Realized P&L
+$233
Unrealized P&L
+$8.14K
Hit rate
62.9%
Resolved
658
Trades
4,496
lifetime
Volume
$463.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$103
Open exposure
$191.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-26 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
47% 68% +$380
Other
45% 88% -$208
Sports
6% 100% +$90
Tech
1% 50% -$25
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 827 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +24,487 $21,498 94¢ $22.9K +$1,397 10-26 16:36
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +32,956 $22,940 68¢ $22.6K -$365 10-26 22:36
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +20,403 $16,943 100¢ $20.4K +$3,440 10-26 08:59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +19,956 $18,205 100¢ $19.9K +$1,732 10-26 08:59
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +18,671 $18,326 100¢ $18.7K +$326 10-26 08:24
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +31,291 $9,621 32¢ $9.9K +$235 10-26 22:36
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,847 100¢ $7.9K +$9 10-26 08:24
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +7,864 $7,841 100¢ $7.9K +$11 10-26 08:24
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $6,691 65¢ $7.1K +$447 10-26 19:01
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +6,454 $6,434 99¢ $6.4K -$23 10-26 22:36
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +4,726 $4,721 100¢ $4.7K -$2 10-24 19:53
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +11,050 $4,326 35¢ $3.9K -$459 10-26 19:01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,067 $3,064 100¢ $3.1K -$1 10-26 01:36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +3,167 $2,400 89¢ $2.8K +$423 10-23 02:44
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +4,132 $2,893 68¢ $2.8K -$104 10-25 17:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,567 97¢ $2.6K -$5 10-22 02:42
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +2,890 $2,099 84¢ $2.4K +$322 10-26 21:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,715 $2,402 64¢ $2.4K -$6 10-22 02:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,577 $2,271 66¢ $2.3K +$72 10-20 19:01
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? No +2,273 $2,101 95¢ $2.2K +$54 10-24 23:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +2,633 $2,112 80¢ $2.1K -$19 10-22 02:42
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +2,116 $2,009 98¢ $2.1K +$70 10-20 18:52
Will Anyone's Legend win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,915 100¢ $2.0K +$83 10-26 16:22
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +5,681 $1,985 34¢ $2.0K -$25 10-23 09:16
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,947 95¢ $1.9K -$42 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +2,684 $1,573 70¢ $1.9K +$293 10-21 14:24
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,669 91¢ $1.8K +$155 10-26 16:22
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,166 $1,656 83¢ $1.8K +$142 10-21 23:28
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,702 88¢ $1.8K +$72 10-26 16:22
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +2,004 $1,848 87¢ $1.8K -$95 10-26 16:22