Realized P&L
-$2.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.52K
Hit rate
35.7%
Resolved
42
Trades
22,908
lifetime
Volume
$2.51M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$110
Open exposure
$28.9K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 18:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
39% 0% $-257
Sports
32% 47% $-2,201
Other
25% 57% +$177
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 263 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +15,065 $12,941 89¢ $13.4K +$444 07-15 18:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -7,840 $-6,906 72¢ $-5684 +$1,222 07-13 18:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,534 $-2,251 90¢ $-2268 $-18 06-18 19:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,474 $-1,356 96¢ $-1409 $-52 06-30 05:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,111 $967 92¢ $1.0K +$50 06-29 12:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $900 94¢ $935 +$35 06-12 18:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,000 $866 86¢ $865 $-1 06-09 11:48
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,163 $788 12¢ $740 $-49 07-17 23:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,067 $853 54¢ $571 $-283 07-06 16:29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +555 $433 86¢ $480 +$47 05-29 15:03
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,466 $596 32¢ $462 $-135 06-01 22:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +684 $414 46¢ $318 $-96 06-30 16:29
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +693 $298 40¢ $274 $-24 06-17 21:12
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +555 $255 32¢ $180 $-75 06-02 21:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +2,038 $153 $140 $-14 07-21 02:53
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +182 $-550 62¢ $113 +$663 07-13 20:01
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +36 $26 77¢ $28 +$2 06-18 23:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -908 $-1,307 $-10 +$1,297 06-25 18:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -42 $490 22¢ $-9 $-499 06-22 19:31