Defiant-Million 0xc2503d…cc8d6e
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$276
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
41.7%
Resolved (90d)
5
Trades (90d)
19
19 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.60K
$5.60K lifetime
Avg / trade
$295
Open exposure
$5.11K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 01:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
44% — —
Crypto
31% 40% $-276
Politics
17% — —
Tech
8% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? No +2,000 $1,900 95¢ $1.9K $-2 05-14 01:57
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? No +1,000 $970 98¢ $982 +$13 05-14 01:52
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17? No +580 $486 85¢ $493 +$7 05-13 23:09
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day? No +545 $507 88¢ $477 $-30 05-13 01:43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes +500 $425 86¢ $428 +$2 05-12 05:45
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17? No +428 $360 90¢ $383 +$24 05-13 18:37
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17? No +200 $186 96¢ $192 +$6 05-12 23:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17? No +200 $180 90¢ $180 +$0 05-11 17:12
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day? No +54 $52 92¢ $50 $-2 05-13 01:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026? No +25 $23 94¢ $23 +$0 05-14 01:54