Realized P&L (7d)
+$176
Unrealized P&L
+$2.14K
Hit rate
62.0%
Resolved (7d)
479
Trades (7d)
2,649
4,487 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$327.6K
$462.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$189.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-26 21:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
47% 68% +$380
Other
45% 88% -$208
Sports
6% 100% +$90
Tech
1% 50% -$25
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 827 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +24,487 $21,498 94¢ $22.9K +$1,397 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +32,805 $22,837 68¢ $22.5K -$366 10-26 21:27
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +20,403 $16,943 95¢ $19.5K +$2,532 10-26 08:59
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +18,671 $18,326 100¢ $18.6K +$298 10-26 08:24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,956 $18,205 74¢ $14.8K -$3,437 10-26 08:59
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31,139 $9,573 32¢ $9.8K +$236 10-26 21:27
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,841 100¢ $7.9K +$15 10-26 08:24
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,847 100¢ $7.9K +$5 10-26 08:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $6,691 65¢ $7.1K +$447 10-26 19:01
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,302 $6,283 99¢ $6.3K -$19 10-26 21:27
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,956 $5,485 28¢ $5.5K +$53 10-26 08:59
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,726 $4,721 100¢ $4.7K -$2 10-24 19:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $4,326 35¢ $3.9K -$459 10-26 19:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,067 $3,064 100¢ $3.1K +$0 10-26 01:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,167 $2,400 91¢ $2.9K +$477 10-23 02:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,132 $2,893 68¢ $2.8K -$84 10-25 17:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,567 97¢ $2.6K -$5 10-22 02:42
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,890 $2,099 83¢ $2.4K +$292 10-26 21:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,715 $2,402 64¢ $2.4K -$43 10-22 02:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,577 $2,271 66¢ $2.3K +$72 10-20 19:01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,273 $2,101 95¢ $2.2K +$50 10-24 23:15
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,116 $2,009 98¢ $2.1K +$70 10-20 18:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,112 78¢ $2.1K -$45 10-22 02:42
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,915 98¢ $2.0K +$56 10-26 16:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,681 $1,985 34¢ $2.0K -$25 10-23 09:16
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,947 96¢ $1.9K -$20 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,684 $1,573 69¢ $1.9K +$279 10-21 14:24
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,669 90¢ $1.8K +$145 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,166 $1,656 83¢ $1.8K +$142 10-21 23:28
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,702 88¢ $1.8K +$72 10-26 16:22