Realized P&L
-$145
Unrealized P&L
-$170
Hit rate
85.1%
Resolved
120
Trades
972
lifetime
Volume
$31.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$4.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
66% 85% -$208
Politics
17% 80% +$109
Sports
15% 80% -$49
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +867 $818 94¢ $811 -$7 10-26 14:50
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +445 $444 100¢ $443 -$1 10-22 03:22
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +489 $414 84¢ $414 -$1 10-25 03:44
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +383 $382 100¢ $382 $0 10-26 12:14
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +341 $339 100¢ $340 +$1 10-21 03:25
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +248 $211 88¢ $220 +$9 10-24 00:42
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +184 $182 99¢ $182 +$0 10-21 22:20
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +182 $178 98¢ $178 $0 10-22 06:04
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +162 $162 100¢ $162 $0 10-25 18:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +242 $216 66¢ $159 -$58 10-24 22:21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +142 $138 100¢ $141 +$3 10-22 15:23
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +126 $126 100¢ $126 $0 10-26 01:18
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +302 $234 38¢ $113 -$121 10-25 17:48
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $0 10-26 09:23
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +100 $95 94¢ $95 $0 10-22 14:15
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +80 $79 100¢ $79 $0 10-21 17:57
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +76 $76 100¢ $76 $0 10-24 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +68 $52 100¢ $68 +$16 10-26 17:01
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +111 $75 56¢ $63 -$12 10-25 03:45
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? No +61 $60 99¢ $60 +$0 10-26 13:06
Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 +$0 10-21 08:48
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +43 $42 97¢ $42 $0 10-21 02:09
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? No +42 $41 96¢ $41 $0 10-22 15:04
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +42 $40 98¢ $41 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +44 $40 90¢ $39 $0 10-26 11:20
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +39 $37 92¢ $36 -$1 10-22 02:35
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +36 $33 94¢ $33 +$0 10-22 02:03
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +36 $31 88¢ $32 +$1 10-25 03:46
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 $0 10-21 04:31