Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-08-20

last 10-26 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 50% +$106

Other

25% 0% -$25

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Politics

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+10	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	08-24 08:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+83	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-26 11:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+10	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-26 11:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	2	$23	83	83	+0	No	+$19	08-24 18:14
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	2	$21	40	40	+0	No	+$17	08-24 18:14
bitcoin above 78k on august 26 2026	2	$6	12	12	+0	Yes	+$4	08-21 10:34
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$5	5,040	0	+5,040	No	-$5	10-26 22:10
Will Solana reach $110 in August?	2	$4	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	08-24 14:16
will xrp reach 1pt55 on august 21 2026	1	$4	24	0	+24	Yes	+$20	08-21 10:41
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$3	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$3	10-26 22:10
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	1	$3	42	0	+42	Yes	+$39	08-20 09:14
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$2	45	0	+45	No	-$2	08-24 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-26 11:32
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$2	111	0	+111	No	-$2	08-24 08:37
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long?	1	$1	54	0	+54	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:51
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?	1	$1	125	0	+125	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	08-24 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	-$1	10-26 11:28
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	-$1	08-24 08:38
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	10-26 22:10
will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	1	$1	167	0	+167	No	-$1	08-21 10:37
Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-24 18:16
Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	10-26 11:26
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	08-24 08:39
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 3 minutes long?	1	$1	167	0	+167	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:50
Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	08-24 18:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	10-26 11:36
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?	1	$1	70	0	+70	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:51
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	10-26 11:36
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	1	$1	250	0	+250	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:51
will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	08-24 08:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	08-24 08:43
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?	1	$1	103	0	+103	Yes	-$1	08-27 14:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:10:57	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$1	0x806618…
10-26 22:10:36	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0737bf…
10-26 22:10:03	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x04cef5…
10-26 11:36:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf89934…
10-26 11:36:18	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x263a2b…
10-26 11:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xbfcbd1…
10-26 11:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5b0b94…
10-26 11:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2d950c…
10-26 11:26:17	Will Ferran Torres win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x566c1c…
10-26 11:25:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x995802…
10-26 11:25:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x8816af…
08-27 14:51:36	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 20 minutes long?	No	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x579ecd…
08-27 14:51:16	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 15 minutes long?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xe0866e…
08-27 14:51:09	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x18a98d…
08-27 14:51:03	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 8 minutes long?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0xc31dbf…
08-27 14:50:54	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 5 minutes long?	No	BUY	103	1¢	$1	0x27f1b7…
08-27 14:50:48	Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 3 minutes long?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x81a416…
08-24 18:16:01	Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09cef8…
08-24 18:15:54	Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed86fd…
08-24 18:14:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	Yes	SELL	40	48¢	$19	0xbb9ac6…
08-24 18:14:28	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	Yes	SELL	83	25¢	$21	0x3d325c…
08-24 14:17:24	Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x5589e8…
08-24 14:16:43	Will Solana reach $110 in August?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x426113…
08-24 08:43:54	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x70eb70…
08-24 08:43:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x8a4d48…
08-24 08:41:31	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x37847b…
08-24 08:39:15	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x903b18…
08-24 08:38:19	Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x689f8b…
08-24 08:38:12	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x3f54ae…
08-24 08:37:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x6e6bb4…
08-24 08:34:24	will ethereum dip to 1900 in august 2026 from august 18	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x15e543…
08-24 08:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x93547c…
08-24 08:32:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xe0fdae…
08-24 08:32:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x8c6f88…
08-21 10:41:39	will xrp reach 1pt55 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x5d3c18…
08-21 10:37:27	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x684b9b…
08-21 10:34:18	bitcoin above 78k on august 26 2026	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0xc956be…
08-20 09:14:06	will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x7a1e42…
08-20 09:12:43	will solana reach 110 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x4c3295…
08-20 09:11:42	will bitcoin reach 78k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x87529d…
08-20 09:11:00	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x03ebc2…
08-20 09:10:15	bitcoin above 78k on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe1a627…
08-20 09:08:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x2d87da…
08-20 09:08:21	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x53805f…
08-20 09:08:01	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xaadcff…