Failing-Collection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.3K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

248

Trades

1,725

lifetime

Volume

$67.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Politics

60% 38% +$10,937

Other

31% 12% -$674

Sports

7% 33% +$918

Crypto

2% 44% +$167

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	37	$9.9K	11,302	11,302	+0	Yes	+$1,856	03-19 06:36
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	29	$9.2K	8,533	11,729	-3,196	Yes	+$908	02-08 15:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	24	$5.8K	81,239	47,659	+33,580	Yes	+$1,748	04-09 18:55
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$3.8K	3,227	3,232	-5	No	+$2,462	02-08 15:58
will the peoples party pple win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	52	$3.4K	10,745	0	+10,745	Yes	+$7,326	03-04 14:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$2.6K	2,946	2,946	+0	Yes	-$34	04-08 03:58
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	16	$2.4K	1,718	1,241	+477	Yes	+$15	03-03 09:41
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	17	$2.1K	1,535	1,535	+0	No	+$70	02-10 08:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$2.1K	6,831	6,831	+0	No	+$405	05-07 16:08
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	+$4	01-03 11:14
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	18	$2.0K	21,867	20,345	+1,522	Yes	-$120	03-20 07:43
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	21	$1.4K	5,014	5,014	+0	No	-$123	04-22 14:42
will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	113	$1.1K	19,318	19,318	+0	No	+$241	02-08 10:04
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	19	$963	8,679	4,420	+4,258	No	+$268	10-26 13:11
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$826	10,327	667	+9,660	Yes	+$507	07-08 00:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	14	$806	2,497	2,018	+478	No	+$128	04-20 14:52
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?	13	$716	2,551	1,430	+1,120	No	+$56	08-06 16:22
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	3	$710	359	359	+0	Yes	-$1	03-23 01:33
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	11	$686	3,043	3,043	+0	Yes	-$119	02-08 14:35
will peoples party pple finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	28	$678	1,241	1,241	+0	Yes	+$17	02-03 20:10
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?	17	$569	6,968	6,968	+0	No	-$385	06-23 03:58
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026?	14	$551	10,120	9,703	+417	No	-$77	07-01 05:59
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$548	836	836	+0	Yes	+$99	03-24 07:10
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$535	3,868	368	+3,500	No	-$471	10-26 13:08
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	105	$488	93,410	63,410	+30,000	No	-$354	02-20 08:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	11	$450	2,911	320	+2,591	No	-$335	04-27 18:33
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$437	1,263	1,263	+0	No	+$186	10-05 05:29
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$429	9,494	6,494	+3,000	No	-$132	02-19 03:03
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	30	$429	38,858	3,837	+35,021	No	-$316	10-26 13:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$412	148	428	-280	Yes	-$68	03-04 00:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:11:56	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	58	27¢	$15	0x31ddc0…
10-26 13:10:21	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x5d8665…
10-26 13:08:39	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	368	9¢	$32	0x61f979…
10-26 04:27:45	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xe7020e…
10-26 04:26:56	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,091	1¢	$12	0x0efbda…
10-26 04:26:14	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	397	10¢	$40	0x862bca…
10-26 04:25:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xf64bb4…
10-26 03:49:20	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	853	0¢	$3	0xa6b3d7…
10-26 03:48:14	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xe20d7b…
10-26 02:52:48	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,230	0¢	$2	0xdc8d07…
10-26 02:51:48	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xed741c…
10-26 02:50:59	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x96386a…
10-26 02:48:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xb36c50…
10-26 02:48:20	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa5b8be…
10-26 02:47:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	629	11¢	$70	0xd52e31…
10-26 02:46:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	404	18¢	$72	0xdeab16…
10-26 02:44:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	96	19¢	$18	0x685e11…
10-25 07:00:14	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,289	1¢	$6	0xb6829e…
10-25 06:59:21	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,026	14¢	$140	0x0872c5…
10-25 06:58:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$153	0x8b9cb3…
10-25 06:09:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,009	14¢	$141	0xcd52e6…
10-25 06:09:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$149	0x0197dd…
10-25 05:58:50	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	87	14¢	$12	0x01068a…
10-25 05:58:17	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6,250	0¢	$25	0x084a9f…
10-25 05:57:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	721	14¢	$100	0x806de2…
10-25 05:57:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	940	15¢	$144	0xb8dd7d…
10-15 07:24:47	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,628	1¢	$10	0x81f23d…
10-14 04:22:20	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	520	4¢	$19	0xd37d89…
10-14 04:21:31	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,400	0¢	$6	0x557555…
10-14 04:20:07	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,000	3¢	$27	0x3b2b96…
10-14 03:00:07	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0xc671f5…
10-14 02:59:05	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	194	3¢	$6	0x3c64b7…
10-13 17:27:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,189	4¢	$96	0x0ca6ce…
10-13 17:21:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	254	4¢	$11	0xfcae8a…
10-13 17:20:28	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,062	1¢	$6	0xb436aa…
10-13 17:19:31	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x8f33b6…
10-13 17:17:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,768	4¢	$77	0xc67068…
10-13 17:07:13	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x0eee8e…
10-13 17:06:49	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x968af4…
10-13 17:05:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,815	4¢	$75	0x9b6f68…
10-13 11:00:56	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	456	1¢	$3	0x195642…
10-13 11:00:04	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe0ac57…
10-13 02:41:21	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,072	1¢	$17	0xf44ac5…
10-13 02:40:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xc1e4e1…
10-13 02:39:26	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	429	3¢	$12	0xc762e4…
10-12 16:53:27	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,145	0¢	$2	0xe43db0…
10-12 16:45:17	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	595	1¢	$5	0xa4fb36…
10-12 16:44:38	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	335	2¢	$8	0xee45e3…
10-12 05:03:39	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	409	1¢	$4	0xd8630f…
10-11 15:34:33	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 4 - 0 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0xa9902d…
10-11 09:50:04	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,598	1¢	$14	0xa36398…
10-09 15:50:01	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	335	3¢	$9	0xabda1c…
10-09 15:49:22	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	871	1¢	$10	0x541746…
10-09 08:21:04	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	871	1¢	$10	0x3199e5…
10-09 08:20:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0xb4fede…
10-08 14:48:26	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	345	1¢	$4	0x4717d3…
10-08 14:33:20	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	742	1¢	$8	0xcd7f5a…
10-08 14:32:41	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4,329	0¢	$9	0xf27f42…
10-07 14:45:23	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	786	1¢	$9	0x786395…
10-07 14:44:58	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	380	3¢	$10	0x28c568…
10-07 11:14:57	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,058	1¢	$27	0x7f3d55…
10-07 11:13:42	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	947	3¢	$28	0xc90d9f…
10-06 03:25:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	947	2¢	$22	0x3ca66f…
10-05 14:25:19	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0x15718b…
10-05 05:31:41	Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2,392	4¢	$100	0xedb14f…
10-05 05:29:55	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	555	22¢	$122	0xb1c635…
10-05 00:51:28	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$8	0x0b8b66…
10-05 00:50:02	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	313	3¢	$9	0x30d226…
10-05 00:48:59	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	560	2¢	$14	0x35c0a1…
10-05 00:48:35	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	758	2¢	$15	0xb242be…
10-05 00:47:49	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$25	0x76547a…
10-05 00:47:17	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,146	2¢	$25	0x442d11…
10-04 01:36:34	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,500	2¢	$30	0x26e449…
10-04 01:35:50	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	175	25¢	$44	0x834177…
10-03 14:36:50	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,323	1¢	$12	0xdd0867…
10-03 14:19:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,313	2¢	$70	0xae2e19…
10-03 14:17:05	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	270	27¢	$72	0xe71a10…
10-03 10:53:11	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x88ebd4…
10-03 10:09:08	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd955f1…
10-03 10:04:56	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x6ad4a2…
10-03 09:52:00	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x84b1ef…
10-03 09:45:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0xfb9fa8…
10-03 09:45:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	430	0¢	$1	0xf247b8…
10-03 09:45:57	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	473	0¢	$1	0xe32497…
10-03 04:51:14	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,818	1¢	$20	0x274a4c…
10-03 04:50:39	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x9d1f67…
10-03 04:49:14	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	263	28¢	$74	0x9e7eb1…
10-02 00:20:08	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf99001…
10-01 23:39:56	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3,186	1¢	$38	0x4a39bd…
10-01 14:41:11	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	485	2¢	$8	0x02c3f9…
10-01 14:40:33	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,238	0¢	$2	0x91d0ef…
10-01 13:31:56	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,083	2¢	$18	0x9b109d…
10-01 09:14:57	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,815	2¢	$40	0x1f5e08…
10-01 06:52:24	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	404	3¢	$11	0xf2a30c…
10-01 05:23:53	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	305	3¢	$8	0x6dcad9…
10-01 02:43:32	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xe0f052…
10-01 02:42:05	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	336	2¢	$7	0x1bfbe5…
10-01 02:41:23	Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0xd20cea…
10-01 02:08:33	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x07cbac…
10-01 01:28:41	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,148	2¢	$40	0x5102a9…