Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.20K

Unrealized P&L

-$275

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

148

Trades

701

lifetime

Volume

$68.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$818

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-20 01:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

68% 46% -$1,250

Politics

31% 41% -$2,035

Tech

1% 100% +$85

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+512	$220	52¢	$269	+$49	10-19 12:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+750	$210	20¢	$146	-$64	10-20 01:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+500	$190	26¢	$128	-$62	10-19 12:12
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+352	$91	29¢	$100	+$9	10-19 12:10
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	-99	-$61	76¢	$-76	-$15	05-05 05:11
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+1,000	$90	6¢	$55	-$35	10-20 01:35
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+769	$108	6¢	$42	-$65	10-20 01:38
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+1,428	$93	0¢	$2	-$91	10-20 01:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$4.6K	2,589	2,589	+0	Yes	+$52	09-25 16:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$4.5K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	+$70	09-24 04:04
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	5	$3.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	+$675	09-21 12:02
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2.9K	3,210	0	+3,210	No	+$321	08-12 10:42
Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	6	$2.6K	1,598	1,598	+0	Yes	+$453	08-12 01:46
Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	1	$2.6K	2,832	0	+2,832	Yes	+$222	08-31 11:34
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	2	$2.3K	2,768	0	+2,768	Yes	+$446	08-31 02:29
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	3	$2.1K	1,364	1,300	+64	Yes	+$524	09-20 16:53
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	5	$1.9K	2,301	0	+2,301	No	-$1,886	09-28 13:52
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$1.8K	1,893	0	+1,893	No	+$104	08-12 07:31
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$1.7K	1,917	0	+1,917	Yes	+$174	09-02 14:42
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,798	0	+1,798	No	-$1,634	09-15 09:47
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	2	$1.6K	900	900	+0	No	+$171	09-28 21:42
Will Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?	23	$1.5K	830	830	+0	Yes	+$83	08-06 05:07
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	3	$1.5K	3,300	3,300	+0	open	—	09-13 12:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.3K	752	752	+0	Yes	+$162	07-29 18:00
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	2	$1.1K	1,601	0	+1,601	Yes	+$462	09-09 16:53
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	41	$976	636	636	+0	No	+$3	06-10 19:37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$972	1,350	1,350	+0	open	—	10-20 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$891	550	550	+0	No	+$99	06-09 03:10
Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	7	$873	501	501	+0	Yes	+$68	09-28 04:49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?	2	$844	477	477	+0	Yes	+$82	08-06 19:20
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	2	$791	564	564	+0	Yes	-$183	09-18 02:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$785	500	500	+0	Yes	+$185	09-16 18:00
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$751	887	0	+887	Yes	+$136	09-26 02:37
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	1	$726	946	0	+946	Yes	+$220	09-05 01:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$656	400	400	+0	No	+$128	03-31 05:43
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	3	$656	996	850	+146	No	+$43	09-27 10:48
Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	4	$649	600	600	+0	No	-$335	09-09 00:43
trump renames ai by september 30	2	$590	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$590	09-29 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 01:38:51	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	769	14¢	$108	0xa91f86…
10-20 01:38:02	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	1,428	6¢	$93	0xa2fbc2…
10-20 01:35:02	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x324e4f…
10-20 01:34:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	750	28¢	$210	0x8e8181…
10-20 01:32:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,350	36¢	$486	0x3a9370…
10-19 12:13:35	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	43¢	$220	0x2d1161…
10-19 12:12:06	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	38¢	$190	0xd82d12…
10-19 12:10:32	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	352	26¢	$91	0xba7e26…
10-18 07:35:53	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xe8eb55…
10-17 12:37:08	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	530	45¢	$238	0x86e0fb…
10-17 06:06:13	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?	No	BUY	312	52¢	$162	0x4f27d5…
10-08 13:45:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,350	36¢	$486	0xabbaa1…
09-29 04:05:14	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	500	46¢	$230	0x793938…
09-28 21:42:47	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$873	0x8534f1…
09-28 13:52:24	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	801	80¢	$641	0x756014…
09-28 04:49:50	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x557ea6…
09-28 04:49:29	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe5ddd2…
09-28 04:27:26	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xf7baf0…
09-28 04:25:33	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0xd10f89…
09-28 04:23:29	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	99	94¢	$93	0x5445fa…
09-28 04:21:33	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xada9db…
09-27 10:48:44	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	835	41¢	$341	0xc66e94…
09-26 15:06:51	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?	Yes	BUY	193	5¢	$9	0x3e1613…
09-26 15:06:09	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x293ffc…
09-26 04:32:05	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	996	31¢	$307	0xe0b92b…
09-26 04:06:57	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	1,437	83¢	$1,193	0xca9238…
09-26 04:04:36	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xaa28f8…
09-26 04:04:27	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	38	83¢	$32	0x7873bf…
09-26 03:59:14	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xdf7eae…
09-26 02:37:00	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	887	85¢	$751	0x7a0819…
09-25 16:31:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,589	90¢	$2,330	0x655b9b…
09-24 08:22:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,589	88¢	$2,278	0xbf4921…
09-24 04:04:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7,000	33¢	$2,310	0x317ace…
09-23 16:12:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,000	32¢	$2,240	0x2f75f9…
09-23 06:20:26	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	Yes	BUY	690	68¢	$470	0x31bfac…
09-23 04:11:11	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x2a58e4…
09-23 02:52:43	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	705	76¢	$533	0x67e2a4…
09-22 01:50:00	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	630	5¢	$31	0x6636dd…
09-21 12:02:57	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	2,500	89¢	$2,225	0xb6c30d…
09-20 16:55:55	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	1,956	64¢	$1,251	0xa5ddf4…
09-20 16:53:00	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	1,300	98¢	$1,274	0x737718…
09-20 16:48:25	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	449	2¢	$11	0x7d5eba…
09-20 16:45:39	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x44bd76…
09-20 16:44:30	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	240	5¢	$12	0x33601e…
09-20 16:40:13	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	188	57¢	$107	0x927ef7…
09-20 16:38:45	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	687	16¢	$110	0xf6f6d4…
09-20 16:36:37	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	331	53¢	$177	0x4d6622…
09-20 16:36:00	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	240	28¢	$67	0xcee656…
09-20 16:30:48	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	700	9¢	$63	0x46c66d…
09-19 02:02:42	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x4e0d5a…
09-19 01:57:34	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0xadb241…
09-19 01:56:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	200	22¢	$44	0xc91cc1…
09-18 02:52:06	Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	687	43¢	$295	0xc95887…
09-18 02:50:49	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	564	54¢	$304	0x09e7a7…
09-17 04:36:15	Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	240	18¢	$44	0x7876b9…
09-17 04:35:48	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	BUY	240	44¢	$105	0xc88f35…
09-17 04:05:04	Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	501	80¢	$402	0x5e0551…
09-16 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0x71b0b8…
09-16 13:59:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	572	11¢	$62	0xd49dad…
09-16 13:59:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x80fd79…
09-16 10:56:45	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xf03ce0…
09-16 10:56:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xd63d15…
09-16 10:55:40	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$75	0x46ea11…
09-16 08:48:16	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	900	78¢	$702	0x5a4b06…
09-15 15:38:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	600	15¢	$88	0x4a04c6…
09-15 09:47:24	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,798	91¢	$1,634	0x3a0d6f…
09-15 05:17:43	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	367	49¢	$182	0x023c98…
09-15 05:16:36	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	449	16¢	$72	0xa0075d…
09-13 12:53:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,300	30¢	$990	0x83c366…
09-09 16:53:48	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,289	71¢	$918	0xfed118…
09-09 10:35:55	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	311	71¢	$221	0xf02f67…
09-09 00:46:43	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	125	69¢	$86	0x3be080…
09-09 00:45:06	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	40	68¢	$27	0xf5940c…
09-09 00:44:51	Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	60	68¢	$41	0xac33b6…
09-09 00:43:04	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	171	26¢	$44	0xf43710…
09-09 00:43:04	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0xe3778a…
09-09 00:43:03	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	SELL	374	26¢	$99	0xe1652d…
09-05 07:40:03	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	566	42¢	$235	0xe76bf7…
09-05 01:34:24	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	946	77¢	$726	0xfaf8ae…
09-04 13:23:49	Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?	Yes	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0xcbe147…
09-04 01:58:43	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	238	61¢	$145	0x90f0c7…
09-03 00:40:28	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,600	15¢	$390	0x5f5b65…
09-03 00:28:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	15¢	$105	0x1f7b9e…
09-02 14:42:03	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,917	91¢	$1,743	0x7a157f…
09-02 08:56:28	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	700	29¢	$203	0x5e01a9…
09-02 08:06:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xe26179…
09-02 07:45:07	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	1,305	30¢	$397	0xf6a4ec…
09-02 07:42:57	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x9b4a1c…
09-02 07:42:55	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0x407088…
09-02 07:42:12	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc6595f…
09-02 07:42:12	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	1,314	60¢	$784	0x304f26…
09-01 06:25:40	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	564	86¢	$487	0x17f37d…
08-31 11:34:59	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	2,832	92¢	$2,610	0x71d09b…
08-31 02:29:58	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	78	84¢	$66	0xc38265…
08-31 02:29:58	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	Yes	BUY	2,690	84¢	$2,256	0xb6018c…
08-30 22:16:22	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?	Yes	BUY	543	85¢	$461	0xfef7ad…
08-12 10:42:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	3,210	90¢	$2,889	0x869edc…
08-12 07:31:42	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	1,893	95¢	$1,790	0xa91ee2…
08-12 01:46:24	Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	Yes	SELL	1,012	97¢	$982	0x2635a2…
08-12 01:40:48	Will Matt Little be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	Yes	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0xb3f313…