Realized P&L
-$6.10K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.67K
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
2,220
Trades
33,072
lifetime
Volume
$4.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$121
Open exposure
$95.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 266 days
Categories
Politics
41% 64% +$43,819
Sports
30% 50% -$2,557
Other
26% 46% -$49,644
Crypto
1% 65% +$3,655
Tech
1% 55% -$220
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1,150
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 339 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +16,823 $10,580 64¢ $10.9K +$271 10-24 16:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8,889 $5,621 72¢ $6.4K +$734 10-26 03:12
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +7,221 $6,232 86¢ $6.2K -$58 10-26 16:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,134 $4,012 66¢ $5.3K +$1,315 10-26 01:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +4,722 $4,513 97¢ $4.6K +$60 10-26 17:33
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +4,209 $1,870 97¢ $4.1K +$2,223 10-24 02:32
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Flames +8,332 $3,622 46¢ $3.8K +$169 10-26 07:55
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5,555 $3,700 68¢ $3.8K +$78 10-26 01:26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +5,159 $3,698 73¢ $3.8K +$66 10-26 18:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -4,646 -$4,704 80¢ $-3740 +$964 09-18 18:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -3,500 -$3,240 94¢ $-3272 -$32 10-20 22:13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3,322 -$3,160 97¢ $-3237 -$77 10-26 03:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -3,016 -$3,228 97¢ $-2919 +$309 10-15 07:55
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +3,530 $1,904 80¢ $2.8K +$920 10-26 02:03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -16,130 -$3,584 16¢ $-2653 +$930 10-14 17:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -2,639 -$2,602 99¢ $-2609 -$7 05-11 18:49
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2,617 -$2,142 92¢ $-2394 -$252 10-26 01:29
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +2,778 $2,222 84¢ $2.3K +$97 10-21 21:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,438 $2,068 94¢ $2.3K +$236 06-09 11:48
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,333 $2,022 68¢ $2.2K +$228 10-25 22:32
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2,577 $1,609 83¢ $2.1K +$530 10-26 05:45
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -3,101 -$1,281 66¢ $-2031 -$750 10-26 01:24
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,030 $1,827 96¢ $2.0K +$128 06-12 18:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1,861 $1,635 98¢ $1.8K +$184 05-11 21:23
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,776 $1,827 62¢ $1.7K -$106 10-24 09:18
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,222 $1,378 64¢ $1.4K +$56 10-06 15:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +3,333 $1,349 42¢ $1.4K +$68 10-21 22:09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +3,070 $1,161 42¢ $1.3K +$143 10-22 15:40
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +1,358 $1,246 96¢ $1.3K +$52 05-20 14:31
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,754 $1,005 68¢ $1.2K +$188 10-26 05:12