True-Counsel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.6%

Resolved

Trades

80,652

lifetime

Volume

$29.8M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$370

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

82% 85% +$70,420

Sports

9% 50% $-1,419

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 1251 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,835	$875.5K	1,010,739	778,146	+232,592	open	—	03-04 16:07
netanyahu out by march 31 854	384	$600.2K	351,285	262,347	+88,938	open	—	04-04 13:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1,280	$337.9K	409,966	403,685	+6,281	open	—	01-30 09:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	684	$330.1K	720,218	704,355	+15,863	open	—	08-03 23:24
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	161	$285.6K	264,909	264,909	+0	open	—	07-06 20:10
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	503	$267.4K	272,897	272,897	+0	open	—	06-30 16:55
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	185	$244.4K	278,200	278,200	+0	open	—	07-11 21:21
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	416	$240.2K	268,218	268,218	+0	open	—	07-10 19:15
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	57	$237.0K	300,000	300,000	+0	open	—	07-07 19:55
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	209	$227.9K	227,263	227,263	+0	open	—	07-14 19:15
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	388	$224.8K	207,594	207,594	+0	open	—	06-30 21:03
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	293	$219.1K	147,000	147,000	+0	open	—	06-19 19:10
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 2pt5	418	$217.7K	179,010	179,010	+0	open	—	07-15 18:01
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	244	$217.4K	231,076	231,076	+0	open	—	07-15 19:02
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	175	$217.3K	172,500	172,500	+0	open	—	06-16 22:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	1,164	$213.1K	480,685	318,575	+162,110	open	—	07-18 22:10
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	610	$204.7K	189,500	189,500	+0	open	—	06-26 22:48
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	517	$194.1K	207,520	207,520	+0	open	—	07-01 21:14
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	152	$189.9K	184,793	184,793	+0	open	—	07-01 17:04
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	418	$178.6K	144,000	143,999	+1	open	—	07-06 00:15
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	281	$173.5K	190,119	120,098	+70,021	open	—	04-15 19:51
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	269	$150.4K	180,833	168,372	+12,461	open	—	07-05 21:03
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	609	$146.2K	153,207	167,769	-14,562	open	—	06-15 16:01
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	305	$144.2K	165,788	157,315	+8,472	open	—	07-07 00:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	32	$143.0K	99,000	45,000	+54,000	open	—	06-03 01:24
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	235	$142.1K	124,106	124,106	+0	open	—	06-29 17:04
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	36	$141.5K	121,241	121,241	+0	open	—	07-12 01:36
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	172	$140.5K	106,997	106,997	+0	open	—	06-25 19:15
fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	221	$140.2K	123,000	123,000	+0	open	—	06-30 01:07
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	82	$137.8K	123,000	123,000	+0	open	—	06-24 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 22:37:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	39,460	4¢	$1,578	0x1e5bc3…
08-09 18:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	49,000	5¢	$2,450	0xb1292f…
08-09 18:39:33	mlb bal tex 2026 08 09	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	4,444	45¢	$2,000	0x45c81d…
08-09 17:50:54	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	SELL	102	43¢	$44	0x861f33…
08-09 17:50:51	atp grieksp aguilar 2026 08 10	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	2,670	100¢	$2,656	0x4726b0…
08-09 17:50:27	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x1b76dc…
08-09 17:42:12	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4,643	43¢	$1,996	0xbcd161…
08-09 17:41:51	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x7eb4de…
08-09 17:41:19	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	82	43¢	$35	0x2c16e7…
08-09 17:38:06	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x26135e…
08-09 17:37:18	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	6,278	31¢	$1,946	0x8fe55e…
08-09 17:37:15	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0xbc1ee3…
08-09 17:37:12	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xd19d78…
08-09 17:37:12	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0xa171b6…
08-09 17:37:12	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x39dae8…
08-09 17:37:12	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	115	31¢	$36	0x30bd01…
08-09 17:37:07	mlb tor phi 2026 08 09	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe27c9c…
08-09 17:36:07	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5d6c3d…
08-09 17:36:06	mlb atl nyy 2026 08 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xcfa23e…
08-09 17:13:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	140,005	6¢	$8,400	0x379486…
08-09 17:09:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf58e2f…
08-09 17:07:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	9,995	6¢	$600	0x1bb8a4…
08-09 16:49:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,818	7¢	$127	0xad2ad8…
08-09 16:48:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,667	7¢	$117	0x0755ad…
08-09 16:43:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	389	7¢	$27	0x4f3bf1…
08-09 12:44:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	11,000	6¢	$660	0xfad66c…
08-09 12:40:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x5f2499…
08-09 12:31:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x53a8c7…
08-09 12:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x534fe1…
08-09 12:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6bc3a0…
08-09 12:18:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x2acf85…
08-09 12:14:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x28a31b…
08-09 12:05:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xbf1b1e…
08-09 11:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xd45b73…
08-09 11:37:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5,672	6¢	$340	0x1af6aa…
08-09 11:28:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x64a078…
08-09 11:22:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	2,500	6¢	$150	0xe3514b…
08-09 11:15:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4,000	6¢	$240	0xc74e45…
08-09 11:12:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	9	6¢	$1	0x03a0c1…
08-09 11:08:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3e4ea8…
08-09 11:05:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x714849…
08-09 10:56:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2,000	7¢	$140	0x68d94a…
08-09 10:51:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xd49379…
08-09 10:48:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x60ac14…
08-09 10:38:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	286	7¢	$20	0x7d070d…
08-09 10:31:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0xfbc9aa…
08-09 10:28:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0x5afb69…
08-09 10:27:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,154	6¢	$69	0x56a1d4…
08-09 10:20:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd11c4d…
08-09 10:17:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xa86f3f…
08-09 10:12:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x029202…
08-09 10:10:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	162	7¢	$11	0x6fda75…
08-09 10:10:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	8,271	6¢	$496	0xc38942…
08-09 09:47:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x9ff1a9…
08-09 09:39:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0x022f8e…
08-09 09:38:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x81c3ca…
08-09 09:37:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x6362d9…
08-09 09:37:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x505c48…
08-09 09:34:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	62	7¢	$4	0x30f9f7…
08-09 09:32:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xbdfb1e…
08-09 09:27:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	128	6¢	$8	0x999ed3…
08-09 09:26:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb383b0…
08-09 09:22:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xdd50fb…
08-09 09:05:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x307d0f…
08-09 08:49:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xe4a3e2…
08-09 08:39:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	9,184	6¢	$551	0xe4c598…
08-09 08:26:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x282b58…
08-09 08:21:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x482bce…
08-09 08:11:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x419e65…
08-09 08:08:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	0	7¢	$0	0x56137b…
08-09 08:02:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x8addd9…
08-09 07:07:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	662	7¢	$46	0xfaefbe…
08-09 07:05:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x141ff8…
08-09 07:05:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x173d65…
08-09 06:55:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xcaae41…
08-09 06:31:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0x0e4e9f…
08-09 06:30:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x39479d…
08-09 06:26:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x73c569…
08-09 05:53:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0xfe1434…
08-09 05:51:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14,286	7¢	$1,000	0x7a0a6c…
08-09 05:28:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,600	7¢	$112	0xd9cd70…
08-09 05:19:09	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14,286	7¢	$1,000	0x5cb4c8…
08-09 05:16:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbe291a…
08-09 05:16:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xeca7ee…
08-09 04:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	14,874	7¢	$1,041	0x31c219…
08-09 03:58:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0x0f77fb…
08-09 03:44:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9e7693…
08-09 03:43:07	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	322	100¢	$322	0x7e3eca…
08-09 03:40:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	700	7¢	$49	0x7fa741…
08-09 03:39:52	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x95551d…
08-09 03:38:18	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x298a43…
08-09 03:37:24	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0xd4e01e…
08-09 03:37:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	24	7¢	$2	0xa2e128…
08-09 03:31:01	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9297f7…
08-09 03:28:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,007	7¢	$71	0xc04cb0…
08-09 03:27:30	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fa91e…
08-09 03:23:40	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb5344e…
08-09 03:23:13	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x184239…
08-09 03:21:24	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6a49e9…
08-09 03:21:03	wta svitoli anisimo 2026 08 09	Elina Svitolina	BUY	620	100¢	$619	0xddae5b…