Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$227

Unrealized P&L

+$102

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

$3.21K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-22 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

83% 57% -$81

Other

15% 40% -$127

Crypto

2% 60% -$19

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+4,505	$2,873	66¢	$3.0K	+$123	09-29 16:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+1,231	$149	11¢	$129	-$20	10-21 14:30
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+75	$40	62¢	$46	+$6	10-16 17:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$27	29¢	$29	+$2	10-20 17:47
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+421	$24	3¢	$14	-$10	10-19 15:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	6	$2.9K	4,505	0	+4,505	open	—	09-29 16:42
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	5	$221	187	187	+0	No	-$25	02-01 19:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	11	$149	1,231	0	+1,231	open	—	10-21 14:30
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	3	$144	100	100	+0	Yes	+$4	10-15 19:36
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$130	317	0	+317	Spain	-$130	07-19 15:48
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$127	77	77	+0	Yes	+$20	01-31 08:03
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$73	100	0	+100	open	—	10-18 02:09
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	2	$72	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	01-31 13:58
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$48	46	46	+0	Yes	-$21	09-29 16:02
will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	6	$44	62	62	+0	No	-$44	02-04 06:37
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	1	$40	69	0	+69	No	-$40	02-05 22:01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	10-16 17:49
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	2	$33	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	01-31 13:58
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	3	$32	30	30	+0	Yes	+$8	10-19 08:44
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	10-16 21:10
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$27	100	0	+100	open	—	10-20 17:47
No one announced as next James Bond?	2	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 17:45
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$0	01-29 13:39
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	5	$24	421	0	+421	open	—	10-19 15:41
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 1pt5	1	$20	71	0	+71	Under	-$20	07-19 15:48
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	1	$19	40	0	+40	Yes	+$21	02-02 09:47
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 06:58
Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	2	$16	23	0	+23	open	—	10-19 09:31
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	02-02 09:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:25 UTC	4	$7	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	10-03 12:28
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	2	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	02-02 00:42
Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	10-16 20:37
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	1	$6	22	0	+22	No	-$6	07-19 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-03 10:14
will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	01-28 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 17:45:27	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xdc47c2…
10-21 14:30:26	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x81873e…
10-21 14:15:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	385	12¢	$46	0xe00edc…
10-20 18:18:56	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0xcb59ca…
10-20 17:47:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x536538…
10-20 14:40:48	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0xe369aa…
10-19 15:41:36	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	6¢	$10	0x1b765b…
10-19 09:31:39	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xe4594d…
10-19 08:44:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0xa98051…
10-19 05:52:00	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xecc374…
10-19 00:08:44	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x5cfd50…
10-19 00:07:41	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9f8306…
10-18 20:49:30	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xb5a886…
10-18 18:28:47	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x888cdf…
10-18 18:07:15	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x177f0d…
10-18 16:49:44	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x56bef7…
10-18 02:09:06	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x69bfee…
10-17 17:27:11	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xcc6f97…
10-17 17:03:47	Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb24b0e…
10-17 00:05:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	49	12¢	$6	0x61bd4b…
10-16 21:10:00	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x97de9e…
10-16 20:37:26	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd6ee2c…
10-16 18:56:49	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xe524bd…
10-16 17:49:17	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xc9a508…
10-15 19:36:43	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0x4b1d11…
10-15 18:14:41	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x8f36d3…
10-15 18:05:53	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x9059b1…
10-15 16:04:20	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xce218d…
10-15 15:10:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0xe629c8…
10-15 15:10:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	12¢	$2	0x004ec5…
10-15 12:51:11	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	487	12¢	$58	0x6e3476…
10-13 14:17:08	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x8de4ef…
10-03 12:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x018706…
10-03 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x65bdce…
10-03 12:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x6555d3…
10-03 12:25:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa50c3b…
10-03 10:14:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x02fe87…
10-03 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x327254…
09-29 16:42:06	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0xfa1971…
09-29 16:02:15	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	46	30¢	$14	0x8ecc19…
09-23 12:13:34	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	46	75¢	$35	0x2f7289…
09-23 12:12:34	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,009	66¢	$666	0xe28c9f…
09-22 16:50:52	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	631	66¢	$417	0x295da9…
09-22 12:04:49	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,047	65¢	$681	0xe32683…
09-21 11:58:32	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,195	61¢	$729	0x31212c…
09-21 11:49:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0x48ca65…
07-19 15:49:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	22	29¢	$6	0x95dd81…
07-19 15:48:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	317	41¢	$130	0xf60349…
07-19 15:48:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xf89261…
02-05 22:01:49	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	69	59¢	$40	0x884674…
02-04 06:37:08	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xc508fb…
02-02 09:53:54	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	27	76¢	$20	0x103ad4…
02-02 09:47:40	will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xb5713e…
02-02 09:46:46	bitcoin up or down on february 2	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x84d67e…
02-02 09:44:34	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xea6be8…
02-02 09:39:52	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x30cf3f…
02-02 09:32:04	bitcoin up or down on february 2	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5c21c9…
02-02 09:31:10	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x63d1e9…
02-02 09:30:22	will israel strike lebanon on february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xaac04d…
02-02 06:58:00	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3dbaf2…
02-02 00:42:42	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe4119d…
02-01 20:48:46	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0ad570…
02-01 19:59:24	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x02482d…
02-01 19:53:14	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	67	89¢	$60	0x77ea9b…
02-01 19:47:08	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x24786d…
01-31 13:58:56	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	71	73¢	$51	0xa600a0…
01-31 13:58:34	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	SELL	49	71¢	$35	0x5a2687…
01-31 13:58:32	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xcbb8d9…
01-31 12:53:14	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	49	74¢	$37	0x91b353…
01-31 12:50:24	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	SELL	116	30¢	$35	0xbd4c8c…
01-31 09:09:18	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	Yes	BUY	116	62¢	$72	0x9f2945…
01-31 08:03:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x44cc89…
01-30 15:26:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0x40dd3d…
01-29 14:01:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xa2ec30…
01-29 13:39:24	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	SELL	14	98¢	$13	0x75ee09…
01-28 16:44:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x73c571…
01-28 14:55:29	will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2cbeca…
01-28 14:39:21	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xdd3177…
01-28 12:57:21	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x600808…
01-28 12:57:15	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x356bad…
01-28 12:56:45	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xa8f93c…
01-27 15:23:13	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x00330b…