Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

-$30

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$102

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 10-26 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

58% 23% -$33

Politics

21% 16% -$86

Tech

15% — —

Sports

6% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+1,505	$95	5¢	$76	-$19	09-25 21:50
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+38	$20	34¢	$13	-$7	08-22 15:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	-19	-$8	66¢	$-13	-$4	08-05 15:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	3	$236	151	151	+0	No	+$26	08-18 16:19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	2	$125	500	500	+0	open	—	09-15 15:03
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$109	1,650	145	+1,505	open	—	09-25 21:50
will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	3	$102	59	59	+0	No	+$12	08-11 19:49
Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	2	$82	83	83	+0	Yes	+$2	08-17 14:52
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	2	$80	46	46	+0	open	—	05-21 12:42
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	4	$73	123	123	+0	open	—	10-26 22:49
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	2	$63	56	56	+0	open	—	09-21 16:32
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	3	$50	6	52	-46	Yes	-$4	05-15 13:01
Spain snap election called by October 31?	2	$45	132	0	+132	Yes	-$45	10-04 21:03
Will Rodri join Barcelona?	3	$23	61	61	+0	Yes	-$1	08-11 20:09
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	09-15 15:02
Spain snap election called in 2026?	2	$20	46	0	+46	Yes	-$20	10-03 08:00
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$20	38	0	+38	open	—	08-22 15:50
will trump say economy during his evening remarks with xi jinping	2	$15	15	15	+0	No	+$5	09-24 23:45
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$15	51	0	+51	Yes	-$15	10-26 22:25
nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	2	$15	28	28	+0	open	—	10-23 16:12
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$13	77	77	+0	open	—	09-20 12:03
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$13	84	0	+84	No	-$13	10-26 22:25
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	2	$10	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	08-05 23:16
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$10	18	0	+18	No	-$10	10-02 15:56
spain snap election called by november 30	1	$10	27	0	+27	Yes	-$10	10-03 08:02
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	08-07 17:55
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	3	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	10-26 18:18
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$8	0	19	-19	open	—	08-05 15:47
Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	2	$7	25	25	+0	No	-$3	04-30 20:05
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 12:03
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	2	$6	61	0	+61	No	-$6	03-19 18:08
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	2	$6	14	14	+0	No	-$4	08-06 16:11
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$6	56	56	+0	open	—	09-20 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:51:23	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xec783f…
10-26 22:49:29	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x046a6e…
10-26 22:49:15	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xab8297…
10-26 22:40:29	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x55d9c7…
10-26 22:39:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x8bcc1d…
10-26 22:25:36	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x853746…
10-26 22:25:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x12ec4c…
10-26 22:25:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x07979e…
10-26 18:19:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd6f606…
10-26 18:18:27	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xd66762…
10-23 16:12:24	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x6f9b4d…
10-20 00:53:02	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0x4c5773…
10-04 21:03:32	Spain snap election called by October 31?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xec01ca…
10-03 16:25:36	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x324b0e…
10-03 08:02:24	spain snap election called by november 30	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9ff689…
10-03 08:01:05	Spain snap election called by October 31?	No	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x7a68b1…
10-03 08:00:51	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6ec43b…
10-02 15:57:20	Spain snap election called in 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf68008…
10-02 15:56:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x250ce0…
09-29 18:51:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x4c777d…
09-25 21:50:48	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,613	6¢	$100	0x69672f…
09-25 21:34:32	Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xfb8afe…
09-24 23:45:26	will trump say economy during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xa1c981…
09-24 22:05:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x580423…
09-24 22:04:45	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x469eb4…
09-24 22:02:42	will trump say economy during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x39f78f…
09-23 22:40:14	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd0244b…
09-21 16:32:00	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$53	0x679b83…
09-20 12:03:18	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$1	0xfb2a55…
09-20 12:03:10	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x66ef36…
09-20 12:03:04	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0xf04e37…
09-15 15:03:28	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x4dcc58…
09-15 15:02:57	Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x6e6a60…
08-22 17:16:30	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x786041…
08-22 15:50:18	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x38edca…
08-21 20:38:06	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x1d1ed7…
08-21 16:26:51	Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x312947…
08-21 16:25:52	Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe07077…
08-21 16:25:36	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5d87eb…
08-21 16:22:49	Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x0285f3…
08-18 16:19:28	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	SELL	151	87¢	$131	0x503ab6…
08-17 14:52:33	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	83	50¢	$42	0x797dfe…
08-16 18:37:46	Will Enzo Fernandez join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	83	48¢	$40	0x0ebf91…
08-16 18:35:27	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xf6e615…
08-11 20:15:24	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x668411…
08-11 20:09:28	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	SELL	61	18¢	$11	0x1e7821…
08-11 19:49:00	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x427746…
08-11 19:48:21	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x0c558d…
08-07 17:55:25	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb53517…
08-07 16:41:07	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x5dabc3…
08-07 16:40:39	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	No	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9df769…
08-06 16:11:09	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x26bd25…
08-06 16:10:59	Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	SELL	208	0¢	$1	0x387d2b…
08-05 23:17:32	Will Rodri join Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa59fbf…
08-05 23:16:38	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xf55606…
08-05 15:48:17	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x29850c…
08-05 15:47:59	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	145	5¢	$7	0x68b7a9…
08-05 15:47:57	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0x0c5229…
08-05 15:43:51	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x9a965b…
08-05 15:42:03	Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6ad299…
08-05 15:41:57	Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x004cda…
08-05 13:50:29	Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbaa34b…
08-05 11:15:08	Will Eduardo Camavinga stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xd9713b…
08-05 11:14:54	Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf4d6d1…
08-05 11:14:48	Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$2	0x6fcdeb…
08-05 11:14:30	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x35ff9e…
05-29 22:13:03	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	SELL	103	40¢	$41	0x20907d…
05-21 12:42:45	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xbe4497…
05-21 12:42:33	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	86¢	$40	0x91e0a4…
05-21 07:49:08	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x2446bd…
05-19 21:53:44	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x355e9e…
05-19 21:53:36	Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xa505ad…
05-15 13:01:46	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x3dced7…
05-15 11:27:14	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x57f62d…
04-30 20:05:40	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x5ce7aa…
04-30 20:05:12	Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x03931f…
04-30 07:16:10	Will Jurgen Klopp be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3f8ebc…
03-19 18:08:19	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xed1ba4…
03-11 22:05:01	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b38f0…
03-11 22:04:57	Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5e60a0…
03-03 20:00:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x01ed35…
03-03 19:41:45	Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xf2b979…
03-03 19:20:39	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf909ce…
03-03 19:18:37	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb1430d…
03-03 19:18:33	will jordan strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x97c4a4…
03-03 19:18:15	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xf318dc…
03-03 19:18:13	will iran strike uae in march	No	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xa833b2…
03-03 19:18:01	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x702528…
03-03 19:17:59	will iran strike qatar in march	No	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x5ddf84…
03-03 19:16:35	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa3bae3…
03-03 19:16:33	will iran strike kuwait in march	No	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x4ebcf9…
03-03 19:05:01	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x0c2da1…
03-03 19:04:25	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf8bd8b…
02-22 22:39:46	will erika kirk attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x183eb4…
02-22 22:38:10	will player 152 win beast games season 2 862	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xf5072b…
02-22 22:30:44	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x87204e…
02-22 22:30:42	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1c5e2b…
02-22 22:30:40	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdbb39f…