(anonymous) 0xd06113…13d5e4
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Realized P&L
-$546
Unrealized P&L
+$82
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
165
Trades
1,961
lifetime
Volume
$30.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$1.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 20:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 58 days
Categories
Politics
56% 26% +$84
Other
44% 33% -$628
Crypto
0% 50% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +1,100 $586 45¢ $494 -$92 10-28 17:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +350 $80 38¢ $131 +$51 10-13 21:34
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +500 $101 26¢ $128 +$26 10-27 21:15
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $112 12¢ $125 +$13 10-26 20:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $77 42¢ $84 +$7 10-28 10:40
2026 Balance of Power: Other Yes +55,353 $55 0¢ $55 +$0 10-22 14:39
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +20,000 $20 0¢ $50 +$30 10-27 21:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +400 $44 12¢ $50 +$6 10-25 05:43
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +2,500 $18 2¢ $42 +$24 10-26 21:13
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4,000 $24 1¢ $30 +$6 10-25 16:25
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $29 29¢ $29 +$0 08-12 14:19
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +300 $27 8¢ $25 -$2 10-26 01:16
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $32 0¢ $25 -$7 10-25 05:53
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes +100 $22 20¢ $20 -$2 10-17 13:31
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +50 $11 37¢ $19 +$8 10-14 19:25
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +400 $23 4¢ $17 -$6 10-26 20:35
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $16 2¢ $16 +$0 10-25 01:12
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10,000 $10 0¢ $15 +$5 10-27 21:24
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $12 1¢ $14 +$2 10-19 16:42
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $10 2¢ $12 +$2 08-13 13:34
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $10 2¢ $10 $0 10-26 19:46
will anna kelly be the next white house press secretary 2027 Yes +50 $6 17¢ $8 +$2 10-17 17:05
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $4 2¢ $8 +$4 08-16 12:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +500 $3 1¢ $7 +$4 10-28 18:07
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +188 $7 3¢ $6 -$1 10-25 15:44
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +100 $6 6¢ $6 $0 10-28 20:36
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,007 $5 1¢ $6 +$1 10-25 15:46
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$5 5¢ $-5 +$0 07-06 20:00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $5 0¢ $4 -$1 10-27 21:38
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$1 10-25 15:45