Realized P&L
-$2.28K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.09K
Hit rate
35.7%
Resolved
42
Trades
21,476
lifetime
Volume
$2.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$34.7K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
41% 0% $-257
Sports
34% 47% $-2,201
Other
22% 57% +$177
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 640 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +15,003 $12,886 89¢ $13.3K +$444 06-21 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -10,839 $-9,323 86¢ $-9375 $-52 06-22 02:12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,534 $-2,251 90¢ $-2294 $-43 06-18 19:05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -1,474 $-1,356 94¢ $-1392 $-36 06-30 05:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,665 $1,254 80¢ $1.3K +$86 06-10 02:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1,111 $967 86¢ $961 $-6 06-29 12:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +1,000 $900 94¢ $935 +$35 06-12 18:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,000 $866 86¢ $865 $-1 06-09 11:48
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1,000 $800 86¢ $865 +$65 06-12 06:42
Weed rescheduled by June 30? No +864 $850 100¢ $861 +$11 06-18 01:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +555 $433 88¢ $486 +$53 05-29 15:03
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +1,466 $596 30¢ $440 $-157 06-01 22:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -377 $-569 99¢ $-375 +$194 06-19 17:36
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +693 $298 46¢ $315 +$17 06-17 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -908 $-1,307 30¢ $-268 +$1,039 06-25 18:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +684 $414 36¢ $243 $-171 06-30 16:29
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +555 $255 42¢ $230 $-25 06-02 21:18
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? No +53 $52 100¢ $53 +$1 06-22 19:16
Weed rescheduled by December 31? No +36 $26 78¢ $28 +$2 06-18 23:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -42 $490 30¢ $-12 $-503 06-22 19:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1,814 $-313 $-12 +$301 06-25 16:00
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +555 $166 $2 $-165 06-09 20:42