21:57:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x36424f…
10-26 21:57:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x115f2b…
10-18 09:14:41	Nothing Ever Happens: October	Something	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x96ecb1…
10-18 09:06:57	Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xef9ec6…
10-18 08:59:35	Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley	Fabio Wardley	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e50fc…
10-18 08:58:35	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x594753…
10-18 01:23:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	221	0¢	$1	0x0ff88c…
10-18 01:23:05	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	197	1¢	$1	0xc44a81…
10-18 01:23:00	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1b5f84…
10-18 01:22:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x39c4a6…
10-18 01:18:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x75ea72…
10-18 01:13:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x91452b…
10-18 01:08:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdaa2f0…
10-18 01:07:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,333	0¢	$3	0x31713f…
10-18 01:07:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,100	0¢	$6	0xac721d…
10-17 03:36:27	will bitcoin dip to 80k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2,056	0¢	$3	0x3852af…
10-17 03:36:06	will bitcoin reach 83k on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x2765d7…
10-17 03:35:26	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,100	0¢	$6	0xc86111…
09-29 19:34:30	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,081	0¢	$5	0x0ec48c…
09-29 19:33:09	Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	1¢	$6	0x62a701…
09-29 19:32:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xb0d19f…
09-28 20:37:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x8dee74…
09-28 20:37:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$11	0xf58f4a…
03-26 12:32:05	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	No	SELL	327	0¢	$1	0xe80b90…
03-26 12:32:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	135	1¢	$2	0xc226c7…
03-26 12:31:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$2	0xe779a5…
03-26 12:31:57	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	SELL	245	1¢	$4	0x941289…
03-25 10:24:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,620	0¢	$2	0x323483…
03-25 10:24:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	405	0¢	$2	0x61a9f7…
03-24 14:49:59	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	Yes	BUY	245	2¢	$6	0x1aea44…
03-24 14:47:29	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0x47fc88…
03-24 14:38:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x252e98…
03-24 14:38:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0xd96d24…
03-24 14:37:31	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	1,035	0¢	$2	0x78cc90…
03-24 14:37:15	will trump attend ufc 327	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x0d19b0…
03-22 21:34:27	will trump attend ufc 327	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xdd0fdd…
03-18 02:03:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 18 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x91f451…
03-18 02:03:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	241	2¢	$5	0x1cd69b…
03-18 02:03:05	highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	432	1¢	$5	0x7da2d9…
03-18 02:02:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xcca677…
03-18 02:02:23	bitcoin above 78k on march 18	Yes	BUY	326	2¢	$5	0xdc46ca…
03-18 02:01:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	76¢	$16	0xe07ced…
03-18 02:00:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9ab8e5…
03-18 01:55:45	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x17b5bc…
03-18 01:54:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6cfe29…
03-18 01:54:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x625b21…
03-18 01:54:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	4¢	$5	0xe33c8e…
03-18 01:53:25	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	No	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9d6107…
03-18 01:52:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xdbbb36…
03-18 01:52:51	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x9ec396…
03-18 01:52:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xd93d4f…
03-18 01:52:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb77be2…
03-12 19:01:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xb3bff9…
03-12 19:00:55	highest temperature in hong kong on march 13 2026 15corbelow	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$24	0x18a8cf…
03-12 18:20:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	185	1¢	$1	0x1d5a19…
03-12 18:20:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf8a4e9…
03-12 18:20:09	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0xcf41ae…
03-12 18:20:05	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x664d5b…
03-12 17:27:41	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	376	0¢	$2	0xbf4e7d…
03-12 17:27:13	highest temperature in hong kong on march 14 2026 24corhigher	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0x228665…
03-12 17:26:37	highest temperature in hong kong on march 13 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x2290e3…
03-12 17:26:31	highest temperature in hong kong on march 13 2026 15corbelow	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xb07b8e…
03-12 17:22:21	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x010efc…
03-12 17:22:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	405	1¢	$4	0xe9051f…
03-12 17:16:49	will trumps remarks not air 853 336 288 923 235	Yes	BUY	222	2¢	$4	0xd36a67…
03-02 02:54:01	will donald trump be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,037	3¢	$30	0xd6e11e…
03-02 02:31:39	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xf7a655…
03-02 02:24:21	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7f87c0…
03-02 02:23:55	2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner rafael campos win	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xdbca50…
03-02 02:23:49	2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner daniel brown win	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x4d2092…
03-02 02:23:15	2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner nicolas echavarria win	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0x7f772e…
03-02 02:20:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x612728…
03-02 02:19:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xaafef9…
03-02 02:11:15	will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x044b93…
03-02 02:11:09	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xd0522d…
03-02 02:10:25	will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	No	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x9a95f4…
03-02 02:08:57	hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	No	BUY	1,313	0¢	$5	0x9589fb…
03-02 02:08:49	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	BUY	1,463	0¢	$5	0x7244c2…
03-02 02:08:17	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe0f931…
03-02 02:08:03	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	No	BUY	563	1¢	$5	0x37973d…
03-02 02:07:49	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xdb1bd7…
03-02 02:07:31	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xcb5157…
03-02 02:06:59	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	BUY	1,440	0¢	$5	0x46f347…
03-01 07:35:43	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xd7a30f…
03-01 07:34:11	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xc900f9…
03-01 06:33:55	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0xd2e7f6…
03-01 06:33:39	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x3f0200…
03-01 06:32:15	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	2,202	0¢	$11	0x5b33e7…
02-28 20:33:03	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	1,120	3¢	$30	0x8a2861…